XLE/ERX - Trend line attack

I'm not satisfied with the performance of our XLE and ERX position. Sooner or later the rally will start here also... The more time we spend below the purple trend line the bigger breakout will come. On the 4th of April we broke above the trend line but lost it in a week. On the 4th of May we printed a new low in this decline on very high volume. Most probably that day was the bottom. If stocks are printing a correction during the next 2 weeks - unlikely - we might test back 65.82$...

I think when we break above the purple trendline again that will be a valid breakout and the great rally in oil stocks will start finally.
I will try to trade some individual stocks also. There will be stocks which will print 4-500% rally in the next 3-4 months.
I think ERX also has a good chance of printing a 200-300% rally.

All the indicators (MACD, TSI, SlowStoch) are showing a divergence. I'M preparing for 2 scenarios:
1. We are churning around the trendline for a few more days and breaking out
2. we test back the lows at 65.82$ and a monster rally is coming out of the double bottom.

Nasdaq, S&P, Dow Jones at all time highs. I see zero chance that oil stocks will miss this rally.

評論:

XLE should print a 3-4% rally and ERX a 10-12% rally today.
I'M quite sure today XLE will break the trend line finally...

評論:

Gap open. A lot of traders will try to play the gap close. Don't do that. It's a RUNAWAY GAP.