Sunday Vertical Lines (00:00 NY)Short Description:
Experience enhanced chart clarity with our "Sunday Midnight Vertical Lines" indicator. This tool elegantly marks every Sunday at 00:00 New York time, providing traders with a clear reference point for weekly market resets and potential strategy adjustments.
Detailed Description:
Purpose:
The "Sunday Midnight Vertical Lines" indicator is designed to help traders and market analysts visually segment their charts based on weeks. By clearly demarcating the start of each trading week, this tool aids in performing weekly analyses, understanding market rhythms, and preparing for the week ahead.
Key Features:
Automatic Time Zone Adjustment: The indicator adjusts for New York time, ensuring accuracy regardless of the user's local time zone.
Visual Clarity: Draws a distinct red vertical line at 00:00 each Sunday, offering a stark contrast against typical chart elements.
Performance Optimized: Efficiently coded to maintain chart performance, even on data-rich interfaces.
User-Friendly: No complex settings required. The tool works immediately upon addition to the chart, facilitating ease of use for traders of all skill levels.
Use Cases:
Weekly Market Analysis: Ideal for traders who conduct weekly market reviews, as it visually segments the chart at the beginning of each trading week.
Strategic Planning: Useful for planning and adjusting weekly trading strategies.
Historical Reference: Assists in historical market analysis by providing clear reference points for the start of each week.
Conclusion:
Whether you're a day trader, swing trader, or long-term investor, the "Sunday Midnight Vertical Lines" indicator is a simple yet powerful tool to enhance your chart analysis. It offers a clear, visual reference point for the start of each trading week, aiding in strategy development and market understanding.
週期
MVRV Z-ScoreThe MVRV ratio was created by Murad Mahmudov & David Puell. It simply compares Market Cap to Realised Cap, presenting a ratio (MVRV = Market Cap / Realised Cap). The MVRV Z-Score is a later version, refining the metric by normalising the peaks and troughs of the data.
X% Drop in X Days, sold X Days afterIt identifies potential buy signals based on a specified percentage drop in price over a set number of days and calculates the total profit or loss (P/L) over a predefined period. Here's a breakdown of the script and its key parameters:
Script Description:
Indicator Name: "X% Drop in X Days, sold X Days after"
Functionality:
The script signals a buy opportunity when the price of an asset drops by a certain percentage (percentage_drop) within a specified length (length) in days.
It calculates the profit or loss percentage after a set number of days (hold_days) from the buy signal.
The script also displays the cumulative total profit or loss over a specified time frame, from a start date (start_period) to an end date (end_period), which is by default set to the current date.
Display:
Buy signals are marked on the chart.
The profit or loss for each trade after the hold period is displayed.
A label showing the total cumulative profit or loss, along with the start and end dates, is displayed on the chart.
Key Parameters:
percentage_drop (10.0% by default) : The percentage decrease in price that triggers a buy signal. It represents the threshold for the price drop to consider a buying opportunity.
length (3 days by default): The period over which the drop in price is considered. It's the timeframe used to evaluate the percentage drop.
hold_days (30 days by default) : The duration for holding the asset after the buy signal before selling. This parameter defines the time after which the profit or loss is calculated.
start_period (Set to "2022-11-21" by default): The beginning date for calculating the cumulative total profit or loss. This parameter allows the user to define a specific starting point for the analysis.
end_period (Set to the current date by default): The end date for the cumulative total profit or loss calculation. It defaults to the current date but can be set to a specific date for backtesting purposes.
Script Mechanics:
Buy Signal Logic: A buy signal is generated when the closing price is below the highest price of the last 'length' days, adjusted by the 'percentage_drop'.
Profit/Loss Calculation: For each buy signal, the script calculates the profit or loss percentage after 'hold_days' from the purchase. This is displayed on the chart for each trade.
Total P/L Display: The script calculates and displays the cumulative total profit or loss in the defined period (from 'start_period' to 'end_period') in a label on the chart.
Usage:
This script is useful for traders who follow a strategy based on buying assets after significant price drops and holding for a predetermined period. It automates the detection of potential buy opportunities and the calculation of profit or loss, aiding in decision-making and performance analysis.
Forecast: PastFluxDelta PredictionThe theory is that time periods and the conditions during these periods repeat themselves. Especially if it is the same day of the week in the past, there is a high probability that price fluctuations will roughly repeat themselves.
Eternal return (or eternal recurrence) is a philosophical concept which states that time repeats itself in an infinite loop, and that exactly the same events will continue to occur in exactly the same way, over and over again, for eternity.
History does repeat itself.
The stock market is a manifest example.
Chief market strategist at Miller Tabak + Co. Matt Maley pointed out the strong resemblance between the stock market recently and that in the past.
Various scientific studies and articles show that there could be something to this theory
Most of the investors are ignoring the parallels between stocks today and "heady" years 1929, 1999 and 2007…
Post Labor Day sees investors returning to the S&P 500 near all-time highs and some dark economic shadows lurking …
So how should we regard these inescapable results?
Nietzsche said we should embrace them, accept them, and love them. Once they stop, expect them to start again.
But remember that the future is fundamentally uncertain and that past results are by no means a guarantee of future performance.
Based on this, this indicator uses historical trading data from a year, a week or a day ago and compares price fluctuations in the past with current conditions.
"Bars to predict" can be used to indicate how far into the future the indicator is looking.
"Amount of bars to show" determines how many bars are generally displayed. A high value allows you to see how accurate the method was in the past.
Market Health MonitorThe Market Health Monitor is a comprehensive tool designed to assess and visualize the economic health of a market, providing traders with vital insights into both current and future market conditions. This script integrates a range of critical economic indicators, including unemployment rates, inflation, Federal Reserve funds rates, consumer confidence, and housing market indices, to form a robust understanding of the overall economic landscape.
