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已更新 SOFR Spread (proxy: FEDFUNDS - US03MY)

📊 SOFR Spread (Proxy: FEDFUNDS - US03MY) – Monitoring USD Money Market Liquidity

In 2008, the spread exhibits a sharp vertical spike, signaling a severe liquidity dislocation: investors rushed into short-term U.S. Treasuries, pushing their yields down dramatically, while the FEDFUNDS rate remained relatively high.
This behavior indicates extreme systemic stress in the interbank lending market, preceding massive Federal Reserve interventions such as rate cuts, emergency liquidity operations, and the launch of quantitative easing (QE).
Description:
This indicator plots the spread between the Effective Federal Funds Rate (FEDFUNDS) and the 3-Month US Treasury Bill yield (US03MY), used here as a proxy for the SOFR spread.
It serves as a simple yet powerful tool to detect liquidity dislocations and stress signals in the US short-term funding markets.
Interpretation:
🔴 Spread > 0.20% → Possible liquidity stress: elevated repo rates, cash shortage, interbank distrust.
🟡 Spread ≈ 0% → Normal market conditions, balanced liquidity.
🟢 Spread < 0% → Excess liquidity: strong demand for T-Bills, “flight to safety”, or distortion due to expansionary monetary policy.
Ideal for:
Monitoring Fed policy impact
Anticipating market-wide liquidity squeezes
Correlation with DXY, SPX, VIX, MOVE Index, and risk sentiment
🧠 Note: As SOFR is not directly available on TradingView, FEDFUNDS is used as a reliable proxy, closely tracking the same trends in most macro conditions.
In 2008, the spread exhibits a sharp vertical spike, signaling a severe liquidity dislocation: investors rushed into short-term U.S. Treasuries, pushing their yields down dramatically, while the FEDFUNDS rate remained relatively high.
This behavior indicates extreme systemic stress in the interbank lending market, preceding massive Federal Reserve interventions such as rate cuts, emergency liquidity operations, and the launch of quantitative easing (QE).
Description:
This indicator plots the spread between the Effective Federal Funds Rate (FEDFUNDS) and the 3-Month US Treasury Bill yield (US03MY), used here as a proxy for the SOFR spread.
It serves as a simple yet powerful tool to detect liquidity dislocations and stress signals in the US short-term funding markets.
Interpretation:
🔴 Spread > 0.20% → Possible liquidity stress: elevated repo rates, cash shortage, interbank distrust.
🟡 Spread ≈ 0% → Normal market conditions, balanced liquidity.
🟢 Spread < 0% → Excess liquidity: strong demand for T-Bills, “flight to safety”, or distortion due to expansionary monetary policy.
Ideal for:
Monitoring Fed policy impact
Anticipating market-wide liquidity squeezes
Correlation with DXY, SPX, VIX, MOVE Index, and risk sentiment
🧠 Note: As SOFR is not directly available on TradingView, FEDFUNDS is used as a reliable proxy, closely tracking the same trends in most macro conditions.
發行說明
📊 SOFR Spread (Proxy: FEDFUNDS - US03MY) – Monitoring USD Money Market LiquidityIn 2008, the spread exhibits a sharp vertical spike, signaling a severe liquidity dislocation: investors rushed into short-term U.S. Treasuries, pushing their yields down dramatically, while the FEDFUNDS rate remained relatively high.
This behavior indicates extreme systemic stress in the interbank lending market, preceding massive Federal Reserve interventions such as rate cuts, emergency liquidity operations, and the launch of quantitative easing (QE).
Description:
This indicator plots the spread between the Effective Federal Funds Rate (FEDFUNDS) and the 3-Month US Treasury Bill yield (US03MY), used here as a proxy for the SOFR spread.
It serves as a simple yet powerful tool to detect liquidity dislocations and stress signals in the US short-term funding markets.
Interpretation:
🔴 Spread > 0.20% → Possible liquidity stress: elevated repo rates, cash shortage, interbank distrust.
🟡 Spread ≈ 0% → Normal market conditions, balanced liquidity.
🟢 Spread < 0% → Excess liquidity: strong demand for T-Bills, “flight to safety”, or distortion due to expansionary monetary policy.
Ideal for:
Monitoring Fed policy impact
Anticipating market-wide liquidity squeezes
Correlation with DXY, SPX, VIX, MOVE Index, and risk sentiment
🧠 Note: As SOFR is not directly available on TradingView, FEDFUNDS is used as a reliable proxy, closely tracking the same trends in most macro conditions.
發行說明
📊 SOFR Spread (Proxy: FEDFUNDS - US03MY) – Monitoring USD Money Market LiquidityIn 2008, the spread exhibits a sharp vertical spike, signaling a severe liquidity dislocation: investors rushed into short-term U.S. Treasuries, pushing their yields down dramatically, while the FEDFUNDS rate remained relatively high.
This behavior indicates extreme systemic stress in the interbank lending market, preceding massive Federal Reserve interventions such as rate cuts, emergency liquidity operations, and the launch of quantitative easing (QE).
Description:
This indicator plots the spread between the Effective Federal Funds Rate (FEDFUNDS) and the 3-Month US Treasury Bill yield (US03MY), used here as a proxy for the SOFR spread.
It serves as a simple yet powerful tool to detect liquidity dislocations and stress signals in the US short-term funding markets.
Interpretation:
🔴 Spread > 0.20% → Possible liquidity stress: elevated repo rates, cash shortage, interbank distrust.
🟡 Spread ≈ 0% → Normal market conditions, balanced liquidity.
🟢 Spread < 0% → Excess liquidity: strong demand for T-Bills, “flight to safety”, or distortion due to expansionary monetary policy.
Ideal for:
Monitoring Fed policy impact
Anticipating market-wide liquidity squeezes
Correlation with DXY, SPX, VIX, MOVE Index, and risk sentiment
🧠 Note: As SOFR is not directly available on TradingView, FEDFUNDS is used as a reliable proxy, closely tracking the same trends in most macro conditions.
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這些資訊和出版物並不意味著也不構成TradingView提供或認可的金融、投資、交易或其他類型的意見或建議。請在使用條款閱讀更多資訊。
開源腳本
本著TradingView的真正精神,此腳本的創建者將其開源,以便交易者可以查看和驗證其功能。向作者致敬!雖然您可以免費使用它,但請記住,重新發佈程式碼必須遵守我們的網站規則。
免責聲明
這些資訊和出版物並不意味著也不構成TradingView提供或認可的金融、投資、交易或其他類型的意見或建議。請在使用條款閱讀更多資訊。