BlueFX Strategy GOLD M15We are releasing this separate script file for trading Gold on the M15 time frame using our strategy. This can now run independently from the main file instead of changing parameters and saving as a template - thus making the use of these specific settings even easier for our traders.
You can see the back testing profitability shown below, although you can not use back testing to predict the future, both the volume of trades, net profit, win rate and draw down demonstrate a solid foundation and data to move forward from.
The strategy itself is explained in the 'Blue FX Strategy' but see below too for more info.
Our strategy will help you identify the current trend in the markets and highlight when this is changing. The strategy itself is based upon 4 indicators lining up in total confluence to increase the probability of the trade being a success.
Absolutely no technical analysis is needed to trade this - this is a trading tool and has solid back testing results trading in isolation - although you may also use to support your own trading - the choice is yours.
When a trade is valid - a Buy or Sell label will appear with the Entry price, SL and multiple TP's shown on the chart.
IMPORTANT note, the test results show and confirm that the most profitable exit strategy with these Gold settings is 'FT&SL' this means we enter the trade with a Stop Loss (SL) and simply hold and follow the trend (Follow Trend = FT) until a reverse signal is printed.
In our supporting video (see related ideas) you can see the impact of changing this target between multiple TP's and the net effect on both win rate and overall net profitability.
The Lot size will also be displayed and this is based on the risk parameters you have set personally in the calculation section.
What is a Trading View Script?
A script is like an indicator but better, we can verify the success of our strategy by using Trading Views strategy tester function. As shown below and on the chart - you can see the 'Buy' and 'Close Buy' on the chart, supported by a live trading log showing you the entry, entry price date, volume and closing price.
This is a great function for numerous reasons; firstly, you know you are using a strategy that has provided a positive expectancy in back testing, secondly you can use this as a trading journal to support your trading too. This in itself can help you with your trading psychology - letting winning trades run is a prime example of this. Take confidence in the statistics and performance over time.
Ultimately, we believe we have saved YOU the need to firstly, find an edge and a strategy - and all of the time it takes to BACKTEST a strategy - to then find it may or may not work - and then you start again!
Disclaimer alert; Please remember past performance is exactly that - how our strategy performed over those dates tested, it is not obviously a guarantee of future performance.
Interested in access or more information?
No problem, simply drop us a DM via trading view for access information.
Thank you for reading.
Darren
金屬
COPPER 5Mins BUY/SELL StrategyCopper Buy/Sell Indicator for Copper Future Contracts (since tested only on copper) based on Simple Moving Average.
This works based on the gap between the price and sma along with the open and close value.
This sets target as 2 points and stop loss as 3 points. The position may reverse based on the scenario. Works well with 5 mins timeframe.
Dow to Gold RatioDisplays as an indicator the Dow to Gold Ratio.
Rules of this long-term trade:
The Dow-to-Gold ratio is guide for when to get in and out of stocks. When the ratio goes below 5, we buy equal shares in the Dow Jones Industrial Average index (the Dow). When the ratio goes above 15, we sell the Dow and buy gold.
In other words, when the entire Dow can be bought for five ounces of gold, we buy stocks. When it takes 15 ounces or more to buy the Dow, we sell stocks and buy gold.
Over the past 100 years, you would have made a total of six trades based on this strategy.
Bitcoin Correlated Market DirectionIdentifies which major market is "controlling" Bitcoin and what direction that market is moving in.
Helps to identify confluence of trend or potential turning points for Bitcoin.
Blue = stocks in control and bullish
Purple = stocks in control and bearish
Orange = gold in control and bullish
Red = gold in control and bearish
Kaya RSI BASED INFLATION INDICATORUse your own risk.
This indicator aims look inflation of your emita according to the BTC and XAU. Also you can use Dxy too. The main idea of behind of this indicator is rsi. But not normal rsi :).
For example. If green(XAU) line upper then xau going to up better than BTC and your emita. If red line (BTC) is upper, thats mean buying BTC can be more profitably. Blue line (named Normal means this is your emita) is upper that mean your emita is can be more profitably than the others. You can think opposite for lower situations.
Be aware this is not mean percent rising or declining. This is just understanding for which of them (relatively) moving how according to the rsi.
