Sergey_Zhukov

Падение Рубля на фоне громкого политического дела

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Sergey_Zhukov 已更新   
MOEX:USDRUB_TOM   美元 / 俄羅斯盧布 匯率
Падение Рубля на фоне громкого политического дела. Считаю что на фоне задержания Навального пострадает рубль. На момент написания этих строк, я наблюдаю в он-лайне как протекает процесс вынесения приговора. Блумберг пестрит на эту тему новыми статьями. Данная ситуация может послужить драйвером для выхода цены из нисходящего клина, и росту к новым высотам. Далее цитирую статью со ссылкой на источник.
It was, as expected, a bit of a circus when Russian opposition leader Alexey Navalny flew into Moscow last night from Berlin, where he’d spent months hospitalized after a nerve agent attack he’s pinned on the Kremlin.

His plane was diverted from one airport to another, his supporters were briskly cleared away by security forces, and he was arrested shortly afterward.

European leaders were quick to condemn his detention, as was Jake Sullivan, incoming national security adviser to U.S. President-elect Joe Biden.

The Europeans are considering next steps, with renewed talk of sanctions. Navalny knew he was facing arrest and likely years in prison if he returned but wasn't deterred. It’s a bid to give momentum to his cause, especially with Russian parliamentary elections in the autumn and a stuttering economy draining support for President Vladimir Putin.

Even so, the ball may be more in Putin’s court. The arsenal for retaliation is limited and Europe has shown caution before on anything much beyond finger wagging (the ruble barely reacted to the news). Germany’s Angela Merkel has been firm in her insistence that a key gas pipeline with Russia is not to be touched.

Biden will be less inclined than Donald Trump to give Putin a pass on his shenanigans. But there again Biden’s options for action are limited. Detaining Navalny allows Putin to test the waters early on with the new U.S. administration.

Navalny, for his part, will likely sit in jail until at least Jan. 29, when there’s a court decision due on a suspended fraud sentence. Authorities are now seeking a prison term, raising the prospect that Putin simply seeks to wait Navalny, and the international backlash, out. — Rosalind Mathieson


交易進行:
держим лонг - ждем дальнейшего падения рубля

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