TSLA Stock Analysis & GEX Options Insights – Feb. 18

Technical Analysis (TA) for TSLA
* Current Price Action: TSLA has bounced from a recent downtrend, now consolidating near $354. The stock is testing a key resistance zone, and a breakout could fuel more upside.

* Support & Resistance Levels:
* Immediate Resistance: $356 – TSLA is testing this level, a breakout could push price higher.
* Next Resistance: $380 – Aligns with the 3rd Call Wall from GEX data.
* Major Resistance: $400 – Strong resistance and potential Gamma Wall.
* First Support: $350 – If TSLA fails to hold, a drop to lower levels is possible.
* Major Support: $340 – A breakdown here could trigger a strong downside move.
* Critical Breakdown Level: $330 – Significant Put Wall and breakdown level.

* Indicators:
* MACD: Trending toward bullish, but near the zero line, showing weak momentum.
* Stochastic RSI: Rebounding from oversold, suggesting a possible short-term bounce.

Options Flow & GEX Analysis

* GEX (Gamma Exposure):
* Highest Positive NetGEX / Call Resistance: $400 – The major resistance zone.
* 71.64% Call Wall: $380 – Another resistance where price may slow down.
* 83.37% Call Wall: $360 – TSLA is close to this level, a rejection is possible.
* Put Wall Support: $340 – The strongest downside support from options positioning.
* 3rd Put Wall: $330 – Significant bearish momentum possible if this level breaks.

* IV & Sentiment:
* IV Rank (IVR): 38.1 → Moderate implied volatility, making options reasonably priced.
* IVx Avg: 69.1 → Slightly elevated, indicating some uncertainty.
* Options Sentiment: Calls = 56.6% → Bullish positioning in the options market.

Trade Setups
📈 Bullish Scenario (Breakout Play):
* Entry: Above $356 with strong volume.
* Target: $360, then $380 (Gamma Squeeze Potential).
* Stop Loss: Below $350.

📉 Bearish Scenario (Breakdown Play):
* Entry: Below $350.
* Target: $340 or $330 (Put Support).
* Stop Loss: Above $356.

Final Thoughts
* TSLA is showing early signs of strength, but resistance at $356-$360 could cause rejection.
* A breakout above $360 could lead to a strong rally toward $380-$400.
* A failure to hold $350 might trigger a slide toward $340 and below.
* Best Trade Approach: Watch for confirmation of a breakout above $356 or breakdown below $350 before committing to a trade.

🚨 This analysis is for educational purposes only. Trade responsibly and manage risk! 🚨