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S&P 500 (bearish to low 280s)

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AMEX:SPY   SPDR S&P 500 ETF TRUST
Look at what happens. Every time we get a cross down on the indicator, we get a 5% pullback in SPY ($283 this time). I think we will see this same pattern repeat within the next few trading days. I'll consider a crossing of the EMA20 (yellow) below the VWAP (white) as a confirmation signal, although it will be delayed.

In addition, crypto market (BTC and ETH) have had somewhat of a correlation in recent months. We are now seeing a clear reversal in the crypto markets which I believe is a leading indicator of the SPY, although the correlation is not very strong.

BEARISH on US equities until we see $280s again within the next week or two.
Target: $283

GOOD LUCK.



評論:
Market appears to be selling off into the close today now, let's see if it continues
評論:
Premarket is looking positive for tomorrow morning (Tuesday). Implied open is positive. This could change overnight, but if SPY continues to climb tomorrow and/or Wednesday, we could be looking at a scenario more like this one.


As usual, no guarantee so use your own best judgement and do what you think is best for you.
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