CM_Trades

Bitcoin and S&P500 correlated more than people think!

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COINBASE:BTCUSD   比特幣
For the longest time, most people always correlated Bitcoin price to Gold price but there was a small subset of people that argued the equity market was the true correlation. As shown in the comparison chart above, we saw that the equities market began selling a few days before the cryptocurrency market given that cryptos are already down over 80-90% but this is more an analysis over global selling.

We can see that October 9th was the day stock broke the triangle and began selling heavily while Bitcoin continued to range for a few days before taking the plunge. After the DOW fell over 800 points yesterday, the crypto market was hesitant to follow suit and waited until the end of the day and into the night before selling off heavily. Some exchanges even saw price break below $6000 as volume picked up massively and volatility re-entered the market. We also got news last night that the Shanghai Composite hit new lows not seen in 4-years last night when that part of the world woke up and saw the carnage of the New York session.

Some rumors were swirling around that the Japanese were selling their crypto to cover the massive losses they were incurring on their equity portfolios, which caused the huge cascading sells in Bitcoin and rippled across the market. Some might say that a bounce in stocks might cause a bounce back in Bitcoin so keeping an eye on this correlation could be profitable if we are in fact correlated.

Thanks guys
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As we can see, just like yesterday when the stock market sold off we got a delayed response from Bitcoin. Bitcoin was at the top of the channel and rejected and looks to be heading lower to retest support.

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