Bitcoin Testing the Gaussian Midline – Bounce or Starts Reversal

🟡 Weekly Macro View – Gaussian Channel Holds the Truth
The Gaussian Channel on the weekly chart is painting a high-risk environment:

* Price is hovering below the Gaussian midline, which is currently acting as dynamic resistance at ~$84K.
* A red Gaussian channel is flashing caution — these phases typically indicate distribution or early-stage downtrends.
* BTC previously lost the mean and retested the lower channel, bouncing aggressively off the ~73K region — this bounce is the first sign of life, but it’s not confirmation of a trend reversal yet.

What to watch this week:
* If BTC can reclaim the Gaussian mean and close above ~$85K with strong volume, we may see a macro reversal pattern forming.
* However, another rejection from the midline would point to a slow bleed down toward 73K and possibly the lower channel edge near $63K–$65K.

🧭 Weekly Bias:
Cautiously Bearish — Price is below the Gaussian midline in a red channel. Reclaiming $85K flips the tone.

⚠️ Daily Chart View – Bearish Control, Weak Bounce

The daily chart confirms short-term bearish pressure is still intact:
* BTC remains within a down-sloping channel and is struggling to break through key lower highs.
* Volume footprint shows no major demand spike — each bounce is getting sold into.
* The trendlines drawn from recent highs form a clear wedge; price is compressing, signaling a big move is coming.

Support/Resistance Zones:
* ⚔️ Resistance: $84K–$85K
* 🛡️ Support: $80K > $73.6K major zone > $69.9K panic support
* 📉 If we lose $80K again, a retest of $73.6K is very likely.
* 📈 If bulls push above $85K, BTC could rally quickly toward $92K.

What to look for this week:
* A daily close above the upper trendline of the channel on rising volume = first bullish signal.
* A daily lower high + lower low continuation below $80K confirms bears still in charge.

🧠 Final Thoughts – Strategy This Week
BTC is caught in a macro correction but trying to build a base. The Gaussian Channel on the weekly says we're in a danger zone, but the daily shows traders testing the bears’ strength.

🧩 My read:
* Swing traders: Wait for daily close above $85K before going heavy long.
* Scalp traders: Monitor $80K–82K for bounce-to-fade plays.
* HODLers: Prepare for longer consolidation — weekly Gaussian phases take time to resolve.

🧠 This is a "watch, not chase" environment. Let the breakout confirm — not predict.