SPX500 Short-Term Bearish Analysis/Expectation

The most logical target for the downtrends in the SPX500 is this year's low at 3814.
The scenario described in the chart is the most likely if the sellers want to hit this target in the short term. Given the high volatility, this scenario doesn't have such a high probability to occur compared to a normal market state.
This expectation is a framework to look for a potential trading setup; I don't just execute based on these levels, I always wait for confirmations on lower timeframes
This Analysis was done using my complete Strategy which includes:
- Smart Money Concepts
- Multi Timeframe Liquidity and Market Structure
- Supply And Demand
- Auction Theory
- Volume Analysis
- Footprint
- Market Profile
- Volume Profile
- WYCKOFF (IS THE KING)
- ETC