SPX - 30% Correction Minimum

2021年6月4日

Idea for SPX:
- Likely levels for correction: 30-50%.
- 2018 fractal top fit.
- Diamond top, H&S looking structure:


"Stonks only go up" is simply laughable. Great chance for a generational top.

GLHF
- DPT

2021年6月9日

交易進行

Yields dropping rapidly signals institutional fear:

2021年6月9日

交易進行

Likey the CPI prints a dropoff, and inflation bulls will be decimated.

2021年6月10日

交易進行

Swing and a miss for the CPI call, yet interestingly, yields support my case.

Unsurprising for yields dropping, as Fed Balance Sheets show a downturn in liquidity components.

Further drop of of yields in rising inflation is a red flag, and will effect equities:

2021年6月11日

交易進行

Speculation: G7 will discuss recurring "green lockdowns", permanent, recurring lockdowns for COVID and the climate: wbcsd.org/Overview/Panorama/Articles/Avoiding-a-climate-lockdown-Professor-in-the-Economics-of-Innovation-and-Public-Value-at-University-College-London

2021年6月14日

交易進行

"G7 members are angry at multinational tax avoidance, especially in relation to the big tech companies like Google, Facebook and Amazon, whose profits have grown exponentially in the pandemic while their tax payments remain negligible. The US leadership on a minimum global rate for corporation tax – and also new rules that would tax the world’s biggest 100 companies based on where they generate revenues rather than where they are based for tax purposes – is a huge opportunity to stop multinationals from playing countries off against one another."

theconversation.com/g7-deal-uk-is-badly-conflicted-between-offshore-tax-havens-and-bidens-global-tax-drive-162190?utm_medium=amptwitter&utm_source=twitter

2021年6月14日

交易進行

Markets losing momentum at topping patterns:

2021年6月15日

交易進行

Risk Indicator flashing warning, not sell yet.
Risk Model suggests possible Long VOL signal:
- Tech shows possible reversal patterns:
- Low Market breadth in tech rally, bearish divergences.
- Lumber, Gold, Copper, commodities signal reversal.
- Big VIX call flow.
- Yields and DXY suggest sell.
- Only Oil seems to be holding up markets.

2021年6月16日

交易進行

Credit Cycle Reversal now affecting financial sector:

2021年6月18日

交易進行

Finally a shift in momentum in stock markets...