A clear downside break of 50-SMA, as well as November’s peak, near 115.50 challenges the USDJPY pair’s recent rebound. However, 100-SMA and an upward sloping support line from December 03, respectively around 114.80 and 114.40, will restrict the yen pair’s additional losses, backed by nearly oversold RSI conditions. Should bears conquer the stated trend line support, 61.8% and 78.6% Fibonacci retracement of December-January upside, around 114.00 and 113.35, will act as additional supports before directing sellers to December’s low of 112.52.
On the contrary, a daily closing beyond 115.50 will push back the short-term bearish bias, a break of which will highlight the weekly resistance line around 115.90. In a case where USDJPY rises past 115.90, the run-up to the 116.00 threshold and January’s peak of 116.35 can’t be ruled out. In a case where buyers dominate past 116.35, the 117.00 round figure may act as an intermediate halt during the rally aiming December 2016 peak around 118.65-70. To sum up, USDJPY witnesses a pullback and the same is likely to last for now but a reversal of the bullish trend is off the table.
On the contrary, a daily closing beyond 115.50 will push back the short-term bearish bias, a break of which will highlight the weekly resistance line around 115.90. In a case where USDJPY rises past 115.90, the run-up to the 116.00 threshold and January’s peak of 116.35 can’t be ruled out. In a case where buyers dominate past 116.35, the 117.00 round figure may act as an intermediate halt during the rally aiming December 2016 peak around 118.65-70. To sum up, USDJPY witnesses a pullback and the same is likely to last for now but a reversal of the bullish trend is off the table.