Maybe it can using for positons too. But I didnt test it. So be carefull.
Best Regards.
Cyber ChannelStandard deviation levels to determine if the price is over-extended in the positive/negative direction about the user defined MA line.
Historical confluence with the different levels can be used to estimate and predict the probability of a significant price retracement within given time-scale; and to help anticipate if the price is nearing local or all-time highs/lows.
XAGUSD Long/Short Signal ~ By: Sarp GokdagAbout the Oscillator :
The Rex Oscillator is a study that measures market behavior based on the relationship of the close to the open, high and low values of the same bar. The theory behind the Rex Oscillator is that a big difference between the high and close on a bar indicates weakness. Conversely, wide disparity between the low and close indicates strength. The difference between open and close also indicates market performance.
The True Value of a Bar (TVB) gives us an indication of how healthy the market is. It is possible to have a negative close and a positive TVB, and vice versa. This indicates that the market is building strength on the opposing side of the trend. The Rex Oscillator is a moving average of the TVB, indicating the inertia of the market. When the Rex Oscillator turns positive in a bearish trend, a reversal is indicated. Likewise, Rex turning negative in a bull market indicates a reversal to the downside.
When the Rex Oscillator turns positive in a bearish trend, a reversal is indicated. Likewise, Rex turning negative in a bull market indicates a reversal to the downside.
The REX Strategy goes long when the REX line of the REX Oscillator crosses above the Signal line and Short when the REX line crosses below the Signal line. The strategy is a reversal strategy through the use of the 'Cover and go Long' and 'Close and go Short' Actions. The REX Oscillator properties of Period' and Signal' can be changed for testing purposes using the available Rex1 'Factor.'
The blue line indicates the difference between the Rex MA and the Signal.
If the blue line crosses above "0", go Long.
If the blue line crosses below "0", go Short.
To achieve best results from this strategy, set your chart range minimum 4hrs, max 1 Day.
The above references an opinion and is for information purposes only. It is not intended to be investment advice. Seek a duly licensed professional for investment advice.
Trading Psychology - Fear & Greed Index by DGTPsychology of a Market Cycle - Where are we in the cycle?
Before proceeding with the question "where", let's first have a quick look at "What is market psychology?"
Market psychology is the idea that the movements of a market reflect the emotional state of its participants. It is one of the main topics of behavioral economics - an interdisciplinary field that investigates the various factors that precede economic decisions. Many believe that emotions are the main driving force behind the shifts of financial markets and that the overall fluctuating investor sentiment is what creates the so-called psychological market cycles - which is also dynamic.
Stages of Investor Emotions:
* Optimism – A positive outlook encourages us about the future, leading us to buy stocks.
* Excitement – Having seen some of our initial ideas work, we begin considering what our market success could allow us to accomplish.
* Thrill – At this point we investors cannot believe our success and begin to comment on how smart we are.
* Euphoria – This marks the point of maximum financial risk. Having seen every decision result in quick, easy profits, we begin to ignore risk and expect every trade to become profitable.
* Anxiety – For the first time the market moves against us. Having never stared at unrealized losses, we tell ourselves we are long-term investors and that all our ideas will eventually work.
* Denial – When markets have not rebounded, yet we do not know how to respond, we begin denying either that we made poor choices or that things will not improve shortly.
* Fear – The market realities become confusing. We believe the stocks we own will never move in our favor.
* Desperation – Not knowing how to act, we grasp at any idea that will allow us to get back to breakeven.
* Panic – Having exhausted all ideas, we are at a loss for what to do next.
* Capitulation – Deciding our portfolio will never increase again, we sell all our stocks to avoid any future losses.
* Despondency – After exiting the markets we do not want to buy stocks ever again. This often marks the moment of greatest financial opportunity.
* Depression – Not knowing how we could be so foolish, we are left trying to understand our actions.
* Hope – Eventually we return to the realization that markets move in cycles, and we begin looking for our next opportunity.
* Relief – Having bought a stock that turned profitable, we renew our faith that there is a future in investing.
