Higher timeframe structure remains distributional, with price sitting in premium territory.
• Daily OG supply active at 25,950 – 26,050
• No daily acceptance above 26,050
• Upside lacks displacement and follow-through
• HTF context favors sell-side positioning
Above here is not trend continuation, it’s liquidity hunting.
• 1H OG supply: 25,720 – 25,820
• Strong rejection and structure breakdown below 25,720
• Bullish move shows exhaustion, not accumulation
• Sell-side liquidity stacked below 25,500
This is how smart money sells into strength.
Primary Bias: Bearish below 25,720
Expectation:
• Pullbacks into 25,650 – 25,750 are sell opportunities
• Target: liquidity sweep toward 25,400 – 25,300
• Extended downside opens 25,150 if momentum accelerates
Invalidation / Cancellation:
• Clean 1H close and acceptance above 25,820
• Daily close above 26,050 cancels the sell idea completely
Until that happens, rallies are for selling, not chasing.
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