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Ethereum Logarithmic Regression Bands

Overview
This indicator displays logarithmic regression bands for Ethereum. Logarithmic regression is a statistical method used to model data where growth slows down over time. I initially created these bands in 2021 using a spreadsheet, and later coded them in TradingView in 2022. Over time, the bands proved effective at capturing bull market peaks and bear market lows. In 2025, I decided to share this indicator because I believe these logarithmic regression bands offer the best fit for the Ethereum chart.
How It Works
The logarithmic regression lines are fitted to the Ethereum (ETHUSD) chart using two key factors: the 'a' factor (slope) and the 'b' factor (intercept). The formula for logarithmic regression is 10^((a * ln) - b).
How to Use the Logarithmic Regression Bands
1. Lower Band:
The lower (blue) band forms a potential support area for Ethereum’s price. Historically, Ethereum has found its lows within this band during past market cycles. When the price is within the lower band, it suggests that Ethereum is undervalued.
2. Upper Band:
The upper (red) band forms a potential resistance area for Ethereum’s price. The logarithmic band is fitted to the past two market cycle peaks; therefore, there is not enough historical data to be sure it will reach the upper band again. However, the chance is certainly there! If the price is within the upper band, it indicates that Ethereum is overvalued and that a potential price correction may be imminent.
This indicator displays logarithmic regression bands for Ethereum. Logarithmic regression is a statistical method used to model data where growth slows down over time. I initially created these bands in 2021 using a spreadsheet, and later coded them in TradingView in 2022. Over time, the bands proved effective at capturing bull market peaks and bear market lows. In 2025, I decided to share this indicator because I believe these logarithmic regression bands offer the best fit for the Ethereum chart.
How It Works
The logarithmic regression lines are fitted to the Ethereum (ETHUSD) chart using two key factors: the 'a' factor (slope) and the 'b' factor (intercept). The formula for logarithmic regression is 10^((a * ln) - b).
How to Use the Logarithmic Regression Bands
1. Lower Band:
The lower (blue) band forms a potential support area for Ethereum’s price. Historically, Ethereum has found its lows within this band during past market cycles. When the price is within the lower band, it suggests that Ethereum is undervalued.
2. Upper Band:
The upper (red) band forms a potential resistance area for Ethereum’s price. The logarithmic band is fitted to the past two market cycle peaks; therefore, there is not enough historical data to be sure it will reach the upper band again. However, the chance is certainly there! If the price is within the upper band, it indicates that Ethereum is overvalued and that a potential price correction may be imminent.
開源腳本
本著TradingView的真正精神,此腳本的創建者將其開源,以便交易者可以查看和驗證其功能。向作者致敬!雖然您可以免費使用它,但請記住,重新發佈程式碼必須遵守我們的網站規則。
免責聲明
這些資訊和出版物並不意味著也不構成TradingView提供或認可的金融、投資、交易或其他類型的意見或建議。請在使用條款閱讀更多資訊。
開源腳本
本著TradingView的真正精神,此腳本的創建者將其開源,以便交易者可以查看和驗證其功能。向作者致敬!雖然您可以免費使用它,但請記住,重新發佈程式碼必須遵守我們的網站規則。
免責聲明
這些資訊和出版物並不意味著也不構成TradingView提供或認可的金融、投資、交易或其他類型的意見或建議。請在使用條款閱讀更多資訊。