It's hard to predict with certainty where we exactly are in the market cycle, we can only make an educated guess as to the rough stage based on data available. And here comes the study "Trading Psychology - Fear & Greed Index"
Factors taken into account in this study include:
1-Price Momentum : Price Divergence/Convergence versus its Slow Moving Average
2-Strenght : Rate of Return (RoR) also called Return on Investment (ROI) is a performance measure used to evaluate the efficiency of an investment, net gain or loss of an investment over a specified time period, the rate of change in price movement over a period of time to help investors determine the strength
3-Money Flow : Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) is a technical analysis indicator used to measure Money Flow Volume over a set period of time. CMF can be used as a way to further quantify changes in buying and selling pressure and can help to anticipate future changes and therefore trading opportunities. CMF calculations is based on Accumulation/Distribution
4-Market Volatility : CBOE Volatility Index (VIX), the Volatility Index, or VIX, is a real-time market index that represents the market's expectation of 30-day forward-looking volatility. Derived from the price inputs of the S&P 500 index options, it provides a measure of market risk and investors' sentiments. It is also known by other names like "Fear Gauge" or "Fear Index." Investors, research analysts and portfolio managers look to VIX values as a way to measure market risk, fear and stress before they take investment decisions
5-Safe Haven Demand : in this study GOLD demand is assumed
What to look for :
*Fear and Greed Index as explained above,
*Divergencies
Tool tip of the label displayed provides details of references
Conclusion:
As investors, we always get caught up in the day to day price movements, and lose sight of the bigger picture. The biggest crashes happen not when investors are cautious and fearful, it's when they're euphoric and expecting financial instruments to continue going higher. So as we continue investing, don’t forget to stop and ask yourself, where in the chart do you think we are right now? The Market Psychology Cycle shines light on how emotions evolve, fear and greed index can come in handy, provided that it is not the only tool used to make investment decisions. It is easy to look back at market cycles and recognize how the overall psychology changed. Analyzing previous data makes it obvious what actions and decisions would have been the most profitable. However, it is much harder to understand how the market is changing as it goes - and even harder to predict what comes next. Many investors use technical analysis (TA) to attempt to anticipate where the market is likely to go. Investors are advised to keep tabs on fear for potential buying the dips opportunities and view periods of greed as a potential indicator that financial instruments might be overvalued.
Warren Buffett's quote, buy when others are fearful, and sell when others are greedy
Trading success is all about following your trading strategy and the indicators should fit within your trading strategy, and not to be traded upon solely
Disclaimer : The script is for informational and educational purposes only. Use of the script does not constitute professional and/or financial advice. You alone have the sole responsibility of evaluating the script output and risks associated with the use of the script. In exchange for using the script, you agree not to hold dgtrd TradingView user liable for any possible claim for damages arising from any decision you make based on use of the script
HFT Scalper IndicatorThis strategy is a scalper strategy developed by HFT Research. Scalper is highly customizable and provides endless opportunities to find profitable setups in the market.
Use Bollinger Bands
This piece of the settings will turn and off Bollinger band’s input in the decision making. BB Length will determine the Moving average you are using to take the standard deviation off of which is named as BB Multiplier. Default settings will use 20 moving average and take standard deviation of 2 to create lower and upper bands. Increasing the Multiplier will give you fewer but safer entries.
Use Bollinger Bands %
This setting will allow the user to determine at what Bollinger band width %, he wants to take start looking to take trades. It is known that when prices are stable and moving sideways, Bollinger bands contract and it becomes more reactive to small moves in the market. Using this setting, you can ignore the signals that would be generated while Bollinger bands are contracted. This setting will allow the user to weed out the noise in the market and really allow them to make the most out of Bollinger bands.
Use RSI
You can also turn on and off the RSI as well. Alternatively, there is an option to use RSI on a different time frame than you are currently on. For example, if you are looking at the 5min chart to use Bollinger bands but you would like to look at the RSI value on the 15min chart. You can do so by selecting the custom RSI timeframe as well as adjusting the Oversold and Overbought value.
Use STOCH
For those who want extra protection on their entry can throw STOCH into their decision making. STOCH acts like RSI but it is more prone to small moves. It will help the users to get a better entry if used correctly. Stoch may not be in the buy zone when RSI is at say 35, however, if price dips a little more and STOCH might be in the buy zone when RSI is at say 20. This way it will help you have better entries than just using RSI. In a way, you can use STOCH to scalp RSI.
