AAPL: The Ultimate Bearish Shark Scenario Pointing Towards $33
There is already an Active Bearish Shark Trade going on with AAPl that is targeting $152.24, which would be a 0.618 retrace of the local range, but there are much bigger bearish patterns and signals in the long term that could be hinting at an elevated probability of AAPL completely undoing the uptrend it's been in since 2018 and returning to those 2018 lows at $32.99.
Apple has been trading within an Ascending Broadening Wedge since 2018 and has recently topped out at the PCZ of a Bearish Shark it formed at the highs with PPO Confirmation and MACD Bearish Divergence. The target of this local top would take it to $152-$124, but if we zoom out to the bigger picture, we can see that if it hits the macro Demand Line from here, it will confirm the Partial Rise of this Ascending Broadening Wedge Pattern and the measured move of this pattern would take it back to the pattern's inception, which is around $35. In addition to that, a break of this channel would also align with a break of a potential Harmonic B point, which would put us in a Shark BAMM and the PCZ of that Shark would land anywhere between the 0.886 retrace and 1.13 extension. Due to this confluence, I find it very likely that if we break below the wedge, we will then see the price of Apple take a Harmonic dive to the $35 area.
Apple has been trading within an Ascending Broadening Wedge since 2018 and has recently topped out at the PCZ of a Bearish Shark it formed at the highs with PPO Confirmation and MACD Bearish Divergence. The target of this local top would take it to $152-$124, but if we zoom out to the bigger picture, we can see that if it hits the macro Demand Line from here, it will confirm the Partial Rise of this Ascending Broadening Wedge Pattern and the measured move of this pattern would take it back to the pattern's inception, which is around $35. In addition to that, a break of this channel would also align with a break of a potential Harmonic B point, which would put us in a Shark BAMM and the PCZ of that Shark would land anywhere between the 0.886 retrace and 1.13 extension. Due to this confluence, I find it very likely that if we break below the wedge, we will then see the price of Apple take a Harmonic dive to the $35 area.
交易進行:
During what appears to be a second test of the PCZ, AAPL has confirmed a Bearish Harami with Bearish Divergence on the weekly time frame and looks ready to continue down.
