Crypto Volatility Bitcoin Correlation Strategy Description:
The Crypto Volatility Bitcoin Correlation Strategy is designed to leverage market volatility specifically in Bitcoin (BTC) using a combination of volatility indicators and trend-following techniques. This strategy utilizes the VIXFix (a volatility indicator adapted for crypto markets) and the BVOL7D (Bitcoin 7-Day Volatility Index from BitMEX) to identify periods of high volatility, while confirming trends with the Exponential Moving Average (EMA). These components work together to offer a comprehensive system that traders can use to enter positions when volatility and trends are aligned in their favor.
Key Features:
VIXFix (Volatility Index for Crypto Markets): This indicator measures the highest price of Bitcoin over a set period and compares it with the current low price to gauge market volatility. A rise in VIXFix indicates increasing market volatility, signaling that large price movements could occur.
BVOL7D (Bitcoin 7-Day Volatility Index): This volatility index, provided by BitMEX, measures the volatility of Bitcoin over the past 7 days. It helps traders monitor the recent volatility trend in the market, particularly useful when making short-term trading decisions.
Exponential Moving Average (EMA): The 50-period EMA acts as a trend indicator. When the price is above the EMA, it suggests the market is in an uptrend, and when the price is below the EMA, it suggests a downtrend.
How It Works:
Long Entry: A long position is triggered when both the VIXFix and BVOL7D indicators are rising, signaling increased volatility, and the price is above the 50-period EMA, confirming that the market is trending upward.
Exit: The strategy exits the position when the price crosses below the 50-period EMA, which signals a potential weakening of the uptrend and a decrease in volatility.
This strategy ensures that traders only enter positions when the volatility aligns with a clear trend, minimizing the risk of entering trades during periods of market uncertainty.
Testing and Timeframe:
This strategy has been tested on Bitcoin using the daily timeframe, which provides a longer-term perspective on market trends and volatility. However, users can adjust the timeframe according to their trading preferences. It is crucial to note that this strategy does not include comprehensive risk management, aside from the exit condition when the price crosses below the EMA. Users are strongly advised to implement their own risk management techniques, such as setting appropriate stop-loss levels, to safeguard their positions during high volatility periods.
Utility:
The Crypto Volatility Bitcoin Correlation Strategy is particularly well-suited for traders who aim to capitalize on the high volatility often seen in the Bitcoin market. By combining volatility measurements (VIXFix and BVOL7D) with a trend-following mechanism (EMA), this strategy helps identify optimal moments for entering and exiting trades. This approach ensures that traders participate in potentially profitable market moves while minimizing exposure during times of uncertainty.
Use Cases:
Volatility-Based Entries: Traders looking to take advantage of market volatility spikes will find this strategy useful for timing entry points during market swings.
Trend Confirmation: By using the EMA as a confirmation tool, traders can avoid entering trades that go against the trend, which can result in significant losses during volatile market conditions.
Risk Management: While the strategy exits when price falls below the EMA, it is important to recognize that this is not a full risk management system. Traders should use caution and integrate additional risk measures, such as stop-losses and position sizing, to better manage potential losses.
How to Use:
Step 1: Monitor the VIXFix and BVOL7D indicators. When both are rising and the Bitcoin price is above the EMA, the strategy will trigger a long entry, indicating that the market is experiencing increased volatility with a confirmed uptrend.
Step 2: Exit the position when the price drops below the 50-period EMA, signaling that the trend may be reversing or weakening, reducing the likelihood of continued upward price movement.
This strategy is open-source and is intended to help traders navigate volatile market conditions, particularly in Bitcoin, using proven indicators for volatility and trend confirmation.
Risk Disclaimer:
This strategy has been tested on the daily timeframe of Bitcoin, but users should be aware that it does not include built-in risk management except for the below-EMA exit condition. Users should be extremely cautious when using this strategy and are encouraged to implement their own risk management, such as using stop-losses, position sizing, and setting appropriate limits. Trading involves significant risk, and this strategy does not guarantee profits or prevent losses. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always test any strategy in a demo environment before applying it to live markets.
波動率
Trend Confirmation and ASO-based StrategyStrategy Name: Trend Confirmation with EMA, ASO, and ATR Bands Auto-Trading
Purpose:
This strategy aims to enhance trend confirmation and entry point precision by combining multiple technical indicators. Specifically, it uses the 200 EMA for trend confirmation, the Average Sentiment Oscillator (ASO) to capture market sentiment, and ATR bands for risk management. This provides a comprehensive approach to capturing trade opportunities. The strategy emphasizes trend-following trades, reducing noise while keeping risk management simple.
Uniqueness and Usefulness:
Uniqueness:
This strategy stands out because it integrates multiple elements that complement each other for increased effectiveness and originality. Instead of relying on a single indicator, it generates more accurate trading signals by allowing each indicator to work synergistically.
200 EMA: Used to confirm the long-term trend, providing clarity on the trend direction and ensuring trades align with the dominant market trend.
Average Sentiment Oscillator (ASO): Measures market sentiment based on the crossover between the bull and bear lines. Signals are generated only when ASO detects a trend shift, filtering out price fluctuations and noise.
ATR Bands: Evaluates market volatility and sets stop-loss levels upon entry. By using ATR bands, the strategy supports traders in maintaining a fixed stop-loss for risk management.
Each component analyzes the market from a different perspective, and together, they generate reliable signals for trend-following trades. These indicators are not simply combined but are clearly defined in their roles to improve signal quality.
