test_%_down_upStrategy for testing efficiency of strategies based on % retrace from local top based on modifiable range.
波動率
BBofVWAP with entry at Pivot PointThis strategy uses BB of VWAP and Pivot point to enter and exit the Long position.
settings
BB length 50
BB Source VWAP
Entry
When VWAP crossing up BB midline and price/close is above weekly PivotPoint ( you can also use Daily pivot point )
Exit
When VWAP is crossing down BB lower band
Stop Loss
Stop loss defaulted to 5%
Note : Long will position will be exited on either VWAP crossing down BB lower band or stop loss is hit - whichever comes first . Being said that some time your stop loss exit is less than 5% which saves from more losses.
Entry is based on weekly Pivot point , so any time frame below weekly will work perfect. I have tested t on 30 min , 1 HR , 4 Hr , Daily charts. Even weekly setting shows good results , that will work for long term investing style.
if you change Pivot period to Daily , chose time frames below Daily.
I also noticed this strategy mostly do not enter Long position in a down trend. Even it finds one , it will be exited with minimal loss.
Warning
For the use of educational purposes only
888 BOT #backtest█ 888 BOT #backtest (open source)
This is an Expert Advisor 'EA' or Automated trading script for ‘longs’ and ‘shorts’, which uses only a Take Profit or, in the worst case, a Stop Loss to close the trade.
It's a much improved version of the previous ‘Repanocha’. It doesn`t use 'Trailing Stop' or 'security()' functions (although using a security function doesn`t mean that the script repaints) and all signals are confirmed, therefore the script doesn`t repaint in alert mode and is accurate in backtest mode.
Apart from the previous indicators, some more and other functions have been added for Stop-Loss, re-entry and leverage.
It uses 8 indicators, (many of you already know what they are, but in case there is someone new), these are the following:
1. Jurik Moving Average
It's a moving average created by Mark Jurik for professionals which eliminates the 'lag' or delay of the signal. It's better than other moving averages like EMA , DEMA , AMA or T3.
There are two ways to decrease noise using JMA . Increasing the 'LENGTH' parameter will cause JMA to move more slowly and therefore reduce noise at the expense of adding 'lag'
The 'JMA LENGTH', 'PHASE' and 'POWER' parameters offer a way to select the optimal balance between 'lag' and over boost.
Green: Bullish , Red: Bearish .
2. Range filter
Created by Donovan Wall, its function is to filter or eliminate noise and to better determine the price trend in the short term.
First, a uniform average price range 'SAMPLING PERIOD' is calculated for the filter base and multiplied by a specific quantity 'RANGE MULTIPLIER'.
The filter is then calculated by adjusting price movements that do not exceed the specified range.
Finally, the target ranges are plotted to show the prices that will trigger the filter movement.
Green: Bullish , Red: Bearish .
3. Average Directional Index ( ADX Classic) and ( ADX Masanakamura)
It's an indicator designed by Welles Wilder to measure the strength and direction of the market trend. The price movement is strong when the ADX has a positive slope and is above a certain minimum level 'ADX THRESHOLD' and for a given period 'ADX LENGTH'.
The green color of the bars indicates that the trend is bullish and that the ADX is above the level established by the threshold.
The red color of the bars indicates that the trend is down and that the ADX is above the threshold level.
The orange color of the bars indicates that the price is not strong and will surely lateralize.
You can choose between the classic option and the one created by a certain 'Masanakamura'. The main difference between the two is that in the first it uses RMA () and in the second SMA () in its calculation.
4. Parabolic SAR
This indicator, also created by Welles Wilder, places points that help define a trend. The Parabolic SAR can follow the price above or below, the peculiarity that it offers is that when the price touches the indicator, it jumps to the other side of the price (if the Parabolic SAR was below the price it jumps up and vice versa) to a distance predetermined by the indicator. At this time the indicator continues to follow the price, reducing the distance with each candle until it is finally touched again by the price and the process starts again. This procedure explains the name of the indicator: the Parabolic SAR follows the price generating a characteristic parabolic shape, when the price touches it, stops and turns ( SAR is the acronym for 'stop and reverse'), giving rise to a new cycle. When the points are below the price, the trend is up, while the points above the price indicate a downward trend.
