Excess Invites Punishment (EIP) by Scipio Pro

2023年5月17日

Scipio Pro's EIP is a reversal indicator. It is based on two types of evidence.

1) Proof of Fatigue -- The move that triggers the signal is losing momentum
2) Proof of Excess -- The move that triggers the signal is excessive

If both are the case, we get a signal.

The script uses standard deviations and Bollinger Bands for measuring excess and the ATR for the Breakout Continuation Protection (see below). For fatigue, the EIP detects divergences from indicators like OBV, MACD, RSI and more. It expresses these with a number. For example, if the EIP detects 9 bullish divergences, it prints the number 9 below the corresponding candle.

Hesitant Buy and Hesitant Sell mean there may have been a breakout recently, as measured with the ATR, meaning there is an increased likelihood of continuation. These can provide good buys or sells but more caution is warranted. You can adjust the so-called Breakout Continuation Protection in Settings. Doing so may lead to either more or less "hesitant" signals.

The signals don't repaint. Of course, the divergences get recalculated as the market evolves, as they should. But signals like Buy, Sell, Hesitant Buy, and Hesitant Sell never repaint.

The EIP is useful on many different time-frames and with many different assets, be they in stocks or crypto. The images below show results from BTC, MATIC, and S&P 500 over multiple years, both on small and large time-frames.

As always, use at your own risk. Using indicators is no substitute for using one's brain.