TVC:US10Y   美國政府債券10年期收益
gm,

called the top on the us10y last year as well.
(view post at the bottom of this thread).

swinging by to actually adjust my public bias, after a few recent discoveries.

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jerome powell explicitly mentioned in a few of the recent talks that the fed is going to raise the interest rates above 5%, and keep them there for some time.
what this tells me, is they're expecting inflation to tick back up - or they're taking the extra precautions to ensure that this indeed doesn't take place.

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what i am implying here in my count - is an extension to 5.9% (at the bare minimum).
this could mark a top, unless we pull back in three waves (the same we did from the recent top).

👇


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