Weekly Outlook - XAUUSD 24/03/2025 - 28/03/2025

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XAUUSD Multi-Timeframe Analysis and Outlook
4H Chart Breakdown
The 4-hour chart highlights key liquidity and price action zones:

Daily Imbalance Filled: Price has returned to an area of inefficiency, completing a prior imbalance.

4H Order Block Rejection (Point B): There is a rejection off a 4-hour order block, which could act as support or a supply zone depending on follow-through price action.

Change in State of Delivery (CISD) at Point A: A shift in market structure is being observed, potentially indicating a reversal or a strong continuation.

Waiting for Confirmation: The annotation suggests waiting for price to either confirm a CISD or reject the order block, which would dictate the next move.

Potential Scenarios:
Bullish Scenario: If price rejects the order block and forms bullish price action, a retracement upwards could be expected.

Bearish Scenario: If CISD confirms bearish momentum, further downside continuation is likely.

Monthly Chart Breakdown
The monthly timeframe provides macro-level confirmation:

Monthly OB (Order Block): Price has previously interacted with a key monthly order block.

Monthly Imbalance Filled: Similar to the 4H chart, higher timeframe inefficiencies have been filled.

Extremely Bullish Close: The candle closed very bullish, suggesting strong momentum.

Need for Confirmation: Despite the strong close, confirmation through price action (PA) is needed before making directional assumptions.

Potential Scenarios:
Continuation of Bullish Trend: If price holds above the previous month’s high or retests and finds support at the OB, continuation towards new highs is expected.

Retracement Before Higher Move: Price may retrace back into a key demand zone before resuming bullish momentum.

Bearish Reversal: If the bullish close was a liquidity grab and price fails to hold, a shift in structure may lead to further downside.

Outlook for XAUUSD
Short-Term (4H View): Immediate reaction to the 4H order block and CISD will dictate the next move. Watch for either a bounce (bullish) or a break (bearish continuation).

Long-Term (Monthly View): Given the strong bullish close, the higher timeframe remains in favor of continued bullish momentum unless a significant shift in structure occurs.

Key Levels to Watch:

4H Order Block for support/rejection.

Monthly OB for a potential retest and continuation.

Confirmation of CISD for directional bias.

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