Use VWAP
VWAP stands for volume weighted average price. It is an extremely useful indicator when trading intra-day. It does reset every trading session which is at 00:00 UTC. Instead of looking at x number of candles and providing an average price, it will take into consideration volume that’s traded at a certain price and weigh it accordingly.
Use ADX
ADX stands for average directional index. It is an indicator that measures volatility in the market. Unfortunately, the worst market condition for this strategy is sideways market. ADX becomes a useful tool since it can detect trend. If the volatility is low and there is no real price movement, ADX will pick that up and will not let you get in trades during a sideways market. It will allow you to enter trades only when the market is trending.
Use MA Filters
Lookback: It is an option to look back x number of candles to validate the price crossing. If the market is choppy and the price keeps crossing up and down the moving average you have chosen, it will generate a lot of “noisy” signals. This option allows you to confirm the cross by selecting how many candles the price needs to stay above or below the moving average. Setting it 0 will turn it off.
MA Filter Type: There is a selection of moving averages that is available on TradingView currently. You can choose from 14 different moving average types to detect the trend as accurate as possible.
Filter Length: You can select the length of your moving average. Most commonly used length being 50,100 and 200.
Filter Type: This is our propriety smoothing method in order to make the moving averages lag less and influence the way they are calculated slightly. Type 1 being the normal calculation and type 2 being the secret sauce.
Reverse MA Filter: This option allows you to use the moving average in reverse. For example, the strategy will go long when the price is above the moving average. However, if you use the reserve MA Filter, you will go short when the price is above the moving average. This method works best in sideways market where price usually retraces back to the moving average. So in an anticipation of price reverting back to the moving average, it is a useful piece of option to use during sideway markets which is the worst market condition for scalper.
Please visit our website for more information
TWT_MAGIC_MCXDescription:
TWT_MAGIC_MCX is designed to trade the MCX commodities for overnight positions.
The logic behind this is to calculate the closing price based on today's price action and come up with suggestion at end of the closing to BUY or SELL for Next Day.
How to Trade::
if on a 5 Minute Chart, the GREEN arrow appears at 23:25 Candlestick then Enter BUY position
if on a 5 Minute Chart, the RED arrow appears at 23:25 Candlestick then Enter SELL position
if on a 5 Minute Chart, no arrow appears at 23:25 Candlestick then Do not take any trade.
Trade need to be taken between 23:25 to 23:30
Profit/SL need to booked at next morning.
Borsa İstanbul Correlation Analysis&Center of Gravity IndicatorFormula Used :
COG = SUM of closing prices Pn x (n+1) / Sum of closing prices Pn
Portfolio and Risk Management: Gold Based Net Growth CoefficientHello, if our topic is stocks, whatever signal we get, we have to divide and reduce the risk.
Apart from the risk, we need inflation-free figures to detect a clear growth.
Gold is one of the most successful tools to beat inflation in this regard in the historical context.
When the economy is good, we have to beat both commodities and inflation.
For this purpose, I found it appropriate to develop a net growth factor free from gold growth.
Investors need several stocks with a high growth rate and as much risk-free as possible.
Personally, I think that the science of portfolio and risk management will last a lifetime and should continue.
I think this subject is a research and development subject.(R & D)
My research and publications on this matter will continue publicly.
I wish everyone a good day.
NOTE : You can determine the return in the time period you want to look back by adjusting the period in the rate you want from the menu.
The standard value is 200 days. (1 year)
GOLD SUPER TREND ARROW SIGNALS STRATEGY WITH PERFORMANCEThe strategy is based on combination of ATR, Moving Averages, Volatility indicators that was filtered and final strategy based on accurate arrows that catch trend and
also predict pivot points for intraday Gold ( XAUUSD ) charts.
The strategy script can be used for time frames 30 MIN, 45 MIN, 1Hour, 4 HOURS.
The goal was to create trending strategy with maximum profit and lowest drawdown.