Usefulness:
This strategy is suitable for medium to long-term traders who focus on trend-following. It emphasizes entry during the early stages of a trend and focuses on risk management by offering reliable signals with minimal noise. The combination of ASO and ATR bands allows traders to assess market volatility while setting take profit levels based on a risk-reward ratio. This helps avoid overreacting to short-term price fluctuations and supports sustainable trading practices.
Entry Conditions:
Long Entry:
Condition: Price is above the 200 EMA, and the ASO bull line crosses above the bear line while also exceeding the 50 level.
Signal: A buy signal is generated, indicating the start of an uptrend.
Short Entry:
Condition: Price is below the 200 EMA, and the ASO bear line crosses above the bull line while also exceeding the 50 level.
Signal: A sell signal is generated, indicating the start of a downtrend.
Exit Conditions:
Exit Strategy:
While this strategy automates both entries and exits, it is recommended that traders manually manage their positions for risk control when necessary. The stop-loss is set based on ATR bands at the time of entry, and a take-profit is set with a risk-reward ratio of 1:1.5.
Risk Management:
This strategy incorporates a fixed stop-loss mechanism, where the stop-loss is set at entry based on the ATR band value. Once set, the stop-loss remains fixed, ensuring that trades stay within a predetermined risk range. The take-profit is based on a risk-reward ratio of 1:1.5, increasing the potential reward relative to the risk.
Account Size: ¥100,000
Commissions and Slippage: Assumed commission of 94 pips per trade and slippage of 1 pip.
Risk per Trade: 10% of account equity (adjustable based on risk tolerance).
Configurable Options:
ASO Period: Period setting for the Average Sentiment Oscillator (default is 32).
ATR Multiplier: Multiplier for ATR band calculation (default is 2.0).
EMA Period: Settings for the 200 EMA.
Signal Display Control: Option to toggle entry signal visibility on or off.
Adequate Sample Size:
To verify the effectiveness of this strategy, it is recommended to conduct extensive backtesting over a long period, covering different market conditions, including both high and low volatility environments.
Credits:
Acknowledgments:
This strategy integrates technical approaches based on the Average Sentiment Oscillator, 200 EMA, and ATR bands, drawing insights from the broader trading community.
Clean Chart Description:
Chart Appearance:
This strategy maintains a clean chart display by offering a toggle to switch the visibility of the ASO, EMA, and entry signals on or off. This helps reduce visual clutter and enhances effective trend analysis.
Addressing the House Rule Violations:
Omissions and Unrealistic Claims:
This strategy makes no exaggerated claims or guarantees about performance. All signals are provided for educational purposes, and it is emphasized that past performance does not guarantee future results. Proper risk management is essential, and the importance of this is highlighted throughout the strategy.
Universal All Assets Strategy | viResearchUniversal All Assets Strategy | viResearch
The Universal All Assets Strategy by viResearch is a sophisticated trend-following algorithm designed to operate seamlessly across various asset classes. It leverages seven unique trend-following indicators to provide robust and adaptive trading signals. The strategy dynamically adjusts to market conditions, making it suitable for equities, commodities, forex, and cryptocurrencies.
Core Methodologies and Features:
Seven Integrated Trend Indicators:
The strategy integrates seven powerful trend-following indicators. These include directional moving averages, smoothed moving averages, RSI loops, Supertrend filters, and more. When the majority of these indicators align, the strategy generates a long or short signal, ensuring that traders are capturing significant trend opportunities while minimizing noise from market fluctuations.
Universal Asset Adaptability:
Designed to work across all assets, the strategy adjusts its parameters dynamically based on the asset being traded. Whether applied to stocks, forex, or crypto, it adapts to the specific volatility and price behavior of the instrument, ensuring reliable signal generation in any market condition.
Customizable Directional Bias and Volatility Filters:
The strategy allows for an optional directional bias and incorporates volatility-based adjustments through ATR filters and standard deviation metrics. These features provide greater flexibility, allowing users to fine-tune the strategy for both trending and ranging markets.
Operational Parameters:
User-Friendly Customization:
Universal All Assets Strategy offers comprehensive customization options, including adjustable backtesting dates, starting capital settings, plotting options, and an experimental directional bias feature. These parameters can be easily tailored to meet the trader's unique needs, allowing for optimal performance across various markets and trading styles.
Seven-Trend Confirmation System:
The algorithm relies on its seven trend-following indicators to confirm market direction. If the majority of indicators generate a long signal, the strategy will initiate a long position. Conversely, a majority short signal will trigger a short position, providing strong validation for trade entries and exits.
Thoroughly Tested for Realistic Conditions:
This strategy has been rigorously backtested and forward-tested under real-world trading conditions, accounting for slippage, commissions, and various account sizes. Its robust risk management features ensure a balanced approach to trading, reducing unnecessary drawdowns and prioritizing capital preservation over time.
Concluding Remarks:
The Universal All Assets Strategy | viResearch is designed to offer traders a powerful tool for identifying and acting on market trends across multiple asset classes. With its seven-indicator confirmation system, adaptive logic, and customizable settings, this strategy is an excellent choice for traders looking for consistency and reliability in their trading approach. Whether used for long or short opportunities, this strategy provides the flexibility and precision needed to succeed in today's markets.
XAU/USD Strategy with Correct ADX and Bollinger Bands Fill1. *Indicators Used*:
- *Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs)*: Two EMAs (20-period and 50-period) are used to identify the trend direction and potential entry points based on crossovers.
- *Relative Strength Index (RSI)*: A momentum oscillator that measures the speed and change of price movements. It identifies overbought and oversold conditions.