Drawing on a variety of data sources, the Market Health Monitor employs moving averages over periods of 3, 12, 36, and 120 months, corresponding to quarterly, annual, three-year, and ten-year economic cycles. This selection of timeframes is specifically chosen to capture the nuances of economic movements across different phases, providing a balanced view that is sensitive to both immediate changes and long-term trends.
Key Features:
Economic Indicators Integration: The script synthesizes crucial economic data such as unemployment rates, inflation levels, and housing market trends, offering a multi-dimensional perspective on market health.
Adaptability to Market Conditions: The inclusion of both short-term and long-term moving averages allows the Market Health Monitor to adapt to varying market conditions, making it a versatile tool for different trading strategies.
Oscillator Thresholds for Recession and Growth: The script sets specific thresholds that, when crossed, indicate either potential economic downturns (recessions) or periods of growth (expansions), allowing traders to anticipate and react to changing market conditions proactively.
Color-Coded Visualization: The Market Health Monitor employs a color-coding system for ease of interpretation:
-- A red background signals unhealthy economic conditions, cautioning traders about potential risks.
-- A bright red background indicates a confirmed recession, as declared by the NBER, signaling a critical time for traders to reassess risk exposure.
-- A green background suggests a healthy market with expected economic expansion, pointing towards growth-oriented opportunities.
Comprehensive Market Analysis: By combining various economic indicators, the script offers a holistic view of the market, enabling traders to make well-informed decisions based on a thorough understanding of the economic environment.
Key Criteria and Parameters:
Economic Indicators:
Labor Market: The unemployment rate is a critical indicator of economic health.
High or rising unemployment indicates reduced consumer spending and economic stress.
Inflation: Key for understanding monetary policy and consumer purchasing power.
Persistent high inflation can lead to economic instability, while deflation can signal weak
demand.
Monetary Policy: Reflected by the Federal Reserve funds rate.
Changes in the rate can influence economic activity, borrowing costs, and investor
sentiment.
Consumer Confidence: A predictor of consumer spending and economic activity.
Reflects the public’s perception of the economy
Housing Market: The housing market often leads the economy into recession and recovery.
Weakness here can signal broader economic problems.
Market Data:
Stock Market Indices: Reflect overall investor sentiment and economic
expectations. No gains in a stock market could potentially indicate that economy is
slowing down.
Credit Conditions: Indicated by the tightness of bank lending, signaling risk
perception.
Commodity Insight:
Crude Oil Prices: A proxy for global economic activity.
Indicator Timeframe:
A default monthly timeframe is chosen to align with the release frequency of many economic indicators, offering a balanced view between timely data and avoiding too much noise from short-term fluctuations. Surely, it can be chosen by trader / analyst.
The Market Health Monitor is more than just a trading tool—it's a comprehensive economic guide. It's designed for traders who value an in-depth understanding of the economic climate. By offering insights into both current conditions and future trends, it encourages traders to navigate the markets with confidence, whether through turbulent times or in periods of growth. This tool doesn't just help you follow the market—it helps you understand it.
Whalemap [BigBeluga]The Whalemap indicator aims to spot big buying and selling activity represented as big orders for a possible bottom or top formation on the chart.
🔶 CALCULATION
The indicator uses volume to spot big volume activity represented as big orders in the market.
for i = 0 to len - 1
blV.vol += (close > close ? volume : 0)
brV.vol += (close < close ? volume : 0)
When volume exceeds its own threshold, it is a sign that volume is exceeding its normal value and is considered as a "Whale order" or "Whale activity," which is then plotted on the chart as circles.
🔶 DETAILS
The indicator plots Bubbles on the chart with different sizes indicating the buying or selling activity. The bigger the circle, the more impact it will have on the market.
On each circle is also plotted a line, and its own weight is also determined by the strength of its own circle; the bigger the circle, the bigger the line.
Old buying/selling activity can also be used for future support and resistance to spot interesting areas.
The more price enters old buying/selling activity and starts producing orders of the same direction, it might be an interesting point to take a closer look.
🔶 EXAMPLES
The chart above is showing us price reacting to big orders, finding good bottoms in price and good tops in confluence with old activity.
🔶 SETTINGS
Users will have the options to:
Filter options to adjust buying and selling sensitivity.
Display/Hide Lines
Display/Hide Bubbles
Choose which orders to display (from smallest to biggest)
Rotation Cycles GraphRotation Cycles Graph Indicator
Overview:
The Rotation Cycles Graph Indicator is designed to visualize rotation cycles in financial markets. It aims to provide insights into shifts between various market phases, including growth, weakening, recovery, and contraction, allowing traders to potentially identify changing market dynamics.
Key Components:
Z-Score Calculation:
The indicator employs Z-score calculation to normalize data and identify deviations from the mean. This is instrumental in understanding the current state of the market relative to its historical behavior.
Ehlers Loop Visualization:
The Ehlers Loop function generates a visual representation of rotation cycles. It utilizes x and y coordinates on the chart to represent market conditions. These coordinates determine the position and categorization of the market state.
Table Visualization:
At the bottom of the chart, a table categorizes market conditions based on x and y values. This table serves as a reference to understand the current market phase.
Customizable Parameters:
The indicator offers users the flexibility to adjust several parameters:
Length and Smoothness: Users can set the length and smoothness parameters for the Z-score calculation, allowing for customization based on the market's volatility.
Graph Settings: Parameters such as bar scale, graph position, and the length of the tail for visualization can be fine-tuned to suit individual preferences.
Understanding Coordinates:
The x and y coordinates plotted on the chart represent specific market conditions. Interpretation of these coordinates aids in recognizing shifts in market behavior.
This screenshot shows visual representation behind logic of X and Y and their rotation cycles
Here is an example how rotation marker moved from growing to weakening and to the contraction quad, during a big market crush:
Note:
This indicator is a visualization tool and should be used in conjunction with other analytical methods for comprehensive market analysis.