5. RSI with Volume
This indicator was created by LazyBear from the popular RSI .
The RSI is an oscillator-type indicator used in technical analysis and also created by Welles Wilder that shows the strength of the price by comparing individual movements up or down in successive closing prices.
LazyBear added a volume parameter that makes it more accurate to the market movement.
A good way to use RSI is by considering the 50 'RSI CENTER LINE' centerline. When the oscillator is above, the trend is bullish and when it is below, the trend is bearish .
6. Moving Average Convergence Divergence ( MACD ) and ( MAC-Z )
It was created by Gerald Appel. Subsequently, the histogram was added to anticipate the crossing of MA. Broadly speaking, we can say that the MACD is an oscillator consisting of two moving averages that rotate around the zero line. The MACD line is the difference between a short moving average 'MACD FAST MA LENGTH' and a long moving average 'MACD SLOW MA LENGTH'. It's an indicator that allows us to have a reference on the trend of the asset on which it is operating, thus generating market entry and exit signals.
We can talk about a bull market when the MACD histogram is above the zero line, along with the signal line, while we are talking about a bear market when the MACD histogram is below the zero line.
There is the option of using the MAC-Z indicator created by LazyBear, which according to its author is more effective, by using the parameter VWAP ( volume weighted average price ) 'Z-VWAP LENGTH' together with a standard deviation 'STDEV LENGTH' in its calculation.
7. Volume Condition
Volume indicates the number of participants in this war between bulls and bears, the more volume the more likely the price will move in favor of the trend. A low trading volume indicates a lower number of participants and interest in the instrument in question. Low volumes may reveal weakness behind a price movement.
With this condition, those signals whose volume is less than the volume SMA for a period 'SMA VOLUME LENGTH' multiplied by a factor 'VOLUME FACTOR' are filtered. In addition, it determines the leverage used, the more volume , the more participants, the more probability that the price will move in our favor, that is, we can use more leverage. The leverage in this script is determined by how many times the volume is above the SMA line.
The maximum leverage is 8.
8. Bollinger Bands
This indicator was created by John Bollinger and consists of three bands that are drawn superimposed on the price evolution graph.
The central band is a moving average, normally a simple moving average calculated with 20 periods is used. ('BB LENGTH' Number of periods of the moving average)
The upper band is calculated by adding the value of the simple moving average X times the standard deviation of the moving average. ('BB MULTIPLIER' Number of times the standard deviation of the moving average)
The lower band is calculated by subtracting the simple moving average X times the standard deviation of the moving average.
the band between the upper and lower bands contains, statistically, almost 90% of the possible price variations, which means that any movement of the price outside the bands has special relevance.
In practical terms, Bollinger bands behave as if they were an elastic band so that, if the price touches them, it has a high probability of bouncing.
Sometimes, after the entry order is filled, the price is returned to the opposite side. If price touch the Bollinger band in the same previous conditions, another order is filled in the same direction of the position to improve the average entry price, (% MINIMUM BETTER PRICE ': Minimum price for the re-entry to be executed and that is better than the price of the previous position in a given %) in this way we give the trade a chance that the Take Profit is executed before. The downside is that the position is doubled in size. 'ACTIVATE DIVIDE TP': Divide the size of the TP in half. More probability of the trade closing but less profit.
█ STOP LOSS and RISK MANAGEMENT.
A good risk management is what can make your equity go up or be liquidated.
The % risk is the percentage of our capital that we are willing to lose by operation. This is recommended to be between 1-5%.
% Risk: (% Stop Loss x % Equity per trade x Leverage) / 100
First the strategy is calculated with Stop Loss, then the risk per operation is determined and from there, the amount per operation is calculated and not vice versa.
In this script you can use a normal Stop Loss or one according to the ATR. Also activate the option to trigger it earlier if the risk percentage is reached. '% RISK ALLOWED'
'STOP LOSS CONFIRMED': The Stop Loss is only activated if the closing of the previous bar is in the loss limit condition. It's useful to prevent the SL from triggering when they do a ‘pump’ to sweep Stops and then return the price to the previous state.
█ BACKTEST
The objective of the Backtest is to evaluate the effectiveness of our strategy. A good Backtest is determined by some parameters such as:
- RECOVERY FACTOR: It consists of dividing the 'net profit' by the 'drawdown’. An excellent trading system has a recovery factor of 10 or more; that is, it generates 10 times more net profit than drawdown.