- *Bollinger Bands*: These consist of a middle line (simple moving average) and two outer bands (standard deviations away from the middle). They help to identify price volatility and potential reversal points.
- *Average Directional Index (ADX)*: This indicator quantifies trend strength. It's derived from the Directional Movement Index (DMI) and helps confirm the presence of a strong trend.
- *Average True Range (ATR)*: Used to calculate position size based on volatility, ensuring that trades align with the trader's risk tolerance.
2. *Entry Conditions*:
- *Long Entry*:
- The 20 EMA crosses above the 50 EMA (indicating a potential bullish trend).
- The RSI is below the oversold level (30), suggesting the asset may be undervalued.
- The price is below the lower Bollinger Band, indicating potential price reversal.
- The ADX is above a specified threshold (25), confirming that there is sufficient trend strength.
- *Short Entry*:
- The 20 EMA crosses below the 50 EMA (indicating a potential bearish trend).
- The RSI is above the overbought level (70), suggesting the asset may be overvalued.
- The price is above the upper Bollinger Band, indicating potential price reversal.
- The ADX is above the specified threshold (25), confirming trend strength.
3. *Position Sizing*:
- The script calculates the position size dynamically based on the trader's risk per trade (expressed as a percentage of the total capital) and the ATR. This ensures that the trader does not risk more than the specified percentage on any single trade, adjusting the position size according to market volatility.
4. *Exit Conditions*:
- The strategy uses a trailing stop-loss mechanism to secure profits as the price moves in the trader's favor. The trailing stop is set at a percentage (1.5% by default) below the highest price reached since entry for long positions and above the lowest price for short positions.
- Additionally, if the RSI crosses back above the overbought level while in a long position or below the oversold level while in a short position, the position is closed to prevent losses.
5. *Alerts*:
- Alerts are set to notify the trader when a buy or sell condition is met based on the strategy's rules. This allows for timely execution of trades.
### Summary
This strategy aims to capture significant price movements in the XAU/USD market by combining trend-following (EMAs, ADX) and momentum indicators (RSI, Bollinger Bands). The dynamic position sizing based on ATR helps manage risk effectively. By implementing trailing stops and alert mechanisms, the strategy enhances the trader's ability to act quickly on opportunities while mitigating potential losses.
Neural Momentum StrategyThis strategy combines Exponential Moving Average (EMA) analysis with a multi-timeframe approach. It uses a neural scoring system to evaluate market momentum and generate precise trading signals. The strategy is implemented in Pine Script v5 and is designed for use on TradingView.
Key Components
The strategy utilizes short-term (10-period) and long-term (25-period) EMAs. It calculates the difference between these EMAs to assess trend direction and strength. A neural scoring system evaluates EMA crossovers (weight: 12 points), trend strength (weight: 10 points), and price acceleration (weight: 4 points). The system implements a score smoothing algorithm using a 10-period EMA.
Multi-timeframe Analysis
The strategy automatically selects a higher timeframe based on the current chart timeframe. It calculates scores for both the current and higher timeframes, then combines these scores using a weighted average. The higher timeframe factor ranges from 3 to 6, depending on the current timeframe.
Trading Logic
Entry occurs when the final combined score turns positive after a change. Exit happens when the final combined score turns negative after a change. The strategy recalculates scores on each bar, ensuring responsive trading decisions.
Risk Management
An optional adaptive stop-loss system based on Average True Range (ATR) is available. The default ATR period is 10, and the stop factor is 1.2. Stop levels are dynamically adjusted on the higher timeframe.
Customization Options
Users can adjust EMA periods, signal line period, scoring weights, and enable/disable multi-timeframe analysis. The strategy allows setting specific date ranges for backtesting and deployment.
Position Sizing
The strategy uses a percentage-of-equity position sizing method, with a default of 30% of account equity per trade.
Code Structure
The strategy is built using TradingView's strategy framework. It employs efficient use of the request.security() function for multi-timeframe analysis. The main calculation function, calculate_score(), computes the neural score based on EMA differences and acceleration.
Performance Considerations
The strategy adapts to various market conditions through its multi-faceted scoring system. Multi-timeframe analysis helps filter out noise and identify stronger trends. The neural scoring approach aims to capture subtle market dynamics often missed by traditional indicators.
Limitations
Performance may vary across different markets and timeframes. The strategy's effectiveness relies on proper calibration of its numerous parameters. Users should thoroughly backtest and forward test before live implementation.
To summarize, the Neural Momentum Strategy represents a sophisticated approach to market analysis. It combines traditional technical indicators with advanced scoring techniques and multi-timeframe analysis. This strategy is designed for traders seeking a data-driven and adaptive method. It aims to identify high-probability trading opportunities across various market conditions.
This Neural Momentum Strategy is for informational and educational purposes only. It should not be considered financial advice. The strategy may exhibit slight repainting behavior due to the nature of multi-timeframe analysis and the use of the request.security() function. Historical values might change as new data becomes available.
Trading carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. Before deciding to trade, you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. The possibility exists that you could sustain a loss of some or all of your initial investment. Therefore, you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose.
Past performance is not indicative of future results. The author and TradingView are not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of using this strategy. Always exercise caution when using this or any trading strategy, and thoroughly test it before implementing in live trading scenarios.
Users are solely responsible for any trading decisions they make based on this strategy. It is strongly recommended that you seek advice from an independent financial advisor if you have any doubts.
