Small caps have moved up to resistance. With Friday's move and todays move my guess is that the next move will be a consolidation of the almost 7% move in the last week. Volume has picked up but I wouldn't be surprised if there is just as much selling as buying into this lift. Economic factors do not have me pounding my fist to buy the most vulnerable companies out there. Typically small caps lead in a new bull market and not at the end of a cyclical bull inside a secular bear. My guess is to fade this move. I think markets want people to believe that the rally is broadening out and will pull the rug out on everything soon. Call me skeptical but I'm not in IWM until resistance is broken and there is a successful retest of the breakout.
評論:
Breakout in play but need successful retest before any longs