- PROFIT FACTOR: The ‘Profit Factor’ is another popular measure of system performance. It's as simple as dividing what win trades earn by what loser trades lose. If the strategy is profitable then by definition the 'Profit Factor' is going to be greater than 1. Strategies that are not profitable produce profit factors less than one. A good system has a profit factor of 2 or more. The good thing about the ‘Profit Factor’ is that it tells us what we are going to earn for each dollar we lose. A profit factor of 2.5 tells us that for every dollar we lose operating we will earn 2.5.
- SHARPE: (Return system - Return without risk) / Deviation of returns.
When the variations of gains and losses are very high, the deviation is very high and that leads to a very poor ‘Sharpe’ ratio. If the operations are very close to the average (little deviation) the result is a fairly high 'Sharpe' ratio. If a strategy has a 'Sharpe' ratio greater than 1 it is a good strategy. If it has a 'Sharpe' ratio greater than 2, it is excellent. If it has a ‘Sharpe’ ratio less than 1 then we don't know if it is good or bad, we have to look at other parameters.
- MATHEMATICAL EXPECTATION: (% winning trades X average profit) + (% losing trades X average loss).
To earn money with a Trading system, it is not necessary to win all the operations, what is really important is the final result of the operation. A Trading system has to have positive mathematical expectation as is the case with this script: ME = (0.87 x 30.74$) - (0.13 x 56.16$) = (26.74 - 7.30) = 19.44$ > 0
The game of roulette, for example, has negative mathematical expectation for the player, it can have positive winning streaks, but in the long term, if you continue playing you will end up losing, and casinos know this very well.
PARAMETERS
'BACKTEST DAYS': Number of days back of historical data for the calculation of the Backtest.
'ENTRY TYPE': For '% EQUITY' if you have $ 10,000 of capital and select 7.5%, for example, your entry would be $ 750 without leverage. If you select CONTRACTS for the 'BTCUSDT' pair, for example, it would be the amount in 'Bitcoins' and if you select 'CASH' it would be the amount in $ dollars.
'QUANTITY (LEVERAGE 1X)': The amount for an entry with X1 leverage according to the previous section.
'MAXIMUM LEVERAGE': It's the maximum allowed multiplier of the quantity entered in the previous section according to the volume condition.
The settings are for Bitcoin at Binance Futures (BTC: USDTPERP) in 15 minutes.
For other pairs and other timeframes, the settings have to be adjusted again. And within a month, the settings will be different because we all know the market and the trend are changing.
Amazing strategy for silver -XAGUSD, XAGEUR etcToday I bring an amazing strategy that works for 1h time frames for silver.
Its made of price actions movement combined together with MACD and simple moving average
It does not use neither stop loss/take profit levels. Instead it will always exit at the next candle after it opens a trade.
The rules are the next one :
For short condition : we have a bull candle, and candle is above the moving average, and MACD histogram is > 0 and last high0 and candle close > last high1 and, previus high1 and candle close > last high2
At the same time, viceversa for long condition.
In development terms, this is the formula
long1 = (close > open ) and time_cond and close > out and hist > 0 and hist > hist and high > high and high > high and close > high and close > high and close > high
short1 = (close < open) and time_cond and close < out and hist < 0 and hist < hist and low < low and low < low and close < low and close < low and close < low
But when we enter the trade, we enter in reverse, like lets say we go long -> for this we apply the short1 condition. If we go short we apply the long1 condition.
If you have any questions , please let me know .
Velocity To Inverse Correlation to VIX/Bonds Strategy (2020)This strategy measures and creates a signal when an asset is moving out of a correlation with high yield bonds or the CBOE VIX into an inverse correlation, as well as when an asset is losing correlation with a top corporate bonds ETF. When this signal is triggered, the simulation has the portfolio asset go long.
Additionally, exits are based on a 2% stop loss and a 2% take profit for simplicity sake to indicate whether the direct next move in the asset is up or down.
This was originally tested as a descent indicator for Ethereum's 2020 moves as institutional investors moved into the market.
Swing/Daytrading strategy with reversal option
Hello, today I bring a swing reversal strategy that work on all financial markets.
