YaKa

SP500 - The Bullish Case

FX:SPX500   標準普爾500指數
SPX is on key resistance that would hold if the market was left to its own destiny.

But Draghi may unfold his long awaited QE.

If so, SPX may be subject to a forced breakout that may reach 2140 by year end.

That would make the current rally an 18% / 10 Weeks rally - VERY SHORTABLE against May13 Top to top line in logarithmic. It would be a 3% announcement forced excess.

that would "surely" give rise to a decent correction towards 1950 after which SPX may climb more harmoniously to 2220 by Jul15.

This is the bull case.

Note:
1- Draghi may just kick the can and the market may not like it.
2 - Drahi may announce and the market sell the news.
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