澳元/美元
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AUD/USD Trend This Week – Retest and Continue Falling?

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AUD/USD news:

🔆Investors view President Trump’s $4.5 trillion tax cut bill as supportive of economic growth and likely to drive inflation higher. This expectation could prompt Federal Reserve (Fed) officials to keep monetary policy restrictive for an extended period, strengthening the US dollar.

🔆At the same time, the Australian Dollar (AUD) has lagged behind its peers due to weaker-than-expected growth in Australia’s Monthly Consumer Price Index (CPI) for January. The CPI increased by 2.5% year-over-year, slightly below the forecast of 2.6% but maintaining the same pace as in December.

🔆Last week, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) reaffirmed that inflation remains a concern after cutting interest rates by 25 basis points to 4.1%.

🔆Looking ahead, concerns over Trump’s tariff policies could keep pressure on the Aussie Dollar. So far, Trump has imposed a 10% tariff on Chinese imports and has threatened a 100% levy on BRICS nations if they attempt to challenge the US dollar’s dominance.

Personal opinion:
🔆Due to the impact of the news, the AUD is a risk-sensitive currency to the USD market and there is no positive sign from the Australian central bank (RBA), so the AUD/USD pair will still maintain a downtrend in the short term

Analysis:
🔆Based on the trend line and important Fibonacci levels combined with fundamental news to come up with a suitable strategy

Plan:
🔆Price Zone Setup:

👉Buy AUD/USD 0.6320 - 0.6330
❌SL: 0.6365 | ✅TP: 0.6280 – 0.6250 – 0.6200

FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰



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