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2024/10/15_GBPJPY_布林通道_看多_H4級別上升三角型態 以布林通道的看法是 K棒若到下軌反彈上漲K 我會進場做多 這三角收斂的型態很漂亮 過去有87%的看多行情 但日幣雙巴的機率很高 所以千萬不可以重倉 即使這個線圖你看過很多次 因為很多時候 方向看對了 但大戶們總是很賤的去點停損的流動性 今天很多商品都做回調 這樣很棒 黃金 原油都在回調行情 進場訊號區域就是盯著 有機會就要進場 今天早上做了原油被停損 下午做了黃金H1的布林通道 H1的TP2達標就先出場了 把前面原油虧損的補回來 留著子彈 等待下一個商品的行情 不貪心 不戀戰 而且黃金的停損只有2.300步而已 很短 賺賠比 1:3出場 再說一次 倉位控管不會讓你變有錢 但可以讓你永遠在市場持續交易 市場上賺的快不是重點 賺的久才是
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由Luke_TW提供
OCC數據：hedge loan balance從高峰15億股減少到最近2億股。 AI給的解釋： When the **hedge loan balance** is significantly reduced, it could indicate that hedge funds or other market participants are **closing their short sale positions**. Here’s why: 1. **Short Selling**: In a short sale, a hedge fund borrows securities (like stocks) and sells them with the hope that the price will fall. Later, they can buy back the securities at a lower price, return them to the lender, and pocket the difference. 2. **Securities Lending**: To short sell, hedge funds need to borrow shares from lenders. The **loan balance** represents the total value of all shares on loan in the market, including those used for short selling. 3. **Loan Balance Reduction**: If the hedge loan balance decreases significantly, it means fewer shares are being borrowed. This could happen for several reasons: - Hedge funds are **closing their short positions** by buying back the borrowed shares and returning them to the lender. - The reduction could also suggest a **lack of demand** for borrowing shares, possibly because short sellers are losing interest in betting against the stock. ### In summary: Yes, when the hedge loan balance reduces significantly, it can be a signal that hedge funds are closing out their short positions, buying back the shares they previously borrowed and reducing their exposure to further price declines in those securities.
NYSE:GME看多
由Cigarer提供
OCC數據hedge loan balance借股數量從高峰2.8億股減少到最近5300萬股。 AI給的解釋： When the **hedge loan balance** is significantly reduced, it could indicate that hedge funds or other market participants are **closing their short sale positions**. Here’s why: 1. **Short Selling**: In a short sale, a hedge fund borrows securities (like stocks) and sells them with the hope that the price will fall. Later, they can buy back the securities at a lower price, return them to the lender, and pocket the difference. 2. **Securities Lending**: To short sell, hedge funds need to borrow shares from lenders. The **loan balance** represents the total value of all shares on loan in the market, including those used for short selling. 3. **Loan Balance Reduction**: If the hedge loan balance decreases significantly, it means fewer shares are being borrowed. This could happen for several reasons: - Hedge funds are **closing their short positions** by buying back the borrowed shares and returning them to the lender. - The reduction could also suggest a **lack of demand** for borrowing shares, possibly because short sellers are losing interest in betting against the stock. ### In summary: Yes, when the hedge loan balance reduces significantly, it can be a signal that hedge funds are closing out their short positions, buying back the shares they previously borrowed and reducing their exposure to further price declines in those securities.
NYSE:AMC看多
由Cigarer提供
OCC數據：hedge loan balance對衝基金在英偉達的借股數量從30億股增加到現在40億股，我認爲空頭頭寸正在快速增加。如果英偉達被做空這麽大的倉位，空頭是志在必得。 請看AI給出的解釋，儅借股數量出現巨大數量變化（減少）的時候： When the **hedge loan balance** is significantly reduced, it could indicate that hedge funds or other market participants are **closing their short sale positions**. Here’s why: 1. **Short Selling**: In a short sale, a hedge fund borrows securities (like stocks) and sells them with the hope that the price will fall. Later, they can buy back the securities at a lower price, return them to the lender, and pocket the difference. 2. **Securities Lending**: To short sell, hedge funds need to borrow shares from lenders. The **loan balance** represents the total value of all shares on loan in the market, including those used for short selling. 3. **Loan Balance Reduction**: If the hedge loan balance decreases significantly, it means fewer shares are being borrowed. This could happen for several reasons: - Hedge funds are **closing their short positions** by buying back the borrowed shares and returning them to the lender. - The reduction could also suggest a **lack of demand** for borrowing shares, possibly because short sellers are losing interest in betting against the stock. ### In summary: Yes, when the hedge loan balance reduces significantly, it can be a signal that hedge funds are closing out their short positions, buying back the shares they previously borrowed and reducing their exposure to further price declines in those securities.
