Carnival Absorption [by Oberlunar]

A visual inquiry into hidden divergences and silent pressures in the market

Carnival Absorption of Oberlunar is a refined algorithmic lens, designed to expose the invisible forces that operate behind price movement. Much like a Carnival, where a mask conceals a deeper identity, this tool seeks out areas where the market disguises its true intent—volume absorption cloaked in stillness, pressure coiling beneath the surface, waiting to unmask.

At the core of the indicator are two phenomena: absorption and compression.

Absorption is defined as a localised spike in normalised volume relative to the candle’s range. This is measured using a dynamic z-score (sigma buy/sell), which quantifies the significance of the volume within its historical context. Only when this score exceeds a configurable threshold is the candle considered a potential site of meaningful activity—what one might call a “masked intention.”

But one candle is not enough. Divergence must occur.

Here, the heart of the detection logic lies in comparing price action to the Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD). If price makes a new high but CVD does not—or vice versa—it suggests a disconnect between what the market displays and what it internally processes. It is in this tension between form and substance that the signal is born.

When both high absorption and a valid divergence align, the area becomes a pending zone—a sort of unspoken potential. These zones are stored dynamically in memory arrays and clustered intelligently to avoid overlap and redundancy. If price returns to that area within a specified time and range tolerance, confirming the original hypothesis, the mask drops: a box is drawn on the chart, accompanied by a confidence label that quantifies how closely the current price behavior matches the pending structure. The closer the price aligns with the heart of the original zone, the higher the confidence percentage—up to 100%.

But the Carnival continues.

When a bullish absorption zone is followed by a bearish one (or vice versa), the indicator detects a compression. This is not a reversal signal, but a phase of coiled tension—a compression of opposing forces, visualized as a colored box stretching between the two zones. These compressions are not arbitrary: they emerge only when the distance between the two zones is statistically significant. Once confirmed, they are labeled with the transition type (“B→S” or “S→B”) and an associated confidence metric.

The visual behavior is fully customizable. Users can choose whether to display confirmed boxes, pending circles, labels, and adjust transparency and placement. Pending signals are marked with colored circles whose size and intensity reflect their statistical confidence—ranging from tiny to huge. The entire visual system acts as a living map of pressure and potential.

In essence, the indicator offers more than signals—it delivers a narrative. It doesn't try to predict the future. Instead, it reveals the present that hides beneath the surface. Every box is a mask. Every divergence, a costume. Every compression, the moment before the music begins.

This is not just an indicator. It is a stage. And on it, the forces of liquidity, manipulation, distribution, and accumulation perform their secret dance.



— Oberlunar 👁️★