Understanding the context and nuances of market dynamics is essential for accurate interpretation of the Rotation Cycles Graph Indicator.
Big thanks to @PineCodersTASC for their indicator, what I used as a reference
ka66: Enhanced MACDThis is a more configurable MACD:
Allows various moving averages (EMA, SMA, Hull, WMA) instead of just EMA.
Better color coding for MACD line, rising vs. falling
Optional Normalised Scale; my pet peeve with standard MACD, that we can't really easily compare it across instruments. Taking a page from the ATR Percent indicator, we allow for normalising the MACD and Signal lines relative to Close: MACD / Close x 100. Ditto for the Signal line. This is really useful for reversal type scenarios, and to avoid ranging markets.
Threshold horizontal line markers to further support the use of the Normalised Scale. Simply configure this via the Style Settings.
Period SeparatorA useful indicator designed to display vertical line separators at specified periods, for example every hour or every 4 hours.
To use this indicator, you must be in a timeframe lower than the specified timeframe on the indicator.
I haven't found any other scripts that allow for custom time frames so I created my own :)
Let me know if you have any suggestions.
FX DispersionThis script calculates the dispersion of a basket of 5 FX pairs and then calculates the z-score the z-score is then made into a composite using the 30 and 60 ema of the z-score to smooth any noise. It must be used on one of the FX pairs in the basket and on the 1-minute timeframe as it has been hardcoded for 1 min use below.
Interpretation - Dispersion is a component of volatility - the dispersion of the underlying basket increases above 0.5 and decreases below 0.5.
Although increased dispersion is beneficial to momentum and trend-following strategies on the monthly and weekly timeframes. Observe this on the 1-minute timeframe and how dispersion crossing above/ below 0.5 it can signal reversion or momentum for the next period.
INTELLECT_city - abcd PatternThe ABCD Pattern indicator is a tool that helps identify potential geometric patterns of price movement on the chart of a financial instrument. This indicator is based on trading strategies that use the formation of four separate points, designated A, B, C and D.
Point A: The starting point of the pattern, which usually represents the end of the previous price trend.
Point B: The top of the first price wave directed against the current trend.
Point C: Completion of the second price wave started from point B. Often point C is formed at a level close to the completion of the correction.
Point D: The end point of the pattern where price forms a third wave directed towards the original trend.
The indicator displays the AB, BC and CD lines on the chart and also provides labels for these levels. This can help traders and analysts identify and analyze potential ABCD patterns on a price action chart.
It is important to remember that the ABCD Pattern does not guarantee successful trading and traders should combine it with other analysis methods and strategies to make informed decisions. Testing and adaptation to specific market conditions are also key steps when using this indicator.
BTI - Bitcoin (BTC) Top Indicator [Logue]Bitcoin top indicator. This indicator is a combination of multiple on-chain and seasonality BTC macro cycle top indicators, plus the Pi-Cycle top moving average. Because there is no magic single indicator to detect macro cycle tops in bitcoin, the BTI detects confluence of multiple indicators to select tops of each BTC macro cycle. The individual indicators used for the BTI are:
1) Cumulative Value Days Destroyed (CVDD) - The CVDD was created by Willy Woo and is the ratio of the cumulative value of Coin Days Destroyed in USD and the market age (in days). While this indicator is used to detect bottoms normally, an extension is used to allow detection of BTC tops. When the BTC price goes above the CVDD extension, BTC is generally considered to be overvalued. Because the "strength" of the BTC tops has decreased over the cycles, a logarithmic function for the extension was created by fitting past cycles as log extension = slope * time + intercept. This indicator is triggered when the BTC price is above the CVDD extension.
2) Net Unrealized Profit Loss (NUPL) - The NUPL measures the profit state of the bitcoin network to determine if past transfers of BTC are currently in an unrealized profit or loss state.
Values above zero indicate that the network is in overall profit, while values below zero indicate the network is in overall loss. Highly positive NUPL values indicate overvaluation of the BTC network. Based on decreasing "strength" of BTC tops, a decreasing linear function (trigger = slope * time + intercept) was fit to past cycle tops. Therefore, future trigger values can be calculated over time. This indicator is triggered when the NUPL is above the trigger value.
3) Market Value-Realized Value Z-score (MVRV-Z) - The MVRV-Z measures the value of the bitcoin network by comparing the market cap to the realized value and dividing by the standard deviation of the market cap (market cap – realized cap) / std(market cap)). When the market value is significantly higher than the realized value, the bitcoin network is "overvalued". Very high values have signaled cycle tops in the past. This indicator is triggered when the MVRVZ value is above 55.
4) Puell multiple (PUELL) - PUELL is the ratio between the daily coin issuance in USD and its 365-day moving average. This multiple helps to measure miner profitability. When the PUELL goes to extremely high values relative to historical values, it indicates the profitability of the miners is very high and a top may be near. This indicator triggers when the PUELL is above 3.33.
5) Calendar Seasonality Index (CSI) - The CSI takes advantage of the consistency of BTC cycles. Past cycles have formed macro tops every four years between October 21st and December 12th. Therefore, this indicator triggers at set times that are marked every four years between these two dates.
6) Halving Seasonality Index (HSI) - The HSI, as with the CSI, takes advantage of the consistency of BTC cycles following the major event that is the halving. Aside from the first halving cycle, cycles have formed macro tops approximately 538 days after each halving. Therefore, this indicator triggers at set times that are marked 528 to 548 days (i.e., 538 +- 10 days) after each halving.
7) Polylog Regression (PLR) - The BTC cycle tops and bottoms were separately fit using a polynomial regression for the PLR. The bottom band was fit on much more data than the top band, so is likely to be more reliable. The shape of the regression into the future was estimated, so may not be accurate into the future, but is the best fit of tops and bottoms to date. This indicator is used to estimate when tops and bottoms are near when the price goes into the top or bottom bands. This triggers when the BTC price is inside or above the upper polylog regression channel.
