US Treasury All Yield Curve IORB Weighted

2022年3月30日

I've updated my US Treasury All Yield Curve indicator to use the new FRED:IORB (interest on reserve balances), instead of the FRED:FEDFUNDS which is only updated monthly.

The new IORB doesn't provide very long lookback for data, so I'm publishing this as a new version and not an update, making it possible for users to choose which version best suits their needs.

2022年4月4日

發行說明

Republishing with a cleaner chart and clearer description.

This indicator weighs a basket of treasuries from 1month to 30Y against each other and then weighs that against the IORB rate. (Interest on Overnight Reserve Balance). The IORB is used in this case because it is more responsive to changes than the FEDFUNDS rate, which is only updated monthly.

A negative reading on this indicator means that the majority of the yield curve is inverted and/or pricing below the IORB rate. Both are indications of a dysfunctional bond market.