For initial deposit $12000 time frame 30 MIN profit was 42% with maximum drawdown 6%:
For time frame 45 MIN profit was 30% with maximum drawdown 5%:
Open Close Profit - [Alerts]This script comes with the following indicators and features:
Moving Average trend filter (Hull, ZLEMA, McGinley)
Pin Bar Filter
MACD indicator
Pump and Dump filter
Entry, Take Profit, and Stop Loss Alerts
And a few more indicators in the back-end to increase accuracy, optimize entries and filter out sideways PA
This script works really well as a scalper on lower Time Frames as well as on higher Time Frames. Besides that you can also use it on pretty much any coin or asset.
This script is not repainting. We advise to use alerts on “Once Per Bar Close”.
If you’d like to automate this script you can do that by using AutoView, ProfitView, ProfitTrailer, CryptoHopper etc.
Leave a message if you’d like to try it out.
Deviation from the futures market for GOLDThis indicator shows the deviation from the gold futures market.
Blue FX Trend StrategyHi, welcome to the Blue FX Trend Strategy Script.
What does it do?
Our strategy will help you identify the current trend in the markets and highlight when this is changing. The strategy itself is based upon 4 indicators lining up in total confluence to increase the probability of the trade being a success, this is specifically an EMA, MACD settings, Supertrend criteria and also Momentum.
Absolutely no technical analysis is needed to trade this successfully - this can be used on all time frames and all pairs - obviously with varying profitability as all pairs work differently - this can be reviewed quickly in 'Strategy Tester' to hone in on your own desired settings.
When all criteria is in alignment the strategy will convert all candles to the relevant colour - Green for an uptrend and Red for a downtrend; a candle that is printed normally simply shows that no current trend is in place to warrant a colour change. A normal coloured candle could possibly indicate a change in current market direction or the market consolidating before a further move in the initial direction. When a new signal is valid 'Blue FX Buy'' or 'Blue FX Sell' will be displayed and the small arrow shown on candle open for entry.
How do I use it?
Our strategy is invite only - upon joining our group we will allow you access to the script. This will then simply display on your device ready for you to start trading from. There is substantial functionality within the strategy, you can;
See the success of the default settings in the past using the 'Strategy Tester' Function for numerous settings
1. Following the settings 'Trail'
2. Changing your TP function with the other criteria listed
3. Using a Fixed TP or SL function
Upon changing the Script to 'Fixed' you will see numerous trades on the chart displayed differently.
Scaling into a profitable position is also possible - this is ideally done when the candle colour confirms the trend is continuing after rejection/support from the EMA; we show this below;
You could also enter here if you missed the initial sell signal, we have MA rejection and a red printed candle indicating all confluences are in play and we have high probability for the move to continue.
How do I know its profitable?
We have built numerous customisable settings into the strategy for you to see that this is profitable - you can visually see this too. The settings are also customisable to find the right criteria for the right pair on the right time-frame. Ultimately, with the strategy confluences in place, you are putting probability in your favour and can quickly determine the trend in place if there is one. Within the customisable settings there is a compound function too, so if you were to compound your profit the results can be exceptional.
We have also added an H4 confluence, so you can ensure if trading on a lower time-frame you are in the overall direction of the H4 trend too, a useful setting for more confluence again.
Where do I set my Stop loss or Take Profit?
There is no right or wrong to this and we have attempted to build numerous ways of doing this into the strategy for reference.
For setting a SL you could;
1. Use a fixed SL.
2. Place the SL below the last high or low in the trend.
3. Use an ATR function.
4. Place the SL 5 pips below the last 3 candles.
5. Or, trail the price if you are on screen until the next signal is given and a new trend starts - although unless a big trend, you may miss out on some profit by the time price has pulled back.
For placing a Take Profit, you could;
1. Use a fixed TP.
2. Look for the next supply/demand area on the chart (if it breaks and candle colour supports direction - you could enter again).
3. Use an ATR function.
5. Or, trail the price if you are on screen until the next signal is given and a new trend starts - although unless a big trend, you may miss out on some profit by the time price has pulled back.
6. Secure multiple TPs - 20/50/100 pips with Stop loss to entry after the first target is hit.
Here are some examples of the Buy and Sell signals in action;
Will also work on Commodities and Indices as shown below too;
Our recommended visual settings are below;
1. Set to'Trail' Strategy
2. Under 'Style' tab, select Trades on Chart, but un-select both Signal Labels and Quantity to clean up the chart - these settings are useful when testing to see where the trades are opened and closed.
