GBPJPY

2023年6月7日

Investors are shrugging off the underwhelming release of the US ISM Services PMI from Monday. This has led to a boost in the US Dollar, which is now supporting the USD/JPY pair. The rise in the US Treasury bond yields has contributed to the intraday uptick in the USD. However, this rise is likely to be limited due to the Federal Reserve's policy tightening cycle. The market is pricing in a higher chance that interest rates will remain unchanged at the end of the two-day policy meeting on June 14. This may prevent the USD bulls from taking aggressive bets. Additionally, the Japanese authorities may intervene in the markets, which would limit any meaningful appreciation for the USD/JPY pair. The cautious mood around the equity markets could benefit the JPY's relative safe-haven status. The Bank of Japan's (BoJ) more dovish stance may continue to undermine the JPY, which would limit the downside for the USD/JPY pair. There is no relevant macro data from the US, so it is wise to be cautious for aggressive traders.