Gold Market Update: Bulls Will target 3750 USD after 3500 USD

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🏆 Gold Market Mid-Term Update (June 19, 2025)
📊 Price & Technical Outlook

Current Spot Price: ~$3,365

Technical Setup
Inverted H&S pattern forming/completed on higher timeframes — confirms bullish reversal structure.

Reload (buy) zone: $3,250–$3,275 (ideal accumulation range for bulls if price pulls back).
Swing trade setup: Entry: $3,250–$3,275 (reload zone)
Take Profit (TP): $3,750
Support: Major at $3,250–$3,275 (break below = reassess bullish bias).
Resistance: $3,450–$3,500 ; next major resistance: $3,600, then $3,750.

Price consolidating above $3,250–$3,350 is technically healthy — maintaining bullish structure.

🏆 Bull Market Overview
The pullback appears complete; uptrend resumes amid strong macro/geopolitical drivers (inflation, rates, safe haven flows).

Key Levels: $3,000 (macro support), $3,250 (bulls must defend), $3,500 (breakout zone), $3,750 (swing TP).

Short-term dips = buying opportunities — “Buy the Dip” remains favored as long as support holds. Upside targets: Immediate: $3,600 Swing target: $3,750

Summary:
Gold remains in a bullish mid-term structure, with the inverted H&S pattern pointing to higher prices ahead. Bulls look to reload at $3,250–$3,275, targeting $3,750 for swing trades. As long as $3,180–$3,200 holds, buying dips is the play. A sustained breakout above $3,400–$3,600 opens the door for new all-time highs.

昨天

註釋

🚨 Market Alert: Israel-Iran Conflict Impact Forecast 📈

🔴 Worst-Case Scenario: Regional War + U.S. Military Involvement
🚢 Oil (Brent): Soars to $150–$200+ if Strait of Hormuz closes
🥇 Gold: Skyrockets to $4,500–$5,000 (safe-haven rush)
₿ Bitcoin: Initial volatility; settles at $80k–$100k
📉 SPX: Crashes to 4,000–4,500
💻 NDX: Drops sharply to 15,000–16,000

🟠 Base-Case Scenario: Protracted Tension, No Major Disruption
🛢 Oil: Stabilizes at elevated $75–$95, occasional spikes
🥇 Gold: Moves higher, trading $3,500–$3,800
₿ Bitcoin: Trades steady, $90k–$110k range
📊 SPX: Pullback moderate, around 5,200–5,500
💻 NDX: Moderately lower, 18,000–19,000 range

🟢 Best-Case Scenario: Diplomatic De-Escalation
🌊 Oil: Eases down to $65–$75
🥇 Gold: Mild decline, holds at $3,300–$3,500
₿ Bitcoin: Positive sentiment, lifts to $100k–$120k
📈 SPX: Slight dip; stays strong near 5,800–6,200
💻 NDX: Minor correction, remains high at 20,000–22,000

3 小時前

註釋

still expecting a pullback into early next week
I'd say we bottom out on Tuesday/Wednesday next week