8) Realized Price (RP) - The RP is summation of the value of each BTC when it last moved divided by the total number of BTC in circulation. This gives an estimation of the average "purchase" price of BTC on the bitcoin network based on when it was last transacted. This indicator tells us if the average network participant is in a state of profit or loss. This indicator is normally used to detect BTC bottoms, but an extension can be used to detect when the bitcoin network is "highly" overvalued. Because the "strength" of the BTC tops has decreased over the cycles, a logarithmic function for the extension was created by fitting past cycles as log extension = slope * time + intercept. This indicator triggers when the BTC price is above the realized price extension.
9) Pi-cycle Top (PCT) - The PCT indicator is simply the cross of the 111-day moving average above a 2x multiple of the 350-day moving average of the BTC price. While there is no fundamental reasoning behind why this works, it has worked to indicate previous bitcoin tops by taking advantage of the cyclicality of the BTC price and measurement overextension of BTC price. This indicator triggers when the fast moving average (111-day) crosses above the 2x multiple of the slow moving average (350-day).
10) Transaction Fee Spike (TFS) - Transaction fees on the bitcoin network can signal a mania phase when they increase well above historical values. This mania phase may indicate we are near a top in the BTC price. The daily transaction fee total in USD is divided by the number of daily transactions to calculate the average transaction fee paid on the bitcoin network. The transaction fees increasing above $40 trigger this indicator.
The on-chain indicators (CVDD, NUPL, MVRV-Z, PUELL, RP, and TFS) work together to give a health check of the BTC price as compared to its network health. The seasonality indicators (CSI, HSI, and PLR) work together to map the macro cycles of BTC. The PCT gives a view of the overvaluation of the BTC price. Each of these indicators is weighted evenly when selected and if over 45% of the indicators are triggering on a candle (i.e., at least 5 of 10), the overall BTI indicator prints a clear signal -- a red dot with a white middle portion between the white horizontal lines at the top of the indicator. This signal is meant to indicate when the macro cycle top is likely already hit or is near. Each of the individual indicators used for the BTI are proven macro top indicators over multiple cycles.
Each of the individual indicators are shown in their own rows to visualize which indicators are triggering. You are able to deselect any indicator you do not wish to have considered and select it back again. To prepare you for indicators triggering, the BTI shows dark blue or dark green when the indicator is close to triggering (i.e., generally around 20% from the trigger value, a less intense background will appear, and 10% from the trigger value, a more intense background will appear). The color of the individual indicators turns pink when they are triggered. The background color of the BTI becomes blue when at least 30% of the indicators considered are triggering and it becomes purple/pink when the BTI fully triggers. See the BTC chart above the indicator showing the performance of the indicator in picking out macro top regions (red dots with white middle portion). Because not all daily data for BTC can be shown on one chart, ensure you also play with the indictor yourself. The BLX is most appropriate, but the indicator works on all BTC/USD charts. Because of the limits imposed by TradingView, the indicator doesn't work on time frames lower than 4 h or higher than the weekly.
You can use this indicator to help you understand when the BTC price is more likely topping based on past performance of these indicators. This indicator pairs with the BBI (Bitcoin (BTC) Bottom Indictor) and the BTB (Bitcoin Top and Bottom indicator).
Use this indicator at your own risk. I make no assertions that this indicator will work to detect any future top since we all know that past performance is no guarantee of future results.
Minervini Stage 2 AnalysisHandbook for Minervini Stage 2 Analysis Indicator
Introduction
This handbook provides detailed instructions and guidelines for using the Minervini Stage 2 Analysis Indicator based on Mark Minervini's swing trading methodology. This indicator is designed for traders focusing on US stocks, aiming to capture gains in medium to short-term uptrends (swing trading).
Understanding Stage 2
Stage 2 represents a bullish uptrend in a stock's price. Mark Minervini emphasizes entering long positions during this phase. The stage is identified using four key criteria related to moving averages (MAs).
Indicator Criteria
Stock Price Above MA 150 and 200: Indicates an overall uptrend.
MA 150 Above MA 200: Signals a stronger medium-term trend compared to the long-term trend.
MA 200 Trending Up for At Least 1 Month (22 Days): Confirms a stable uptrend.
MA 50 Above Both MA 150 and 200: Shows short-term strength and momentum.
Using the Indicator
Entering Trades: Consider long positions when all four criteria are met. This signifies that the stock is in a Stage 2 uptrend.
Monitoring Trades: Regularly check if the stock continues to meet these criteria. The indicator provides a clear visual and textual representation for ease of monitoring.
Alarm Signals and Exit Strategy
One Criterion Not Met: This serves as an alarm signal. Increased vigilance is required, and traders should prepare for a potential exit.
Two Criteria Not Met: Strong indication to close the trade. This suggests the stock may be transitioning out of Stage 2, increasing the risk of holding the position.
Risk Management
Stop-Loss Orders: Consider setting a trailing stop-loss to protect profits and minimize losses.
Position Sizing: Adjust position sizes according to your risk tolerance and portfolio strategy.
Volume and Relative Strength Analysis
Volume Analysis: Look for increased trading volume as confirmation when the stock price moves above key MAs.
Relative Strength (RS) Rating: Compare the stock's performance to the broader market to gauge its strength.
Limitations and Considerations
Market Conditions: The indicator's effectiveness may vary with market conditions. It is more reliable in a bullish market environment.
Supplementary Analysis: Combine this indicator with other analysis methods (fundamental, technical) for a holistic approach.
Continuous Learning: Stay updated with market trends and adjust your strategy accordingly.
Conclusion
The Minervini Stage 2 Analysis Indicator is a powerful tool for identifying potential long positions in uptrending stocks. Its reliance on specific criteria aligns with Mark Minervini's proven swing trading strategy. However, always exercise due diligence and risk management in your trading decisions.