3. We like the candles changing colour to the trend and criteria set however, these can be turned off to display normal bullish and bearish candles.
When reviewing profitability you can do this by selecting 'Overview' 'Performance Summary' and 'List of Trades'.
Please consider that the settings based into the strategy could differ to your own money management rules and your management of your SL and TP as outlined above - we have tried to cover as many bases as possible here.
We look forward to you using this strategy to profit from the market, please share your feedback and results with us.
Kind regards
Blue FX Team
GOLD_COTThis indicator shows GOLD_COT.
Uniqueness: You can show open interest in addition to long, short and net positions.
Correlation & BetaDisplay the correlation coefficient and/or Beta of an asset to a specified market.
Options to:
- Specify market (S&P500 futures by default)
- Display one or other metrics
- Modify assessment period (200 bars by default)
- Calculate on price, returns or log-returns
Yield Curve Inversion MonitorIdentifies when the US Treasury Yield Curve inverts (2 and 10 year bond rates).
When they ‘invert’ long-term bonds have a lower interest rate than short-term bonds. In other words, the bond market is pricing in a significant drop in future interest rates (which might be caused by the US Fed fighting off a recession in the future).
In the last 50 years, every time the US treasury yield curve inverted a recession followed within 3 years. On average the S&P500 gained 19.1% following the inversion and peaked 13 months later. In other words, as far as investors are concerned, the recession began roughly one year later.
However, once the market peaks, it then drops 37.6% on average, wiping out all those gains and more.
...Looks like 2020 is shaping up to be another prime example.
Gold-Stocks RatioA historic risk-off flag.
When the Gold-Stocks Ratio is above the 200 week moving average, investors may fair better holding gold and avoiding equities, as was the case for the last 20 years.
[astropark] ALGO Trading V3 [strategy]Dear Followers,
today another awesome Swing and Scalping Trading Strategy indicator, runnable on a bot , which works great on many timeframes (from 1h and above is suggested), just write me in order to help you find correct settings).
It must be said that this strategy works even better on 1m Renko chart!
If you are a scalper or you are a swing trader, you will love suggested entries for fast and long-lasting profit.
Keep in mind that a proper trailing stop strategy and risk management and money management strategies are very important (DM me if you need any clarification on these points).
This is not an evolution of "ALGO Trading V1" or "ALGO Trading V2" , but a twin sister of them.
For your reference, here it is the "ALGO Trading V1" indicator
and here the "ALGO Trading V2"
This strategy has the following options:
enable/disable signals on chart
enable/disable bars and background coloring based on trend
enable/disable a "filter noise" option , which try to reduce overtrading (you can easily check it on backtesting)
enable/disable a Take Profit / Stop Loss option (you can easily check it on backtesting too)
enable/disable a secret SmartOption which may improve profit on your chart (again, check it on you chart if it helps or not)
This strategy only trigger 1 buy or 1 sell. If you enable Take Profit / Stop Loss option, consider that many TP can be triggered before trend reversal, so take partial profit on every TP an eventually buy/sell back lower/higher to maximize your profit.
In order to get notified when a signal is triggered, you need to use the "alarms" version of this indicator (just search for astropark's "ALGO Trading V3" indicator and choose the one with "alarms" suffix).
Strategy results are calculated on the time window from 1995 to now, so on more than 15 years, using 1000$ as initial capital and working at 1x leverage (so no leverage at all! If you like to use leverage, be sure to use a safe option, like 3x or 5x at most in order to have liquidation price very far).
This is not the "Holy Grail", so use a proper risk management strategy.
This script will let you backtest how the indicator will perform on any chart and timeframe you may like to test and/or trade. Of course results will be very different depending on the chart and timeframe you will open. I tested a lot of charts and always you can find a combination that keep this strategy in profit on swing trading style (and this means that if you can have a daily look at the chart you can always manage to maximize your profit on each trade!)
This is a premium indicator , so send me a private message in order to get access to this script.
Silver Long/Short Combines Gold and Silver price ratio with SMA trend indicators for buy and sell signals.
