基本面好轉，技術面先表態上次用15分鐘線抓住主升段中的漲幅，
同時在第三波結束的時候及時出場部分加碼單，
當初的想法是如果今天只是一個三波反彈，那麼現在是相對高。
而如果有機會出現五波的推升，那麼第三波結束之後加碼單出場可以等待小時線等級的主升段中第四波拉回後再度買回。
而週三的神隆也的確出現了14不重疊的極限價區26.9，之後開始往上攻擊。
看起來這主升段中的最後噴出段已經出現，那麼自然就是積極作多，爾後再度等待出場時機，
再接下來的，就是等待日線等級的第四波拉回再度進場準備做噴出段。
上述的級距如果放在周線等級，很有機會就是一個大級數推升中的初升段而已，今年後面還有的玩。
這也的確符合神隆法說會的內容，未來的出貨以及取證後的訂單都將成為基本面轉強的原因，
而在籌碼部分董監大股東籌碼非常多，接近7成5，因此其在外流通的籌碼相對少，且股價位階仍屬低檔，那麼他接下來的表現自然就會有許多的想像空間。
Billionaire Leon Black Is The Short Seller Killer Of 2016What is he doing now?
1. Leon Black offers $11 bln for Paramount's Hollywood studio Mar.20.2024
2. The agreement is a renegotiation of the deal Credit Suisse had reached with the U.S. buyout fund in the Swiss banking group's last-ditch attempts at a revamp to avoid collapse.
"This mutually beneficial agreement aligns with UBS's strategy of winding down and simplifying its non-core and legacy portfolio," UBS said on Wednesday. Mar.22.2024
What did he do 2016?
1. Black got off to an acquisitive start this year by striking a $6.9 billion deal in February to buy ADT, which on the eve of 2016 was one of the most heavily shorted companies in the Standard & Poor’s 500 index. The home security company had become a target for short sellers who believed big cable companies like Comcast could leverage their relationships with homeowners and take ADT’s business. Apollo had been rolling up home security companies like Protection 1 and ASG Security and folded them into ADT. Apollo bought ADT for $42 a share, a 56% premium over ADT’s closing price on the last trading day before the deal was announced.
2. In June, Apollo put together a deal to buy Diamond Resorts International for $2.2 billion, which represented a 26% premium over where the company’s shares closed before the announcement. The stock had changed hands for less than $20 in May and Apollo paid $30.25 a share when the deal closed in September. The shares of the time-share resort company had a large short interest and some thought its business model was faulty and premised on overly aggressive sales tactics in an already sketchy industry.
3. Next up, Apollo shocked the shorts in July by entering into an agreement to buy Outerwall in a $1.6 billion deal. The owner of Red Box DVD rentals was the third-most shorted stock in America with short interest making up 46% of its public float. As a result of a shareholder push for a sale and Apollo’s purchase, shares of Outerwall are up 42% this year.
4. Finally, Apollo agreed at the end of August to buy Rackspace Hosting for $4.3 billion. Short sellers had bet heavily that larger companies like Amazon and Microsoft would continue to eat the lunch of the cloud-services company. Rackspace’s shares once changed hands for more than $80. Apollo agreed to buy them for $32 a share, which still represented a 38% premium to the level they closed at before reports of a potential deal surfaced in August.
疑似取得GLP1代工訂單，短線整理末端神隆在上周的法說會提到已取得西林瓶兩項ANDA，適應證分別是骨質疏鬆與糖尿病，
而針劑型預計也即將取得ANDA。
法說之後出現拉抬量能，目前進入第一個整理，以15分鐘線來看，符合波浪整理型態，
目前正在進入最後的B-C末端整理，而如果未來能持續往上攻擊，
則B-C的第二波開始會形成一個往上推動的攻擊，因此這個B-C的低點可能就會是接下來的起漲點。
目前全球由於GLP1的減重效果驚人，已經出現缺貨的情況，
而GLP1的適應證是糖尿病而不是減重，因此神隆所取得的ANDA就有令人想像的空間。
以中長期來看，神隆出現一個長達6年的底部，之前也有分享神隆的碎形結構。
而以目前觀察來看，的確也符合前段的碎形架構，短線上應會有一波漲勢。
同時他這六年的底部近期也出現底部墊高的型態，有機會是一個中期起漲的低點區間，
美國NBI指數目前已開始走出攻擊，而台灣的生技類股在第二季通常會有不錯的表現，
因此現階段的神隆我個人認為已浮現短線、中期的雙重投資價值。
