Bond Yield Recession Indicator

This model uses the difference between 10-year and 3-month Treasury rates to calculate the probability of a recession in the United States twelve months ahead.
By a simple gimpse, it has been correct for the last two recessions of 2000 and 2008.

newyorkfed.org/research/capital_markets/ycfaq.html
fred.stlouisfed.org/series/T10Y3M

發行說明

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開源腳本

In true TradingView spirit, the author of this script has published it open-source, so traders can understand and verify it. Cheers to the author! You may use it for free, but reuse of this code in publications is governed by House rules. 您可以收藏它以在圖表上使用。