Quantoshi Global Liquidity StrategyThis strategy leverages global liquidity data alongside technical indicators like the Rate of Change (ROC) and Double Exponential Moving Average (DEMA) to identify optimal long-entry points during major market trends. The script is designed to capture long-term, sustained momentum and includes built-in risk management by filtering out rapid price spikes. It is best suited for swing trading or long-term trend trading.
Key Features:
Global Liquidity Data:
The strategy incorporates data from major global central banks and M2 money supply to calculate a comprehensive liquidity index, which is a critical component for long-term trend detection.
ROC-DEMA Crossover:
It combines the Rate of Change (ROC) and a 100-period Double Exponential Moving Average (DEMA) to identify momentum shifts. Long entries are triggered when these indicators confirm an upward trend.
Price Thresholds:
The strategy compares the current price to the price from several candles ago to ensure positions are not entered during unsustainable price surges.
Custom Alerts:
Automated alerts for long entries and exits allow users to automate their trades or receive timely notifications when market conditions are met.
How It Works:
The strategy enters long positions when ROC and DEMA signals confirm a positive trend, and the price conditions suggest a sustainable upward momentum. Long exits occur when the momentum reverses, with a clear crossover signal of ROC below DEMA. Custom alert messages make it ideal for automated trading setups.
Why It's Unique:
This strategy combines liquidity data with technical indicators to filter noise and focus on significant market shifts. It allows traders to capture major trend reversals without needing to actively monitor the charts, making it useful for those focused on swing or long-term trading.
Backtesting & Risk Management:
Given its long-term focus, this strategy generates only a few signals per decade when used on a weekly timescale. As a result, traditional backtesting show few trades, but historical analysis reveals its effectiveness in capturing major market movements.
Account Size:
The backtest is based on a $1,000 account size to represent a realistic trading scenario.
Commissions & Tick size: Commission fees of 0.1% and a tick size of 100 are applied to reflect real-world trading conditions.
Trade Size:
Risk per trade is limited to 5% of the account balance to align with sound risk management practices.
Bitcoin CME-Spot Z-Spread - Strategy [presentTrading]This time is a swing trading strategy! It measures the sentiment of the Bitcoin market through the spread of CME Bitcoin Futures and Bitfinex BTCUSD Spot prices. By applying Bollinger Bands to the spread, the strategy seeks to capture mean-reversion opportunities when prices deviate significantly from their historical norms
█ Introduction and How it is Different
The Bitcoin CME-Spot Bollinger Bands Strategy is designed to capture mean-reversion opportunities by exploiting the spread between CME Bitcoin Futures and Bitfinex BTCUSD Spot prices. The strategy uses Bollinger Bands to detect when the spread between these two correlated assets has deviated significantly from its historical norm, signaling potential overbought or oversold conditions.
What sets this strategy apart is its focus on spread trading between futures and spot markets rather than price-based indicators. By applying Bollinger Bands to the spread rather than individual prices, the strategy identifies price inefficiencies across markets, allowing traders to take advantage of the natural reversion to the mean that often occurs in these correlated assets.
BTCUSD 8hr Performance
█ Strategy, How It Works: Detailed Explanation
The strategy relies on Bollinger Bands to assess the volatility and relative deviation of the spread between CME Bitcoin Futures and Bitfinex BTCUSD Spot prices. Bollinger Bands consist of a moving average and two standard deviation bands, which help measure how much the spread deviates from its historical mean.
🔶 Spread Calculation:
The spread is calculated by subtracting the Bitfinex spot price from the CME Bitcoin futures price:
Spread = CME Price - Bitfinex Price
This spread represents the difference between the futures and spot markets, which may widen or narrow based on supply and demand dynamics in each market. By analyzing the spread, the strategy can detect when prices are too far apart (potentially overbought or oversold), indicating a trading opportunity.
🔶 Bollinger Bands Calculation:
The Bollinger Bands for the spread are calculated using a simple moving average (SMA) and the standard deviation of the spread over a defined period.
1. Moving Average (SMA):
The simple moving average of the spread (mu_S) over a specified period P is calculated as:
mu_S = (1/P) * sum(S_i from i=1 to P)
Where S_i represents the spread at time i, and P is the lookback period (default is 200 bars). The moving average provides a baseline for the normal spread behavior.
2. Standard Deviation:
The standard deviation (sigma_S) of the spread is calculated to measure the volatility of the spread:
sigma_S = sqrt((1/P) * sum((S_i - mu_S)^2 from i=1 to P))
3. Upper and Lower Bollinger Bands:
The upper and lower Bollinger Bands are derived by adding and subtracting a multiple of the standard deviation from the moving average. The number of standard deviations is determined by a user-defined parameter k (default is 2.618).
- Upper Band:
Upper Band = mu_S + (k * sigma_S)
- Lower Band:
Lower Band = mu_S - (k * sigma_S)
These bands provide a dynamic range within which the spread typically fluctuates. When the spread moves outside of these bands, it is considered overbought or oversold, potentially offering trading opportunities.
Local view
🔶 Entry Conditions:
- Long Entry: A long position is triggered when the spread crosses below the lower Bollinger Band, indicating that the spread has become oversold and is likely to revert upward.
Spread < Lower Band
- Short Entry: A short position is triggered when the spread crosses above the upper Bollinger Band, indicating that the spread has become overbought and is likely to revert downward.
Spread > Upper Band
🔶 Risk Management and Profit-Taking:
The strategy incorporates multi-step take profits to lock in gains as the trade moves in favor. The position is gradually reduced at predefined profit levels, reducing risk while allowing part of the trade to continue running if the price keeps moving favorably.