It uses timeframes starting from 1h, the bigger the better.
Its very dangerous because it has no stop loss, neither a take profit. Our exit condition is based on the reversal on the entry .
For entry we have 2 types : normal and reversal
Lets say we want to go long , for that we check the last CLOSE of a candle with the previos HIGH. If its higher than that, and at the same time CLOSE is bigger than the moving average, we have a long entry.
For short we have CLOSE with the previous LOW. If its lower than that and at the same time is lower than moving average, we have a short entry.
For moving average we use T3 MA
For reversal what I do, is , I take the short condition and I apply it to long, and for long I apply the short condition.
On many cases I found out it work amazingly.
I forgot to add: it also has a time entry system, so we use the best hours/sessions for entries .
Exit a trade: lets say we enter short, when we find a long condition, we close short and enter into long. Viceversa for long.
If you have any questions, let me know.
Enjoy it :)
BuyHigh-SellLow StrategyYeah. You read it right. It's not a mistake. It is buy high and sell low strategy.
Main entry condition is to buy when price hits 40 day Donchian channel top. This is combined with my other regular filters which are aligned moving average and new high/low filter and yearly high/low filter.
Exit condition can be based on two things:
Donchian channel : Set appropriate DonchianExitLength. Lower line of donchian channel acts as trailing stop.
ATR Based trailing stop : Select appropriate ATR multiplier and length.
What a surprise!! You can buy high, sell low and still make money.
Trend Finder V2A variation of a previous indicator i made using two stochastics and a volume weighted moving average to look for trend, 10% equity used per trade at 0.1% commission
The close can be used more of a stop loss if volatility is used to take profit
Doji swing strategyThis is a simple strategy based on Doji star candlestick
This strategy is suited for big time frames, like 4h -1Day and so on.
It places two orders: long at doji star high or previous candle high and short at doji star low or previous candle low.
It can also be applied volume average, in order to filter between trades .
This strategy works very well with high time frames like Weekly TF because it eliminates the noise in doji formation.
It also has inside a risk management made of SL/TP , or if not prefered it can exit based on a exit condition.
If you have any questions, please let me know !
Parabolic SAR Swing strategy GBP JPY Daily timeframeToday I bring you a new strategy thats made of parabolic sar. It has optmized values for GBPJPY Daily timeframe chart.
It also has a time period selection, in order to see how it behave between selected years.
The strategy behind it is simple :
We have an uptrend , (the psar is below our candles) we go long. We exit when our candle crosses the psar value.
The same applies for downtrend(the psar is above our candles), where we go short. We exit when our candle cross the psar value.
Among the basic indicators, it looks like PSAR is one of the best canditates for swing trading.
If you have any questions, please let me know.
Bollinger %B Candles StrategyStrategy built based on earlier published indicator:
Looks to be doing good for short term swing trades. But, I am not sure if there is repainting. I tried to avoid buy/sell trades on same day - but wasn't successful.
So far back-tested on following:
COINBASE:BTCUSD - works on both long and short
CURRENCYCOM:GOLD and equities - long only.
Some of the failures: ASX:WPL , ASX:WHC , ASX:NHC
As usual for back-testing - using 1000 as initial capital with 100% invested on each trade and no compounding so that it will be easy to compare with buy and hold. Trade with caution :)
2HLA very simple, almost naive strategy, in which you buy on the lowest of the two previous candles and sell at the highest of the two previous candles. You can configure these highest and lowest lenght, in some assets two is too small of a number to make profit. You can also configure to exit the position after X, and I found that 7 (which is a week of working days) is a good number for that.
This is strategy is intended to be used as a swing trade. Your capital needs to be high enough so that it can pay the operaitonal costs, and reach it's target with a reasonable profit.
Since this is a volatility based strategy, assets that are more liquid won't work properly.
Stock Market Strategy : VWAP, MACD, EMA, Breakout, BBHello there,
Today I bring you a stock market strategy, specialized in NASDAQ stocks.
Its a daytrading strategy, that can only do a max of 1 trade per day. In this case it only trades the first 2 opening hours of the market.
The rules are simple :
We follow the trend based on a big EMA, in this case 200, after that, we check for VWAP direction , then, we check histogram from MACD. This is the simple logic of the strategy.