NASDAQ:NVDA看空
由Cigarer提供
黃金走勢 14/10 - 本週區間操作國際金價上週先跌後反彈: 上週市場將焦點重新放到美國剛公佈的就業數據，價格受壓。在上週早段先失守上升趨勢線(1)，隨後再脫離橫行區間(2)，初步到達我們上週的短線目標2600附近(早段最低2604)。週三美國公佈通脹數據過後，金價開始反彈一直到週五在貼近全週最高位收市，一週輕微下跌1美元。本週仍須留意以色列局勢，慎防金價往上突破。但因本週未有重要經濟數據公佈，只要市場沒有突發消息，初步以區間操作為主。 1小時圖(上圖) > 金價上週收盤在2650之上，價格現時已回到上週初段的震蕩區間(2.1)。只要價格能往上突破阻力線(4)，短線目標定在關鍵阻力在2670(3)附近。 日線圖(上圖) - 上週五金價在貼近全週高位收市，買盤短線主導市場，週初留意金價或會再試區間頂部2670或歷史高位2685。而上週中段的低位2601將橫行區間拉闊(6)，在突破前可繼續把握操作。 週線圖(上圖) - 過去2週在週五收盤前都有明顯買盤入市。主因應該是源自週未收盤後中東帶來的風險溢價(risk premium)，只要以色列/伊朗局勢不再升溫，應該影響不大。但在未來2週金價須在週線圖收盤在2650之下(7)，否則週線圖正在蘊醞新一輪升勢! 喜歡我們分析請給個贊🚀 P.To
TVC:GOLD
由1uptick提供
【RTA加密貨幣行情分析-BTC】價格跌破58000的時間窗口期已經到來BTC上周的走勢主要震盪為主，上周一BTC ETF雖然整體淨流入了2.3億美元，但是價格並沒有隨之上漲，週一之後BTC ETF開始整體持續淨流出，價格也隨之下跌。 在上週五ETF又出現整體淨流入2.5億，價格又回到了62000附近。 供應不連續，需求也不連續是BTC近期走勢的主要節奏。 當前在周線級別上，從3月份開始至今，BTC高點雖然在不斷的降低，但是低點並沒有往下打出較大的空間，整體維持了下降通道式的走勢。 BTC當前市場階段屬於牛市初期的階段，牛市初期階段不像是熊市，在牛市初期的周線調整中，下跌的供應不會連續，到了關鍵的支撐比特，一旦供應停止，總會有需求把價格拉起，當前下降通道的走勢就說明了這點。 在整個周線級別的下降通道中，有一個關鍵的支撐比特，58000。 這個支撐位在我之前的分析中經常提及，從3月份開始的震盪至今，價格每次往下觸及58000附近，都會出現强換手，也就是在日線級別放出大量。 當前BTC的主要供應還是來自於ETF的連續大量贖回。 如果不產生連續大量的贖回，在無其他的明顯供應的前提下，價格是很難往下打出距離的。 當前日線級別的MACD的快線已經貼近零軸了，快線貼近零軸其實也預示著已經接近空頭下跌級別將要放大的階段，一旦日線級別MACD的快線下水（下零軸）都會走出一段不小的下跌趨勢。 所以去跌破58000的時間視窗也就在近10天內（本周的ETF資金流量數據比較關鍵），如果不跌破，就只能維持在58000上方震盪，價格不是沒有概率往上再抬一段，但是也難走出日線級別以上的多頭趨勢。 在交易上，Q4季度不能放大格局，見好就收才能帶來一定的盈利。
COINBASE:BTCUSD
由RTA-Education提供
10/14加權盤勢看法 週五美指大漲，那斯達克已突破壓力而費半雖仍在壓力之下但後勢突破的可能性高！ 加權三角收斂即將表態，搭配週五期指夜盤及美指皆上漲，我認爲指數將挑戰前次空方缺口23450～23650（7/18），要注意的是，外資空單口數仍維持在4萬以上，下週加權的上漲可能不會維持太久！有可能23650技術性達標後開始修正！ 有進場的朋友請特別注意⚠️
TWSE:IX0001看空
由puma3061提供
13/10 黃金下週佈署 大位反彈已出 短線打回調要待明顯力量 上週一開市後價格一路震盪向下，直到週二美盤時 段形成明顯下跌通道及在頂部出現反彈力量，1M圖 可見反彈力量出現後，跌段0.618剛好是前底，短線 向下是不錯的入市位，箭咀是拉保本或減倉位，而 2624是較大的橫行底部，可在這減大部份倉位或平 倉。 早前不斷提及2600是小時級別的大位，是上升段的 0.618加前頂支持位，週二跌穿2624橫行區後一直 橫行震盪到週四數據公佈，時間剛剛好公佈完後就 出了向下假突破，這時要積極入市向上做，15M圖 看到較大的橫行入面有個小橫行，反彈力量出現升 穿大小橫行頂，雖然沒有0.618的有利條件，但小橫 行頂是個不錯的入市位。由於大方向睇上，而2600 有機會是延續向上的轉彎位，所以短中長線都可試 試從細圖這位置切入市場，只是入市後用不同的減 倉比例來操倉，例如睇較短期的就食多留少。橫行 1:1減倉後可用1小時圖的低位推止賺。 現價2657，如果升勢有力的話，2646這下跌通道的 頂和前頂大機會不被跌穿，週一回調若在這有力反 彈，可考慮短線向上，因為已接近阻力2673橫行 頂，相反，如週一直上到這位置細圖有力反彈，短 線向下做回調波也可試，但如向上動能明顯強或向 下反彈力量含糊就不要試，風險較高。 祝大家交易順風順水! 覺得我的分析有幫助，請給讚支持，多謝! 想了解我的睇市和交易邏輯，可先跟蹤我的YT頻道 "洞悉市場規律" 遲些更新時會加上外匯的每週佈署 K.LAM
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD看多
由KensonLam提供
1
TXF 台指期，1014 - 1018 週規劃, 2024# 關聯商品概要 SPX 過高轉強，NQ 相對台指位置也是偏強，有望跟上帶動 美元觸及大週期底部轉多，連續上漲K，有機會走回調 - 再上漲 所以推測指數還是有段拉升，整理再選擇新方向 # 台指看法 本週關鍵區間為 22765 - 22911，為潛在回測位置，也是加碼位置 除非在關鍵位置 4H 明顯轉向，否則目前還是偏多看待 多方第一目標：23400：第二目標：24450
TAIFEX:TXF1!
由Trader-ZC提供