Additionally, the strategy uses a hold period exit mechanism. If the trade does not hit any of the take-profit levels within a certain number of bars, the position is closed automatically to avoid excessive exposure to market risks.
█ Trade Direction
The trade direction is based on deviations of the spread from its historical norm:
- Long Trade: The strategy enters a long position when the spread crosses below the lower Bollinger Band, signaling an oversold condition where the spread is expected to narrow.
- Short Trade: The strategy enters a short position when the spread crosses above the upper Bollinger Band, signaling an overbought condition where the spread is expected to widen.
These entries rely on the assumption of mean reversion, where extreme deviations from the average spread are likely to revert over time.
█ Usage
The Bitcoin CME-Spot Bollinger Bands Strategy is ideal for traders looking to capitalize on price inefficiencies between Bitcoin futures and spot markets. It’s especially useful in volatile markets where large deviations between futures and spot prices occur.
- Market Conditions: This strategy is most effective in correlated markets, like CME futures and spot Bitcoin. Traders can adjust the Bollinger Bands period and standard deviation multiplier to suit different volatility regimes.
- Backtesting: Before deployment, backtesting the strategy across different market conditions and timeframes is recommended to ensure robustness. Adjust the take-profit steps and hold periods to reflect the trader’s risk tolerance and market behavior.
█ Default Settings
The default settings provide a balanced approach to spread trading using Bollinger Bands but can be adjusted depending on market conditions or personal trading preferences.
🔶 Bollinger Bands Period (200 bars):
This defines the number of bars used to calculate the moving average and standard deviation for the Bollinger Bands. A longer period smooths out short-term fluctuations and focuses on larger, more significant trends. Adjusting the period affects the responsiveness of the strategy:
- Shorter periods (e.g., 100 bars): Makes the strategy more reactive to short-term market fluctuations, potentially generating more signals but increasing the risk of false positives.
- Longer periods (e.g., 300 bars): Focuses on longer-term trends, reducing the frequency of trades and focusing only on significant deviations.
🔶 Standard Deviation Multiplier (2.618):
The multiplier controls how wide the Bollinger Bands are around the moving average. By default, the bands are set at 2.618 standard deviations away from the average, ensuring that only significant deviations trigger trades.
- Higher multipliers (e.g., 3.0): Require a more extreme deviation to trigger trades, reducing trade frequency but potentially increasing the accuracy of signals.
- Lower multipliers (e.g., 2.0): Make the bands narrower, increasing the number of trade signals but potentially decreasing their reliability.
🔶 Take-Profit Levels:
The strategy has four take-profit levels to gradually lock in profits:
- Level 1 (3%): 25% of the position is closed at a 3% profit.
- Level 2 (8%): 20% of the position is closed at an 8% profit.
- Level 3 (14%): 15% of the position is closed at a 14% profit.
- Level 4 (21%): 10% of the position is closed at a 21% profit.
Adjusting these take-profit levels affects how quickly profits are realized:
- Lower take-profit levels: Capture gains more quickly, reducing risk but potentially cutting off larger profits.
- Higher take-profit levels: Let trades run longer, aiming for bigger gains but increasing the risk of price reversals before profits are locked in.
🔶 Hold Days (20 bars):
The strategy automatically closes the position after 20 bars if none of the take-profit levels are hit. This feature prevents trades from being held indefinitely, especially if market conditions are stagnant. Adjusting this:
- Shorter hold periods: Reduce the duration of exposure, minimizing risks from market changes but potentially closing trades too early.
- Longer hold periods: Allow trades to stay open longer, increasing the chance for mean reversion but also increasing exposure to unfavorable market conditions.
By understanding how these default settings affect the strategy’s performance, traders can optimize the Bitcoin CME-Spot Bollinger Bands Strategy to their preferences, adapting it to different market environments and risk tolerances.
High Yield Spread Strategy with SMA FilterThis Pine Script strategy is designed for statistical analysis and research purposes only, not for live trading or financial decision-making. The script evaluates the relationship between financial volatility (measured by either the VIX or the High Yield Spread) and market positioning strategies (long or short) based on user-defined conditions. Specifically, it allows users to test the assumption that elevated levels of VIX or the High Yield Spread may justify short positions in the market—a widely held belief in financial circles—but this script demonstrates that shorting is not always the optimal choice, even under these conditions.
Key Components:
1. High Yield Spread and VIX:
• High Yield Spread is the difference between the yields of corporate high-yield (or “junk”) bonds and U.S. Treasury securities. A rising spread often reflects increased market risk perception.
• VIX (Volatility Index) is often referred to as the market’s “fear gauge.” Higher VIX levels usually indicate heightened market uncertainty or expected volatility.
2. Strategy Logic:
• The script allows users to specify a threshold for the VIX or High Yield Spread, and it automatically evaluates if the spread exceeds this level, which traditionally would suggest an environment for higher market risk and thus potentially favoring short trades.
• However, the strategy provides flexibility to enter long or short positions, even in a high-risk environment, emphasizing that a high VIX or High Yield Spread does not always warrant shorting.
3. SMA Filter:
• A Simple Moving Average (SMA) filter can be applied to the price data, where positions are only entered if the price is above or below the SMA (depending on the trade direction). This adds a technical component to the strategy, incorporating price trends into decision-making.
4. Hold Duration:
• The script also allows users to define how long to hold a position after entering, enabling an analysis of different timeframes.
Theoretical Background:
The traditional belief that high VIX or High Yield Spreads favor short positions is not universally supported by research. While a spike in the VIX or credit spreads is often associated with increased market risk, research suggests that excessive volatility does not always lead to negative returns. In fact, high volatility can sometimes signal an approaching market rebound.