Inside there is another strategy, that not just do the above, but also uses Bollinger bands, and checks for breakout of bottom or top line. Also it uses Average directional Index, for even a bigger criteria .
So for example a long condition it would be : candle is above the ema, and candle is above vwap, and histogram is positive, and candle break the top bb level and ADI < 40 -> long signal . The opposite works for short(ADI > 20).
In this case all this criterias are between the first 2 hours of market. So we enter between the first hour, and exit in the next hour. For this we need to use very short time frames.
Hope you enjoy it.
Let me know if you have any questions
Bitlinc MARSI Study AST w/ Take Profit & Stop loss - beta 0.1This script is beta 0.1 - will update as soon as the script is tradable
This script is based on AST on a 10 minute timeframe. You can change the asset and the timeframe for any asset you want to trade, but for it to work correct ALL settings have to be testes in the Strategy section of the TradingView. Each assets and timeframe require a different mixture of settings. This is NOT a one settings fits all trading for all assets on any timeframe. Below are the settings and explanation on how it works.
How it fires a buy / sell:
The script will plot an RSI with upper and lower bands in a separate indicator window. The idea behind this script is to fire a LONG when MA crosses OVER lower band and fire a SHORT when the MA crosses under the lower band. Each order that fires is an OCO (Order Cancels Order) for pyramiding.
Settings:
You have full control of these settings as mentioned above, you must configure every part of this script for each asset and timeframe you trade.
- Length of MA
- Length
- Upper bands of RSI
- Lower bands of RSI
- Take profit percentage
- Stop loss percentage
- Month to start and end the strategy (within 2020)
- Day to start and end the strategy (within 2020)
- Quantity type
- Slippage
- Pyramiding
***Remember that after the signal to enter or exit a trade is fired, the alert will trigger AFTER the close of the candle that caused the tigger to fire
Y-Profit Maximizer Strategy with Exit PointsThis script based on KivancOzbilgic 's PMax indicator. I modified a bit. Added Filters, Exit (TP) Levels and few indicator in it. This script opening only Long Positions.
I have used this indicators in this strategy:
-Moving Stop Loss (Most) by ceyhun
-PMax Explorer STRATEGY & SCREENER
-Bollinger Bands on Macd
-Tillson T3 Moving Average by KIVANÇ fr3762
I am open to suggestions for improve this script.
PS: Script is in Turkish Language.
Low volatility Buy w/ TP & SL (Coinrule)The compression of volatility usually leads to expansion. When the breakout comes, it can ignite strong trends. One way to catch a coin trading in an accumulation area is to spot three moving averages with values close to each other. The strategy uses a combination of Moving Averages to spot the best time to buy a coin before its breakout.
Buy Condition
The MA200 is greater than the MA100
The MA50 is greater than the MA100
According to backtesting results, the 1-hour time frame is the best to run this strategy.
Sell Condition
Take Profit: the price increases 8% from the entry price
Stop Loss: the price drops 4% from the entry price
The strategy has a profitability of 40-60% (depending on the market conditions). Having a ratio of two between Take profit and Stop Loss helps keeping the strategy profitable in the long term.
Wilder's Volatility Trailing Stop Strategy with various MA'sFor Educational Purposes. Results can differ on different markets and can fail at any time. Profit is not guaranteed.
This only works in a few markets and in certain situations. Changing the settings can give better or worse results for other markets. This strategy is based on Wilder's Volatility System. It is an ATR trailing stop that is used for long term trends. This strategy focuses on the trailing stop alone and goes long and short only when it goes above or below the trailing line. It is similar to Donchian channels except it does not include the certain period channel breakout, only the trailing signal. This is only the trailing stop and an attempt to show how well it works standalone as Wilder described.
In his book, Wilder recommends a multiplier of 2.8-3.1 and an ATR lookback of 7 periods along with a running moving average or otherwise known as Wilder's moving average. The calculation and programming part for the trailing stop varies everywhere. I opted to keep it as simple and accurate as I could think of and interpret from the book. The variations to these types of indicators are numerous unfortunately, but Wilder seems to be the original author of ATR and this ATR-based trailing stop. In his book he says to use the significant closing price or highest/lowest closing price for the calculation part but I also included the option of choosing the highest high and lowest low, and the option to choose various moving averages in case anyone wants to experiment.
