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3M-10Y Yield Spread
3M-10Y Yield Spread Indicator Description
What It Is:
This indicator calculates the difference (spread) between the 3-month and 10-year US Treasury yields, plotted as a line with a zero reference. The background turns red when the spread inverts (falls below zero), signaling when the 3-month yield exceeds the 10-year yield.
What It Helps Understand:
Economic Health: An inverted yield curve (spread < 0) often predicts recessions, as it reflects market expectations of future economic slowdown, typically preceding downturns by 6-18 months.
Fed Policy Impact: Fed rate hikes can push short-term yields (like the 3-month) higher, potentially causing inversion if long-term yields (10-year) don’t rise as much due to growth concerns. Conversely, Fed rate cuts can lower short-term yields, steepening the curve (spread > 0), signaling economic stimulus or recovery expectations.
What It Is:
This indicator calculates the difference (spread) between the 3-month and 10-year US Treasury yields, plotted as a line with a zero reference. The background turns red when the spread inverts (falls below zero), signaling when the 3-month yield exceeds the 10-year yield.
What It Helps Understand:
Economic Health: An inverted yield curve (spread < 0) often predicts recessions, as it reflects market expectations of future economic slowdown, typically preceding downturns by 6-18 months.
Fed Policy Impact: Fed rate hikes can push short-term yields (like the 3-month) higher, potentially causing inversion if long-term yields (10-year) don’t rise as much due to growth concerns. Conversely, Fed rate cuts can lower short-term yields, steepening the curve (spread > 0), signaling economic stimulus or recovery expectations.
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開源腳本
秉持TradingView一貫精神，這個腳本的創作者將其設為開源，以便交易者檢視並驗證其功能。向作者致敬！您可以免費使用此腳本，但請注意，重新發佈代碼需遵守我們的社群規範。
免責聲明
這些資訊和出版物並非旨在提供，也不構成TradingView提供或認可的任何形式的財務、投資、交易或其他類型的建議或推薦。請閱讀使用條款以了解更多資訊。