For example:
• Studies have shown that long-term investments during periods of heightened volatility can yield favorable returns due to mean reversion. Whaley (2000) notes that VIX spikes are often followed by market recoveries as volatility tends to revert to its mean over time .
• Research by Blitz and Vliet (2007) highlights that low-volatility stocks have historically outperformed high-volatility stocks, suggesting that volatility may not always predict negative returns .
• Furthermore, credit spreads can widen in response to broader market stress, but these may overshoot the actual credit risk, presenting opportunities for long positions when spreads are high and risk premiums are mispriced .
Educational Purpose:
The goal of this script is to challenge assumptions about shorting during volatile periods, showing that long positions can be equally, if not more, effective during market stress. By incorporating an SMA filter and customizable logic for entering trades, users can test different hypotheses regarding the effectiveness of both long and short positions under varying market conditions.
Note: This strategy is not intended for live trading and should be used solely for educational and statistical exploration. Misinterpreting financial indicators can lead to incorrect investment decisions, and it is crucial to conduct comprehensive research before trading.
References:
1. Whaley, R. E. (2000). “The Investor Fear Gauge”. The Journal of Portfolio Management, 26(3), 12-17.
2. Blitz, D., & van Vliet, P. (2007). “The Volatility Effect: Lower Risk Without Lower Return”. Journal of Portfolio Management, 34(1), 102-113.
3. Bhamra, H. S., & Kuehn, L. A. (2010). “The Determinants of Credit Spreads: An Empirical Analysis”. Journal of Finance, 65(3), 1041-1072.
This explanation highlights the academic and research-backed foundation of the strategy and the nuances of volatility, while cautioning against the assumption that high VIX or High Yield Spread always calls for shorting.
HFT V.2 EnhancedTitle: HFT V.2 Enhanced - ATR Dynamic Stop-Loss & Take-Profit
Description:
The HFT V.2 Enhanced strategy is designed for high-frequency trading with dynamic trade management and robust entry/exit logic. This strategy uses simple moving averages (SMA) for trend identification and the relative strength index (RSI) for momentum confirmation. In this enhanced version, the strategy also incorporates dynamic stop-loss and take-profit levels based on the Average True Range (ATR), offering better adaptability to market volatility.
Features:
Moving Average Crossover: Uses a fast and slow SMA to capture trend reversals and generate trade entries.
RSI Confirmation: Ensures momentum is in the direction of the trade by incorporating the RSI threshold for both long and short entries.
Dynamic Stop-Loss and Take-Profit: Stop-loss and take-profit levels are calculated based on the ATR, allowing the strategy to adjust its exit points according to market volatility. This helps manage risk more effectively and capture larger trends.
Auto-Close Opposing Positions: Automatically closes any open long positions when a short entry is triggered, and vice versa.
Once-Per-Bar Execution: Ensures that a position is entered only once per bar, avoiding multiple trades within the same bar.
Parameters:
Fast MA Length: Defines the length of the fast-moving average.
Slow MA Length: Defines the length of the slow-moving average.
RSI Length: Sets the period for the RSI indicator.
RSI Threshold: Controls the RSI level for confirming momentum (50 by default).
ATR Length: Determines the period for the ATR calculation.
ATR Multiplier for Stop-Loss/Take-Profit: Adjusts the sensitivity of the stop-loss and take-profit levels based on ATR.
How it Works:
Long Entry: The strategy opens a long trade when the fast SMA crosses above the slow SMA, and the RSI is above the user-defined threshold. A dynamic stop-loss is placed below the entry price, and a take-profit target is set based on ATR.
Short Entry: The strategy opens a short trade when the fast SMA crosses below the slow SMA, and the RSI is below the inverse threshold. A stop-loss is placed above the entry price, and a take-profit target is set using ATR.
Risk Management: The strategy adapts to changing market conditions by dynamically adjusting its stop-loss and take-profit levels, ensuring it remains responsive to market volatility.
This script is ideal for traders looking for a high-frequency strategy with advanced trade management, including dynamic exits and volatility-based risk management.
Disclaimer: Always backtest and optimize the parameters to fit your trading style and risk tolerance before using the strategy in live trading.
Connors VIX Reversal III invented by Dave LandryThis strategy is based on trading signals derived from the behavior of the Volatility Index (VIX) relative to its 10-day moving average. The rules are split into buying and selling conditions:
Buy Conditions:
The VIX low must be above its 10-day moving average.
The VIX must close at least 10% above its 10-day moving average.
If both conditions are met, a buy signal is generated at the market's close.
Sell Conditions:
The VIX high must be below its 10-day moving average.
The VIX must close at least 10% below its 10-day moving average.
If both conditions are met, a sell signal is generated at the market's close.
Exit Conditions:
For long positions, the strategy exits when the VIX trades intraday below its previous day’s 10-day moving average.
For short positions, the strategy exits when the VIX trades intraday above its previous day’s 10-day moving average.
This strategy is primarily a mean-reversion strategy, where the market is expected to revert to a more normal state after the VIX exhibits extreme behavior (i.e., large deviations from its moving average).
About Dave Landry
Dave Landry is a well-known figure in the world of trading, particularly in technical analysis. He is an author, trader, and educator, best known for his work on swing trading strategies. Landry focuses on trend-following and momentum-based techniques, teaching traders how to capitalize on shorter-term price swings in the market. He has written books like "Dave Landry on Swing Trading" and "The Layman's Guide to Trading Stocks," which emphasize practical, actionable trading strategies.