Comparing this and Donchian channels, it seems that a 2.5 multiplier is somewhat similar to the middle band of DCs and a 3.0 multiplier is somewhat similar to a double length middle band of DCs. It's hard to say which is the better trailing stop for a long term strategy. It's hard to beat the simplicity of DCs but maybe some might find a need for more inputs in a trailing stop or maybe an ATR based one like Wilder's can work better depending on what setting or strategy it's used in.
Bollinger Bands and RSI mix with DCAThis strategy uses a mix of Bollinger Bands and RSI to enter long positions. It impliments DCA.
Moving Average, T3 and Bollinger StrategyThis strategy uses a SMA much like an the faster EMA in many oscillators and the T3 average of the same period as the intermediate trend. Exits are defined by encounters with the Bollinger Band. The long term trend is defined by T3 moving averages of an even longer period.
TrendMaAlignmentStrategy - Long term tradesThis is another strategy based on moving average alignment and HighLow periods. This is more suitable for long term trend traders and mainly for stocks.
Candle is colored lime if : Lookback Period has at least one bar with moving averages fully aligned OR None of the bars in Lookback periods has negatively aligned moving averages (More than half are positively aligned).
Candle is colored orange if : Lookback Period has at least one bar with moving averages fully aligned in negative way OR none of the bars in lookback has positively aligned moving averages (More than half are negatively aligned).
If either of above conditions are met, candle is colored silver.
Moving average alignment parameters:
Moving Average Type : MA Type for calculating Aligned Moving Average Index
Lookback Period : Lookback period to check highest and lowest Moving Average index.
HighLow parameters:
Short High/Low Period: Short period to check highs and lows
Long High/Low Period: Longer Period to check highs and lows.
If short period high == long period high, which means, instrument has made new high in the short period.
ATR Parameters:
ATR Length: ATR periods
StopMultiplyer: To set stop loss.
ReentryStopMultiplyer: This is used when signal is green buy stop loss on previous trade is hit. In such cases, new order will not be placed until it has certain distance from stop line.
Trade Prameters:
Exit on Signal : To be used with caution. Enabling it will allow us to get out on bad trades early and helps exit trades in long consolidation periods. But, this may also cause early exit in the trend. If instrument is trending nicely, it is better to keep this setting unchecked.
Trade direction : Default is long only. Short trades are not so successful in backtest. Use it with caution.
Backtest years : limit backtesting to certain years.
Part of the logic used from study's below:
Other strategies based on these two studies are below (which are meant for short - medium terms):
Profit Maximizer StrategyFirst I would like to thank to @KivancOzbilgic for developing this indicator.
All the credit goes to him.
I just created a strategy, in order to try to find the perfect parameters, timeframe and currency for it.
I will provide below the same description like he has in the publish of profit maximizer
Profit Maximizer - PMax combines the powerful sides of MOST (Moving Average Trend Changer) and SuperTrend (ATR price detection) in one indicator.
Backtest and optimization results of PMax are far better when compared to its ancestors MOST and SuperTrend. It reduces the number of false signals in sideways and give more reliable trade signals.
PMax is easy to determine the trend and can be used in any type of markets and instruments. It does not repaint.
The first parameter in the PMax indicator set by the three parameters is the period/length of ATR.
The second Parameter is the Multiplier of ATR which would be useful to set the value of distance from the built in Moving Average.
I personally think the most important parameter is the Moving Average Length and type.
PMax will be much sensitive to trend movements if Moving Average Length is smaller. And vice versa, will be less sensitive when it is longer.
As the period increases it will become less sensitive to little trends and price actions.
In this way, your choice of period, will be closely related to which of the sort of trends you are interested in.
We are under the effect of the uptrend in cases where the Moving Average is above PMax;
conversely under the influence of a downward trend, when the Moving Average is below PMax.
Built in Moving Average type defaultly set as EMA but users can choose from 8 different Moving Average types like:
SMA : Simple Moving Average
EMA : Exponential Movin Average
WMA : Weighted Moving Average
TMA : Triangular Moving Average
VAR : Variable Index Dynamic Moving Average aka VIDYA
WWMA : Welles Wilder's Moving Average
ZLEMA : Zero Lag Exponential Moving Average
TSF : True Strength Force
Tip: In sideways VAR would be a good choice
You can use PMax default alarms and Buy Sell signals like:
1-
BUY when Moving Average crosses above PMax
SELL when Moving Average crosses under PMax
2-
BUY when prices jumps over PMax line.
