High US Unemployment Rate Indicates Recession Around the Corner
The market is weakening, as evidenced by the rising unemployment rate. Foolish monetary policies have brought a recession to our doorstep, and we now confirm this with the crossing of the 2-year moving average above the unemployment rate. Nearly every time this has happened in history, we've had a recession—some stronger than others.
In 2020, the Federal Reserve expanded the monetary base so significantly that more money was "created" during that year than in any other comparable period in U.S. history.
It seems likely that we are heading for a severe recession. Given that the effects of one recession tend to exacerbate the next, we will soon (2024-??) feel the impacts of the high levels of debt from 2020, along with the persistence of foolish monetary policies and rising unemployment.
We can also look at indicators like the Core PCE, the Fed's preferred measure of inflation, which has been persistently high, suggesting underlying inflationary pressures that could limit the Fed's ability to support the economy in the next downturn.
Do you know that car you wanted to buy? Or those new sneakers? Use that money for an emergency fund. Are you ignoring your debts? Pay them all off and avoid taking on new ones. Lower your cost of living, sell unnecessary items. Invest in defensive assets like water and energy, and take your money out of shitcoins and memecoins. Diversify into solid cryptos like Bitcoin and ETH.
In 2020, the Federal Reserve expanded the monetary base so significantly that more money was "created" during that year than in any other comparable period in U.S. history.
It seems likely that we are heading for a severe recession. Given that the effects of one recession tend to exacerbate the next, we will soon (2024-??) feel the impacts of the high levels of debt from 2020, along with the persistence of foolish monetary policies and rising unemployment.
We can also look at indicators like the Core PCE, the Fed's preferred measure of inflation, which has been persistently high, suggesting underlying inflationary pressures that could limit the Fed's ability to support the economy in the next downturn.
Do you know that car you wanted to buy? Or those new sneakers? Use that money for an emergency fund. Are you ignoring your debts? Pay them all off and avoid taking on new ones. Lower your cost of living, sell unnecessary items. Invest in defensive assets like water and energy, and take your money out of shitcoins and memecoins. Diversify into solid cryptos like Bitcoin and ETH.
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