BBI - Bitcoin (BTC) Bottom Indicator [Logue]This indicator is a combination of multiple on-chain and seasonality BTC macro cycle bottom indicators. Because there is no magic single indicator to detect macro cycle bottoms in bitcoin, the BBI detects confluence of multiple indicators to select bottoms of each BTC macro cycle. The individual indicators used for the BBI are:
1) Cumulative Value Days Destroyed (CVDD) - The CVDD was created by Willy Woo and is the ratio of the cumulative value of Coin Days Destroyed in USD and the market age (in days). When the BTC price goes below this value, BTC is generally considered to be undervalued. This indicator is triggered when the BTC price is below the CVDD.
2) Net Unrealized Profit Loss (NUPL) - The NUPL measures the profit state of the bitcoin network to determine if past transfers of BTC are currently in an unrealized profit or loss state.
Values above zero indicate that the network is in overall profit, while values below zero indicate the network is in overall loss. Highly negative NUPL values indicate an undervaluation of the BTC network. This indicator is triggered when the NUPL is below -15.
3) Market Value-Realized Value Z-score (MVRV-Z) - The MVRV-Z measures the value of the bitcoin network by comparing the market cap to the realized value and dividing by the standard deviation of the market cap (market cap – realized cap) / std(market cap)). When the market value is significantly lower than the realized value, the bitcoin network is "undervalued". Very low values have signaled cycle bottoms in the past. This indicator is triggered when the MVRVZ value is below 4.
4) Puell multiple (PUELL) - PUELL is the ratio between the daily coin issuance in USD and its 365-day moving average. This multiple helps to measure miner profitability. When the PUELL goes to extremely low values relative to historical values, it indicates the profitability of the miners is low and a bottom may be near. This indicator triggers when the PUELL is below 0.4.
5) Calendar Seasonality Index (CSI) - The CSI takes advantage of the consistency of BTC cycles. Past cycles have formed macro bottoms every four years between December and February. Therefore, this indicator triggers at set times that are marked every four years in December, January, or February.
6) Halving Seasonality Index (HSI) - The HSI, as with the CSI, takes advantage of the consistency of BTC cycles following the major event that is the halving. Past cycles have formed macro bottoms approximately 948 days after each halving. Therefore, this indicator triggers at set times that are marked 903-993 days (i.e., 948 +- 45 days) after each halving.
7) Polylog Regression (PLR) - The BTC cycle tops and bottoms were separately fit using a polynomial regression for the PLR. The bottom band was fit on much more data than the top band, so is likely to be more reliable. The shape of the regression into the future was estimated, so may not be accurate into the future, but is the best fit of tops and bottoms to date. This indicator is used to estimate when tops and bottoms are near when the price goes into the top or bottom bands. This triggers when the BTC price is inside or below the lower polylog regression channel.
8) Realized Price (RP) - The RP is summation of the value of each BTC when it last moved divided by the total number of BTC in circulation. This gives an estimation of the average "purchase" price of BTC on the bitcoin network based on when it was last transacted. This indicator tells us if the average network participant is in a state of profit or loss. This indicator triggers when the BTC price is below the realized price.
9) Hash Rate Capitulation (HRC) - The HRC indicator measures the rate of change of the hash rate. Steadily increasing hash rate is a sign of health of the bitcoin network. This indicator uses moving averages (20- and 100-day) of the hash rate to indicate when a decrease in the rate of change is has occurred (i.e., the 20-day MA goes below the 100-day MA). This indicator triggers when the 20-day moving average of the hash rate going below the 100-day moving average.
The on-chain indicators (CVDD, NUPL, MVRV-Z, PUELL, RP, and HRC) work together to give a health check of the BTC price as compared to its network health. The seasonality indicators (CSI, HSI, and PLR) work together to map the macro cycles of BTC. Each of these indicators is weighted evenly when selected and if over 40% of the indicators are triggering on a candle (i.e., at least 4 of 9), the overall BBI indicator prints a clear signal -- a green dot with a white middle portion between the white horizontal lines at the top of the indicator. This signal is meant to indicate when the macro cycle bottom is likely already hit or is near. Each of the individual indicators used for the BBI are proven macro bottom indicators over multiple cycles.
Each of the individual indicators are shown in their own rows to visualize which indicators are triggering. You are able to deselect any indicator you do not wish to have considered and select it back again. To prepare you for indicators triggering, the BBI shows dark blue or dark green when the indicator is close to triggering (i.e., generally around 20% from the trigger value, a less intense background will appear, and 10% from the trigger value, a more intense background will appear). The color of the individual indicators turns pink when they are triggered. The background color of the BBI becomes blue when at least 30% of the indicators considered are triggering and it becomes green when the BBI fully triggers. See the BTC chart above the indicator showing the performance of the indicator in picking out macro bottom regions (green dots with white middle portion). Because not all daily data for BTC can be shown on one chart, ensure you also play with the indictor yourself. The BLX is most appropriate, but the indicator works on all BTC/USD charts. Because of the limitations of moving averages in TradingView, the indicator doesn't work on time frames lower than 4 h.
You can use this indicator to help you understand when the BTC price is more likely bottoming based on past performance of these indicators. This indicator pairs with the BTI (Bitcoin (BTC) top indictor) and the BTB (Bitcoin top and bottom) indicators.
Use this indicator at your own risk. I make no assertions that this indicator will work to detect any future bottom since we all know that past performance is no guarantee of future results.
MCG - Meme Coin Gains [Logue]Meme Coin Gains. Investor preference for meme coin trading may signal irrational exuberance in the crypto market. If a large spike in meme coin gains is observed, a top may be near. Therefore, the gains of the most popular meme coins (DOGE, SHIB, SATS, ORDI, BONK, PEPE, and FLOKI) were averaged together in this indicator to help indicate potential mania phases, which may signal nearing of a top. Two simple moving averages of the meme coin gains are used to smooth the data and help visualize changes in trend. In back testing, I found a 10-day "fast" sma and a 20-day "slow" sma of the meme coin gains works well to signal tops and bottoms when extreme values of this indicator are reached.