SELL when prices go under PMax line.
Breakout Trend Trading Strategy - V2This is an alternate version of Breakout Trend Trading Strategy - V1
Only difference is, this strategy places stop orders based on calculated targets whereas V1 waits for price to close target levels and then places market orders. Hence, you will receive the target prices before trade executes in strategy.
Parameters are same as that of Breakout Trend Trading Strategy - V1
There is one additional parameter on Trade Type - which permits user to allow only breakout, pullback or reverse trading or combination of all.
Backtesting parameters remain same :
Capital and position sizing : Capital and position sizing parameters are set to test investing 2000 wholly on certain stock without compounding.
Initial Capital : 2000
Order Size : 100% of equity
Pyramiding : 1
Test cases remain same :
Positive : AAPL , AMZN , TSLA , RUN, VRT , ASX:APT
Negative Test Cases: WPL , WHC , NHC , WOW, COL, NAB (All ASX stocks)
Special test case: WDI
Negative test cases still show losses in back-testing. I have attempted including many conditions to eliminate or reduce the loss. But, further efforts has resulted in reduction in profits in positive cases as well. Still experimenting. Will update whenever I find improvements. Comments and suggestions welcome :)
Breakout Trend Trading Strategy - V1Strategy in nutshell:
This strategy is made to be used in daily time-frames. Works better on trending instruments where volume is available. Hence, this is more suitable for trending shares rather than currencies, commodities and indexes where volume data is either not present or not reliable.
Breakout signifies the continuation of trend. Hence, trade in the direction of breakouts. Breakouts are calculated based on high volume and price movement in a day. This will be combined with few other conditions to generate buy and sell signals along with stop and compound targets. Supertrend is used for trend bias. Our buy and sell targets do not directly depend on the bias. But, entry criteria in opposite trend is made much difficult than that of trend direction. Further explanation of method and input parameters are explained below.
Backtesting parameters :
Capital and position sizing : Capital and position sizing parameters are set to test investing 2000 wholly on certain stock without compounding.
Initial Capital : 2000
Order Size : 100% of equity
Pyramiding : 1
ExitOnSignal : If unchecked exit is triggered solely on trailing stop
Trade Direction : Long, Short or All. Short condition is riskier than long conditions and often results in losses as per my observation. On most of the stocks trending up, strategy will not generate any short signals. This is achieved by comparing yearly high lows to previous two years to decide whether to allow short or long entries.
allowImmediateCompound : Applicable only if compounding/pyramiding is enabled in trade. If checked allows to place compounding orders immediately. If unchecked, it waits for stopline to cross order price before placing next compound.
Display Mode :
Targets : Whenever breakout happens, show marker for upTarget and downTarget
TargetChannel : Show up target and downtarget as a channel
Target With Stop : Along with targets, show also stop levels for breakouts
Up Channel : Channel created from UpTarget and respective stops
Down Channel : Channel created from DownTarget and respective stops
ShowTrailingStop : Shows trailing stop and compound lines when there is a trading position.
ShowTargetLevels : Shows Buy Sell target levels along with stop and compound lines. Trades are done as market orders. Hence, target levels are displayed after strategy makes the trade. Since only one order allowed per side without compounding, target, stop and compound levels are shown sometimes even without trade being made. These can be considered as entry levels if there is no existing position.
ShowPreviousLevels : Shows previous buy/sell target levels. When enabled, layout can look messy.
StopMultiplyer: To Set trailing stop loss.
BacktestYears: Number of years to include in backtest
So far my test cases are:
Positive : AAPL, AMZN, TSLA, RUN, VRT, ASX:APT
Negative Test Cases: WPL, WHC, NHC, WOW, COL, NAB (All ASX stocks)
Special test case: WDI
Negative test cases still show losses in backtesting. I have attempted including many conditions to eliminate or reduce the loss. But, further efforts has resulted in reduction in profits in positive cases as well. Still experimenting. Will update whenever I find improvements. Comments and suggestions welcome :)