About Connors Research
Connors Research is a financial research firm known for its quantitative research in financial markets. Founded by Larry Connors, the firm specializes in developing high-probability trading systems based on historical market behavior. Connors’ work is widely respected for its data-driven approach, including systems like the RSI(2) strategy, which focuses on short-term mean reversion. The firm also provides trading education and tools for institutional and retail traders alike, emphasizing strategies that can be backtested and quantified.
Risks of the Strategy
While this strategy may appear to offer promising opportunities to exploit extreme VIX movements, it carries several risks:
Market Volatility: The VIX itself is a measure of market volatility, meaning the strategy can be exposed to sudden and unpredictable market swings. This can result in whipsaws, where positions are opened and closed in rapid succession due to sharp reversals in the VIX.
Overfitting: Strategies based on specific conditions like the VIX closing 10% above or below its moving average can be subject to overfitting, meaning they work well in historical tests but may underperform in live markets. This is a common issue in quantitative trading systems that are not adaptable to changing market conditions .
Mean-Reversion Assumption: The core assumption behind this strategy is that markets will revert to their mean after extreme movements. However, during periods of sustained trends (e.g., market crashes or rallies), this assumption may break down, leading to prolonged drawdowns.
Liquidity and Slippage: Depending on the asset being traded (e.g., S&P 500 futures, ETFs), liquidity issues or slippage could occur when executing trades at market close, particularly in volatile conditions. This could increase costs or worsen trade execution.
Scientific Explanation of the Strategy
The VIX is often referred to as the "fear gauge" because it measures the market's expectations of volatility based on options prices. Research has shown that the VIX tends to spike during periods of market stress and revert to lower levels when conditions stabilize . Mean reversion strategies like this one assume that extreme VIX levels are unsustainable in the long run, which aligns with findings from academic literature on volatility and market behavior.
Studies have found that the VIX is inversely correlated with stock market returns, meaning that higher VIX levels often correspond to lower stock prices and vice versa . By using the VIX’s relationship with its 10-day moving average, this strategy aims to capture reversals in market sentiment. The 10% threshold is designed to identify moments when the VIX is significantly deviating from its norm, signaling a potential reversal.
However, academic research also highlights the limitations of relying on the VIX alone for trading signals. The VIX does not predict market direction, only volatility, meaning that it cannot indicate the magnitude of price movements . Furthermore, extreme VIX levels can persist longer than expected, particularly during financial crises.
In conclusion, while the strategy is grounded in well-established financial principles (e.g., mean reversion and the relationship between volatility and market performance), it carries inherent risks and should be used with caution. Backtesting and careful risk management are essential before applying this strategy in live markets.
Larry Conners Vix Reversal II Strategy (approx.)This Pine Script™ strategy is a modified version of the original Larry Connors VIX Reversal II Strategy, designed for short-term trading in market indices like the S&P 500. The strategy utilizes the Relative Strength Index (RSI) of the VIX (Volatility Index) to identify potential overbought or oversold market conditions. The logic is based on the assumption that extreme levels of market volatility often precede reversals in price.
How the Strategy Works
The strategy calculates the RSI of the VIX using a 25-period lookback window. The RSI is a momentum oscillator that measures the speed and change of price movements. It ranges from 0 to 100 and is often used to identify overbought and oversold conditions in assets.
Overbought Signal: When the RSI of the VIX rises above 61, it signals a potential overbought condition in the market. The strategy looks for a RSI downtick (i.e., when RSI starts to fall after reaching this level) as a trigger to enter a long position.
Oversold Signal: Conversely, when the RSI of the VIX drops below 42, the market is considered oversold. A RSI uptick (i.e., when RSI starts to rise after hitting this level) serves as a signal to enter a short position.
The strategy holds the position for a minimum of 7 days and a maximum of 12 days, after which it exits automatically.
Larry Connors: Background
Larry Connors is a prominent figure in quantitative trading, specializing in short-term market strategies. He is the co-author of several influential books on trading, such as Street Smarts (1995), co-written with Linda Raschke, and How Markets Really Work. Connors' work focuses on developing rules-based systems using volatility indicators like the VIX and oscillators such as RSI to exploit mean-reversion patterns in financial markets.
Risks of the Strategy
While the Larry Connors VIX Reversal II Strategy can capture reversals in volatile market environments, it also carries significant risks:
Over-Optimization: This modified version adjusts RSI levels and holding periods to fit recent market data. If market conditions change, the strategy might no longer be effective, leading to false signals.
Drawdowns in Trending Markets: This is a mean-reversion strategy, designed to profit when markets return to a previous mean. However, in strongly trending markets, especially during extended bull or bear phases, the strategy might generate losses due to early entries or exits.
Volatility Risk: Since this strategy is linked to the VIX, an instrument that reflects market volatility, large spikes in volatility can lead to unexpected, fast-moving market conditions, potentially leading to larger-than-expected losses.
Scientific Literature and Supporting Research
The use of RSI and VIX in trading strategies has been widely discussed in academic research. RSI is one of the most studied momentum oscillators, and numerous studies show that it can capture mean-reversion effects in various markets, including equities and derivatives.
Wong et al. (2003) investigated the effectiveness of technical trading rules such as RSI, finding that it has predictive power in certain market conditions, particularly in mean-reverting markets .
The VIX, often referred to as the “fear index,” reflects market expectations of volatility and has been a focal point in research exploring volatility-based strategies. Whaley (2000) extensively reviewed the predictive power of VIX, noting that extreme VIX readings often correlate with turning points in the stock market .