Meme coins were not traded heavily prior to 2020. Therefore, there is only one cycle to test at the time of initial publication. Also, the meme coin space moves fast, so more meme coins may need to be added later. Also, once a meme coin has finished its mania phase where everyone and their mother has heard of it, it doesn't seem to run again (at least with the data up until time of publication). Therefore, the value of this indicator may not be great unless it is updated frequently.
The two moving averages are plotted. For the indicator, top and bottom "slow" sma trigger lines are plotted. The sma trigger line and the periods (daily) of the moving averages can be modified to your own preferences. The "slow" sma going above or below the trigger lines will print a different background color. Plot on a linear scale if you want to view this as similar to an RSI-type indicator. Plot on a log scale if you want to view as similar to a stochastic RSI.
Use this indicator at your own risk. I make no claims as to its accuracy in forecasting future trend changes of Bitcoin or the crypto market.
Market Phases NJRMarket Phases Indicator
Overview:
The Market Phases Indicator is a versatile tool designed for traders to identify key market phases, including accumulation, distribution, markup, and markdown. By analyzing the relationship between price and volume, this indicator aims to assist traders in recognizing potential shifts in market sentiment and trend direction.
Features:
1. **Moving Average Analysis:**
- Utilizes a customizable moving average length to assess the overall trend direction.
2. **Volume Confirmation:**
- Incorporates volume analysis to confirm the strength of identified market phases.
3. **Visualization:**
- Clearly visualizes accumulation, distribution, markup, and markdown phases on the price chart using intuitive shapes.
Input Parameters:
- **Moving Average Length (default: 20):**
- Adjusts the length of the moving average for trend analysis.
- **Volume Multiplier (default: 1.5):**
- Sets the multiplier to customize the volume threshold for identifying significant market phases.
How to Use:
1. **Accumulation and Distribution:**
- Green triangles indicate potential accumulation phases when the closing price is above the moving average, and volume is higher than the specified threshold. Red triangles indicate potential distribution phases.
2. **Markup and Markdown:**
- Blue triangles suggest potential markup phases when the closing price is above the moving average, and volume is below the specified threshold. Orange triangles indicate potential markdown phases.
Important Notes:
- This indicator is a tool for analysis and should be used in conjunction with other technical analysis methods.
- Parameters can be adjusted based on the specific characteristics of the asset being analyzed.
Disclaimer:
Trading involves risk, and no indicator can guarantee profits. Users should exercise caution, conduct thorough research, and consider risk management principles when making trading decisions.
MCV - Meme Coin Volume [Logue]Meme Coin Volume. Investor preference for meme coin trading may signal irrational exuberance in the crypto market. If a large spike in meme coin volume is observed, a top may be near. Therefore, the volume of the most popular meme coins was added together in this indicator to help indicate potential mania phases, which may signal nearing of a top. A simple moving average of the meme coin volume also helps visualize the trend while reducing the noise. In back testing, I found a 10-day sma of the meme coin volume works well.
Meme coins were not traded heavily prior to 2020. Therefore, there is only one cycle to test at the time of initial publication. Also, the meme coin space moves fast, so more meme coins may need to be added later.
The total volume is plotted along with a moving average of the volume. For the indicator, you are able to change the raw volume trigger line, the sma trigger line, and the period (daily) of the sma to your own preferences. The raw volume or sma going above their respective trigger lines will print a different background color.
Use this indicator at your own risk. I make no claims as to its accuracy in forecasting future trend changes of Bitcoin or the crypto market.
Kimchi Premium / Korean Premium ALL TICKERSKimchi Premium
Due to the isolated nature of Korean crypto markets, Koreans pay a hefty premium on most cryptos. (Usually ranging from 3% to 5%). This is colloquially known as the " Kimchi Premium ".
Uses
The extend of this premium can be used to gauge Korean sentiment towards certain tickers. Most of the insane alt coin rallies that are started by Korean degens are missed by foreign traders entirely. This script seeks to fix that.
Notes
This script automatically detects your current ticker and compares the USDT pair to the KRW pair after adjusting for exchange rate.
Works on all USDT, USDC, BUSD, FDUSD, USD, USDT.P, USDC.P or KRW pairs. Will obviously throw an error if your ticker has no KRW pairing.
ZenTrend Price CyclesZenTrend attempts to plot the cycles that occur as the price cycles between the top and bottom of long- and short-term price linear regression channels.
The indicator observes a fast (35-period) and a slow (100-period) linear regression channel and plots their slopes on an oscillator. When the slope of the fast channel crosses above or below the slope of the slow channel, a signal is plotted.
The red line is the slope of the fast channel; blue is the slope of the slow channel
A green dot and background indicates the slope of recent price action has crossed above the slope of long-term price action.
A red dot and background indicates the slope of recent price action has crossed below the slope of long-term price action.
A gray dot indicates the slope of recent price action is slowing. The difference between the long- and short-term slopes is narrowing.
Here are things I look for when observing price cycles
Where does the cross occur? Crosses high above or below the 'zero line' indicate a more extreme change in price channel slopes.
Flat line: crosses that occur while the lines are flat often indicate chop.
"Curve" of the line - a cross that occurs as the slope lines are starting to curve up/down indicates a sharper and more extreme change in price channel slope.
Cycles MasterCycles Master Indicator
The "Cycles Master" indicator is a powerful tool designed to reveal cyclical patterns within market trends. It operates with precision, allowing users to adjust cycle lines to the top of prices using the "Multiplication" parameter.
