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Deutsche Bank has released a matrix of potential market reactions to various US election scenarios, while admitting that its own team is divided and the reactions are highly uncertain.
"We see the most bullish dollar outcome as a red sweep and the most bearish dollar outcome on a blue sweep, but the magnitude of the moves is likely larger in the former," the report says. "We see short EUR/CAD and long MXN/ZAR as the two most asymmetric trades in FX heading in to the election."
"We see the most bullish dollar outcome as a red sweep and the most bearish dollar outcome on a blue sweep, but the magnitude of the moves is likely larger in the former," the report says. "We see short EUR/CAD and long MXN/ZAR as the two most asymmetric trades in FX heading in to the election."
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