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US Liquidity-Weighted Business Cycle
📈 BTC Liquidity-Weighted Business Cycle
This indicator models the Bitcoin macro cycle by comparing its logarithmic price against a log-transformed liquidity proxy (e.g., US M2 Money Supply). It helps visualize cyclical tops and bottoms by measuring the relative expansion of Bitcoin price versus fiat liquidity.
🧠 How It Works:
Transforms both BTC and M2 using natural logarithms.
Computes a liquidity ratio: log(BTC) – log(M2) (i.e., log(BTC/M2)).
Runs MACD on this ratio to extract business cycle momentum.
Plots:
🔴 Histogram bars showing cyclical growth or contraction.
🟢 Top line to track the relative price-to-liquidity trend.
🔴 Cycle peak markers to flag historical market tops.
⚙️ Inputs:
Adjustable MACD lengths
Toggle for liquidity trend line overlay
🔍 Use Cases:
Identifying macro cycle tops and bottoms
Timing long-term Bitcoin accumulation or de-risking
Confirming global liquidity's influence on BTC price movement
Note: This version currently uses US M2 (FRED:M2SL) as the liquidity base. You can easily expand it with other global M2 sources or adjust the weights.
This indicator models the Bitcoin macro cycle by comparing its logarithmic price against a log-transformed liquidity proxy (e.g., US M2 Money Supply). It helps visualize cyclical tops and bottoms by measuring the relative expansion of Bitcoin price versus fiat liquidity.
🧠 How It Works:
Transforms both BTC and M2 using natural logarithms.
Computes a liquidity ratio: log(BTC) – log(M2) (i.e., log(BTC/M2)).
Runs MACD on this ratio to extract business cycle momentum.
Plots:
🔴 Histogram bars showing cyclical growth or contraction.
🟢 Top line to track the relative price-to-liquidity trend.
🔴 Cycle peak markers to flag historical market tops.
⚙️ Inputs:
Adjustable MACD lengths
Toggle for liquidity trend line overlay
🔍 Use Cases:
Identifying macro cycle tops and bottoms
Timing long-term Bitcoin accumulation or de-risking
Confirming global liquidity's influence on BTC price movement
Note: This version currently uses US M2 (FRED:M2SL) as the liquidity base. You can easily expand it with other global M2 sources or adjust the weights.
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開源腳本
本著TradingView的真正精神，此腳本的創建者將其開源，以便交易者可以查看和驗證其功能。向作者致敬！雖然您可以免費使用它，但請記住，重新發佈程式碼必須遵守我們的網站規則。
免責聲明
這些資訊和出版物並不意味著也不構成TradingView提供或認可的金融、投資、交易或其他類型的意見或建議。請在使用條款閱讀更多資訊。