Multiplication: Aligning Cycle Lines
The "Multiplication" parameter serves a crucial role in aligning cycle lines with the upper extremes of price action. Increasing this value adjusts the cycles upward, offering a clearer view of cyclical patterns in relation to price peaks.
MA Length: Cycle Frequency
Meanwhile, the "MA Length" parameter determines the frequency of cycles displayed on the chart. A shorter length leads to more frequent cycles, capturing shorter-term market fluctuations. In contrast, a longer length smooths out cycles, revealing longer-term trends.
Interpreting the Indicator:
Each line represents a unique cyclical variation derived from the chosen moving average type and its parameters.
The alignment of these cycles with price peaks assists in spotting potential trend reversals or shifts in market momentum.
Usage Recommendations:
Adjust the "Multiplication" value to precisely align cycle lines with price peaks, aiding in accurate identification of cyclic patterns in relation to market highs.
Tailor the "MA Length" parameter to capture cycles of varying frequencies, catering to short-term fluctuations or longer-term trends.
Complement this indicator with additional analysis tools for a comprehensive market assessment.
Gradient Vertical Box: Cycle Line Colors
Located at the middle right of the chart, the gradient vertical box showcases varying colors that correspond to the cycle lines displayed. The colors portray the intensity and diversity of the cycles observed within the market.
Within this gradient vertical box, the top of the gradient is marked with an "H," symbolizing the Highs of cycles, while the bottom displays an "L," signifying the Lows of cycles. This arrangement provides a clear visual reference for interpreting the cycle lines.
Risk Advisory:
While the indicator assists in market analysis, it should be used alongside other indicators or analysis methods.
It does not guarantee specific market outcomes; hence, traders should practice caution and employ proper risk management strategies.
[F][IND] - Time Range HighlighterDescription:
Introducing the Time Range Highlighter script for TradingView – a precision tool designed to enhance your chart analysis experience with a focus on simplicity and functionality. This script caters to traders who find value in isolating specific time intervals for a more detailed market study, akin to the concept of trading "macros".
Key Features:
1. Effortless Customization:
Define and highlight your preferred time ranges effortlessly. Tailor the script to align with your trading strategy by setting specific start and end times for enhanced precision.
2. Multi-Interval Support:
Seamlessly analyze multiple time ranges concurrently. Toggle between highlighted intervals with ease, allowing for a comprehensive examination of various market conditions without cluttering your chart.
3. Enable/Disable On-Demand:
Maintain control over the clutter on your chart. The enable/disable feature lets you activate or deactivate the highlighted time ranges at your discretion, ensuring a clean and unobstructed view when needed.
4. Focused Chart Analysis:
By visually emphasizing chosen time intervals, the script facilitates a focused analysis of critical market movements, enabling traders to identify patterns and trends with efficiency. This feature is particularly beneficial for those employing trading "macros" to filter out noise and concentrate on key periods.
Usage Instructions:
1. Apply the Time Range Highlighter script to your TradingView chart.
2. Customize the script settings to define specific time ranges tailored to your trading preferences.
3. Toggle between enabled and disabled states as needed to maintain clarity on your chart.
4. Leverage the script to streamline your chart analysis process and make more informed trading decisions, especially when employing trading "macros" to focus on specific market intervals.
Disclaimer:
This indicator is provided for educational purposes only. Trading involves risk, and users should consult with a financial professional before making any trading decisions.
Your Feedback Matters!
Please feel free to comment or reach out if you have any improvement suggestions or if you would like to request the development of a specific indicator. Your feedback is invaluable!
BTC Halving [YinYangAlgorithms]This Indicator not only estimates what it thinks may be the PRICE for the Start, High and Low of the Halving, but likewise estimates WHEN the Start, High and Low of Halving may be. It then creates Trend Lines based on these predictions so that you may get an evaluation towards if the Price is currently Overbought or Oversold. These Trend Lines may be very useful for seeing the Slope in which the Price may move if it is to reach the estimated Price by the estimated Date. By evaluating the Prices location based on these Trend Lines we may determine if the Price is currently Overbought or Oversold.
These Trend Lines likewise may help identify locations of Support and Resistance. If the Price is much higher than its current Trend Line it is Overbought. There is a chance it will Consolidate back to the Trend Line or it may even correct with a dump all the way back to it; the opposite is true if it is much lower than its current Trend Line.
Trend Lines and Estimates are not all that is featured within this Indicator however. There are also Price Zones which may help identify if the price is currently:
Very Overbought (Red)
Slightly Overbought (Orange)
Neutral (Yellow)
Slightly Oversold (Teal)
Very Oversold (Green)
These zones may help give you an idea of how the price is currently fairing and its potential for movement. Likewise, it may help define where Support and Resistance may be found.
The trend line estimates are done with an algorithm created to evaluate the difference between price and % change that has occurred between the Start, High and Low of all the halvings over how many days between each data type. This may allow us to make an educated estimate towards what Price and Date the Start, High and Low will occur at.
Our Zones are created by evaluating the current Market Cap and circulating supply vs Max Supply of BTC. This may help give us an evaluation of what Price may be considered to be Overbought and Oversold; and likewise may help with estimations of where there may be Support and Resistance based on these Zones.
Tutorial:
In the example above we’re displaying the Halving Start Trend Line, our Information Tables and our Estimated Halving Vertical Marker. This Trend Line may help to display not only the trajectory and slope the Price needs to take to reach the Estimated Halving Price by the Estimated Halving Date; but it may also help to show if the price is Overvalued or Undervalued based on its position above or below this Trend Line.
Based on the Trajectory of the Estimated High Upward Trend Line (Green Line) in the photo above and from the ‘High Date’ estimated in the Information tables; we may attempt to estimate the location the ATH of this Bull Market will create and the price slope it may follow in doing so. This Trajectory may be very useful for understanding the price action that may occur for it to reach the High estimated Price by the High estimated Date.
