YaKa

SP500 - If crash, this is the possible path

FX:SPX500   標準普爾500指數
7

SP500 has been tired since July 14.

A few times it has faked us in strong weekly rallies but overall since the top marked in July14, the extension up has only been 5%.

We are all eyeing a rally to 2140 but it may not happen.

From Friday close, seems look weak but depending on the news this week and potentially helped by WTI, SP500 could potentially climb 4% back to 2080.

Given the posture on DAX, if a rally occurs this week, 2060/2080 would probably be a short of decent magnitude (7/10%). After this (if happens), SP500 could mark a large squeeze and then a potential crash.

I am not sure of anything... there will be legs that coincide with both the bull and bear scenarios and that shall be traded.
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