GOOGL Approaching Key Resistance! Trade Setups for Feb. 20
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Technical Analysis (TA) Overview GOOGL is trading near 185, recovering from a recent pullback. The stock is consolidating and approaching resistance at 187.50, which aligns with a key call wall level.
📌 Indicators: * MACD: Slightly bullish but momentum is weak, indicating indecision. * Stoch RSI: Overbought (89.73), signaling potential for a short-term pullback. * Volume Profile: High trading activity around 185-186, meaning price may stall at this level.
Gamma Exposure (GEX) & Options Sentiment
🔹 Call Walls (Resistance): * 187.50: Strong call resistance, meaning upside could stall here. * 190: Highest call resistance—unlikely to break without a strong catalyst. 🔹 Put Walls (Support): * 180: Heavy put positioning—likely strong support on any dip. * 175-177.50: Deeper put levels, meaning a break below 180 could accelerate downside. 🔹 Options Sentiment: * IVR: 18.4 (low volatility—potential for a breakout if volume spikes). * Call Open Interest: 14.4% – Bearish bias in options positioning.
❌ Bearish Setup: * If GOOGL fails at 187 and breaks below 185, expect a move toward 183-180. * Ideal entry: Below 185, stop-loss above 187.50. * Profit targets: 183, 181.80, 180.
Probability Estimate for GOOGL’s Next Move: Bullish Move Above 187.50 (Targets 190) Scenario Probability (%): 45% Reasoning: GOOGL is approaching a strong call wall at 187.50. • Momentum is weak, so a breakout is possible but needs high volume. | | Choppy/Sideways (Range 183-187.50) | 35% | - Volume profile shows major activity around 185, meaning price could consolidate.
* Low IVR suggests a lack of strong movement unless a catalyst appears. | | Bearish Breakdown Below 185 (Targets 183-180) | 20% | - Stoch RSI is overbought, indicating some downside risk. * If selling pressure increases, 183-180 becomes the next demand zone. |
Final Thoughts * GOOGL needs to break 187.50 for upside toward 190. * Failure at 187.50 likely leads to sideways movement or a rejection back to 183-180. * Low IVR means options are cheap, but also suggests lower volatility.
🔹 Best Trading Plan: * Bullish Play: Look for a breakout above 186-187.50 → target 190. * Bearish Play: Watch for rejection at 187.50 or break below 185 → target 183-180.
🚨 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research and trade with proper risk management.