Gold likely to continue shining in 2024

For over two years of publishing on TradingView, we have maintained a bullish stance on gold, which has been marching higher in tandem with our expectations. In 2024, our outlook remains unchanged, and we expect it to continue performing well amid the persistence of institutional interest, global economic slowdown, and geopolitical tensions. However, we also recognize a potential threat to its well-being, represented by the stock market weakness. This thesis is built upon the fact that gold has been climbing higher alongside stock market indices for several months, showing a positive correlation. Furthermore, we have seen a perfect example in 2022, when the stock market selloff forced investors to sell gold in order to cover losses elsewhere; we expect the same thing to happen in the case of prolonged weakness in market indices. Nonetheless, we do not have plans to sell our holdings; instead, we plan to accumulate more (if the opportunity arises). With that said, our long-term price target for gold stays at $2,300.

Illustration 1.01

The image above shows the daily chart of XAUUSD and simple support/resistance levels derived from peaks and troughs.

Technical analysis
Daily = Bullish
Weekly = Bullish

Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.

DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor or any other entity. Your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.

評論:

Gold is retreating with the stock market.

Illustration 1.02

Illustration 1.02 portrays the hourly chart of XAUUSD. The orange line represents the SPX.