US 10-year Bonds have broken out of 2 triangles now and breaking down.
I count 5 waves in this massive triangle that formed between March 8th and June 24th with the final wave "e" itself being a triangle with 5 subways.
Remember - triangles - per Elliot rules - are found either as wave 4's, wave B's (middle of a correction) OR as wave E's as the final "wave" of another bigger triangle.
Since the breakdown out of these 2 triangles, the lower trendline of the larger triangle was tested at least 4 or 5 times from the underside, and each time was rejected - confirming the significance of this lower trendline and the subsequent breakdown in yields.
I anticipate this yield breakdown will accelerate to the downside with strong bearish implications for the SPX, Dow, etc.
An interesting observation is that the 10-year rose after making its low on March 8th - while the SPX made its low on March 23rd - 15 days later.
Bonds yields are not confirming the rise in the SPX since the 10-year broke down on June 24th and now we are 28 days later so the divergence is past due for the SPX to now play catchup to the 10-year and move down.
Cheers!
Cyrus
I count 5 waves in this massive triangle that formed between March 8th and June 24th with the final wave "e" itself being a triangle with 5 subways.
Remember - triangles - per Elliot rules - are found either as wave 4's, wave B's (middle of a correction) OR as wave E's as the final "wave" of another bigger triangle.
Since the breakdown out of these 2 triangles, the lower trendline of the larger triangle was tested at least 4 or 5 times from the underside, and each time was rejected - confirming the significance of this lower trendline and the subsequent breakdown in yields.
I anticipate this yield breakdown will accelerate to the downside with strong bearish implications for the SPX, Dow, etc.
An interesting observation is that the 10-year rose after making its low on March 8th - while the SPX made its low on March 23rd - 15 days later.
Bonds yields are not confirming the rise in the SPX since the 10-year broke down on June 24th and now we are 28 days later so the divergence is past due for the SPX to now play catchup to the 10-year and move down.
Cheers!
Cyrus