This is my approach for tomorrow. We should get a pretty good idea within the first 15 minutes. The 4 hour chart looks kind of weak. Good luck.
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The bulls tried really hard today. I was actually surprised 2433 was nor busted. That must mean something? Maybe?
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Today's pattern was difficult. I broke even but traded 40 positions overall and the fees are the burden (ES). I also traded 10 options contracts (SPY) and that worked well. A zen exercise after the holiday if anything else.
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in play, but might happen faster than I thought
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The angle at which the mean is traveling will get adjusted with the new direction; however, it will still be the mean and each large deviation will be an anti-probability manifestation that will represent an opportunity for us the probability gamblers. This can be seen by observing 1 hr and 4 hr charts the best. Updated this idea. Consider updated please.
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The length of the thrust from the mean can also tell us the probability of a new trend developing (at each time frame). Each time we exceed the previous thrust is a sign of momentum and desire to search for new values. Updated some more.
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Now. Not all means are created equal. The higher the time frame the more "rigid" the mean is. So we can mostly ignore the 5 min mean, but we have to take more seriously 1 hr and 4 hr. Done updating. Thank you for your attention.
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one more - a tribute to practicality:
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buying & selling 50% is a business they said, but I'm deadly bored now
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m.memegen.com/ypy5jw.jpg
www.youtube.com/watch?v=2z7y1bbw...
that's about it :) i got things to do, sorry :)
www.youtube.com/watch?v=2z7y1bbw...
that's about it :) i got things to do, sorry :)
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www.youtube.com/watch?v=a6b5_8jd...
any pro traders from there - PM
i'm continuing to trade aggressively daily, but won't be posting as much as I find it extremely distracting, even though I want to keep the Great River of Conversation flowing.
any pro traders from there - PM
i'm continuing to trade aggressively daily, but won't be posting as much as I find it extremely distracting, even though I want to keep the Great River of Conversation flowing.
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The casino model is the only model that has ever worked for me in the long run. That's a scientific model. I made insane amounts and lost insane amounts just trading support & resistance, but I always ignored the risk (having a strong business I built over the years). My philosophy these days is the highest probability + the smallest possible position size (sometimes ridiculously small). Rinse & repeat often.
If we don't have an abnormal situation on the charts then we should not be interested much in entering. Zero abnormality = highest risk for a trader. This abnormality always has to do with a deviation. Around 20 ema or so on the middle time frames (1 hr 4 hr mostly). Loosing huge amounts of money is painful. I don't recommend to anyone. Running your own casino is much better.
If we don't have an abnormal situation on the charts then we should not be interested much in entering. Zero abnormality = highest risk for a trader. This abnormality always has to do with a deviation. Around 20 ema or so on the middle time frames (1 hr 4 hr mostly). Loosing huge amounts of money is painful. I don't recommend to anyone. Running your own casino is much better.
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I've been getting PM's from people - I'll be posting again soon - just taking time to concentrate and perfect some "edges". Thank you and don't overtrade and overheat like I do it all the time.