We currently allow for two different types of zones within our Settings, one called ‘Fast’ displayed in the example above; and the other called ‘Slow’ displayed in the example below.
Our Fast Zone aims to move the Zone Levels Faster in an attempt to move with volatility and parabolic movement. This may help to keep the Very Overbought (Red) and Very OverSold (Green) Levels more accurate by attempting to keep the price within them. By doing so, we may aim to keep all of the Slightly Overbought, Slightly Oversold and Neutral Levels more accurate as well.
The Levels within these zones are defined by the Bright (less transparent) Lines. Whereas the Darker (more transparent) lines represent the Basis Lines between two different levels. These Basis lines may likewise act as a Support and Resistance Location too, but generally hold less weight than the actual Levels themselves.
What you may see is that during the Bull Market, the price is within the very Overbought Zones and even touches again the Very Overbought Level a few times. Likewise, during the Bear Market, the price is within the very Oversold Zones and even slightly drops below the Very Oversold Level. This may be expected and likewise may help to give estimates at potential for growth and decay within the Price based on which condition the Market is within.
Slow Zones move a little slower than Fast Zones, however they may still be accurate. Likewise, it is up to you to decide which Zone works better for your specific Trading Style; however, by default, the Zone type is set to Fast.
If you refer to both the Fast and Slow examples above, you may notice in the Fast the Price is only slightly above the ‘Slightly Oversold’ (Teal) line. Also, In the Fast, the Price where the ‘Very Overbought’ Level is 100k. This is one of the many reasons we’ve opted for ‘Fast’ as the default, and it is because it allows more room for movement; and in our opinion, potentially accuracy as well.
If you refer to the Slow example, you’ll see that the price is currently facing the Neutral Level as a Resistance location. However, if you refer to the price residing at the Slows ‘Very Overbought’ Level, it is only 81.5k, compared to the 100k of Fast.
The BTC Halving is a major event that takes place roughly every 4 years. It historically has a major impact on the market, and some may even say it signifies the Start, or close to start of the Bull Market. Therefore, since historically there may be cycles that BTC and potentially crypto itself follows, we’ve developed this Indicator in hopes that it may solve one of the biggest questions traders face. What Date will the Start, High and Low of the Halving occur and also at what Price.
Hopefully this Tutorial has given you some guidance as to how this Indicator may be used to help identify some of these key levels; including the slope at which the price may have to move if it is to reach its projection Price by its projected Date.
Settings:
1. Show Prediction Trend Lines:
- Options:
All
Start + High
Start + Low
High + Low
Start
High
Low
None
- Description:
Prediction Trend Lines may be an important way to see the Slope the Price needs to take to reach the Predicted Price by the Predicted Date. This may be useful for identifying if the Price is currently Overbought or Oversold.
2. Zone Type:
- Options:
Fast
Slow
- Description:
Zone types change the way the Zones expand.
3. Show Zones:
- Options:
All
Zones
Basis
None
- Description:
Zones are a way of seeing Overbought and Oversold Price locations based on Market Cap and Circulating Supply vs Max Supply.
4. Vertical Markers:
- Options:
All
Line
Label
None
- Description:
Vertical Markers display where the Halving has occurred with a Vertical Line and Label.
5. Show Tables:
Tables may be useful for seeing the Price and Date for when the Start, High and Low of the Halving may occur.
6. Fill Zones:
Filling in Zones may help to identify which Zone the Price is currently in.
If you have any questions, comments, ideas or concerns please don't hesitate to contact us.
HAPPY TRADING!
Hurst ALMA Channels With Signals [UAlgo]
In the pursuit of identifying potential market pivots, a single measurement of Average True Range (ATR), may not provide sufficient information on its own, lacking directional insights. However, by employing a Moving Average (MA), specifically the Arnaud Legoux MA with Hurst C. calculation applied, a potential trading range can be visualized, taking recent volatility into account.
The underlying assumption is that if volatility remains relatively stable and the price extends beyond this ATR-derived range, there is a high probability of a reversion to the mean. At this point, it is postulated that available buying or selling pressure is depleted, prompting a pivot back to the mean.
To enhance the analysis, multiple MAs of different lengths are plotted. While individual MAs alone may not convey substantial information, observing reversions to the mean between MAs of varying lengths becomes insightful. Shorter MAs may oscillate above or below longer MAs, returning to the mean and creating crossover patterns.
The key innovation lies in combining these two concepts. By utilizing three different length MAs with corresponding ATR lengths, a dynamic system is established. The smallest band fluctuates within the medium band, and the medium band oscillates within the large band, creating approximate short, medium, and long trading ranges relative to the MAs.
For instance, in a theoretical scenario, when the smallest band reaches the upper limit of the medium band, and simultaneously, the medium band reaches the upper limit of the large band, and the price surpasses all of them, there is a heightened probability of a market reversal.
It's important to emphasize that these observations are based on historical volatility patterns and are subject to adjustments based on specific market conditions and the chosen instrument.
The developed indicator generates three distinct signal types, each providing valuable insights into potential market pivots without disclosing specific parameters:
Large Triangles : Representing a high-probability pivot, this signal occurs when the price surpasses all bands, either at the top or bottom. It suggests an extreme point where a pivot is likely.
Medium Triangles : Indicating a notable market event, this signal emerges when the price exceeds both the small and medium bands but falls short of surpassing the large band. Additionally, the small band must have exceeded the medium band. This configuration points to a significant market move with a potential for reversion.
Small Triangles : This signal is observed when the price surpasses both the small and medium bands, yet does not breach the large band. Notably, the small band should not have exceeded the medium band. This signal type suggests a distinctive market condition where a pivot may be imminent.
These triangle signals are designed to identify key points in the market where historical patterns indicate a likelihood of reversion or significant price movement. It is crucial to note that the interpretation of these signals should be adapted to specific market conditions and instruments.
Good luck to you all !