Modified Version of Original Strategy
This script is a modified version of Larry Connors' original VIX Reversal II strategy. The key differences include:
Adjusted RSI period to 25 (instead of 2 or 4 commonly used in Connors’ other work).
Overbought and oversold levels modified to 61 and 42, respectively.
Specific holding period (7 to 12 days) is predefined to reduce holding risk.
These modifications aim to adapt the strategy to different market environments, potentially enhancing performance under specific volatility conditions. However, as with any system, constant evaluation and testing in live markets are crucial.
References
Wong, W. K., Manzur, M., & Chew, B. K. (2003). How rewarding is technical analysis? Evidence from Singapore stock market. Applied Financial Economics, 13(7), 543-551.
Whaley, R. E. (2000). The investor fear gauge. Journal of Portfolio Management, 26(3), 12-17.
Bidirectional Trend Reversal StrategyBidirectional Trend Reversal Strategy
This strategy aims to identify potential trend reversals and execute trades accordingly, focusing on both long and short positions. It uses a crossover of the Simple Moving Average (SMA) with price action as a key signal. When the price crosses above the SMA and the previous period was bearish (closed lower than it opened), the script opens a long position ("o-Long"). The exit ("e-Long") occurs when the target or stop-loss levels are hit, which are dynamically set using the ATR (Average True Range).
For short trades, when the price crosses below the SMA and the previous period was bullish (closed higher than it opened), the script opens a short position ("o-Short"). The exit ("e-Short") follows the same ATR-based logic for stop-loss and take-profit.
All settings, including SMA and ATR parameters, are fully customizable, allowing users to adapt the strategy to different market conditions and personal trading preferences.
This approach provides a systematic way to capture trend reversals and manage trades with clear entry and exit signals based on market momentum and volatility.
Example Setup:
Market: Forex
Pair: USD/GBP
Order size: 100,000 Contracts (1 Lot)
Timeframe: 15 minutes
SMA: 93
ATR Length: 15
Stop-Loss (ATR Multiplier): 7
Take-Profit Multiplier: 2
Experiment with different settings to achieve the best results for your trading style and market conditions.
TRIN (Arms Index) Trading StrategyThe TRIN (Arms Index), also known as the Short-Term Trading Index, is a technical indicator designed to gauge the internal strength or weakness of the market. It compares the number of advancing and declining stocks to the advancing and declining volume (AD Volume). A TRIN value above 1.0 generally indicates bearish market conditions, while a value below 1.0 suggests bullish market sentiment.
Strategy Rules:
Entry Condition (Long Position): When the TRIN value is above 1.0, the strategy enters a long position, indicating that the market may be oversold, and a potential reversal could occur.
Exit Condition: The strategy exits the long position when the closing price is higher than the previous day’s high, signaling a potential rebound in the market.
This strategy aims to capitalize on short-term market inefficiencies by entering trades during periods of potential market weakness and exiting when signs of recovery appear.
How the TRIN Index Works:
The TRIN is calculated as follows:
TRIN=Advancing Issues / Declining IssuesAdvancing Volume / Declining Volume
TRIN=Advancing Volume / Declining VolumeAdvancing Issues / Declining Issues
A TRIN value above 1.0 indicates that the market is potentially oversold (more declining stocks with higher volume), while a value below 1.0 suggests the market may be overbought (more advancing stocks with higher volume) .
Empirical Evidence:
Market Sentiment Indicator: The TRIN has been widely used as a sentiment indicator. Research by Zweig (1997) suggests that extreme TRIN values can serve as a contrarian signal, indicating potential turning points in the market. For instance, a TRIN above 2.0 is often considered a sign of panic selling, which can precede a market bottom .
Overbought/Oversold Conditions: Studies have shown that indicators like TRIN, which measure market breadth and volume, can be effective in identifying overbought and oversold conditions. According to Fama and French (1988), market sentiment indicators that consider both price and volume data can offer insights into future price movements .
Risks and Limitations:
False Signals:
One of the primary risks of using the TRIN-based strategy is the possibility of false signals. A TRIN value above 1.0 does not always guarantee a market rebound, especially in sustained bearish trends. In such cases, the strategy might enter long positions prematurely, leading to losses.
Research by Brock, Lakonishok, and LeBaron (1992) found that while market indicators like TRIN can be useful, they are not foolproof and can generate multiple false positives, particularly in volatile markets .
Market Regimes:
The effectiveness of the TRIN index can vary depending on the market regime. In strongly trending markets, either bullish or bearish, the TRIN may not provide reliable reversal signals, and relying on it could result in trades that go against the prevailing trend. For instance, during strong bear markets, the TRIN may frequently remain above 1.0, leading to multiple losing trades as the market continues to decline.
Short-Term Focus:
The TRIN strategy is inherently short-term focused, aiming to capture quick market reversals. This makes it sensitive to market noise and less effective for longer-term investors. Moreover, short-term trading strategies often require more frequent adjustments and can incur higher transaction costs, which may erode profitability over time.
Liquidity and Execution Risk:
Since the TRIN strategy requires entering and exiting trades based on short-term market movements, it is vulnerable to liquidity and execution risks. In fast-moving markets, the execution of trades may be delayed, leading to slippage and potentially unfavorable entry or exit points.
Conclusion:
The TRIN (Arms Index) Trading Strategy can be an effective tool for traders looking to capitalize on short-term market inefficiencies and potential reversals. However, it is important to recognize the risks associated with this strategy, including false signals, sensitivity to market regimes, and execution risks. Traders should employ proper risk management techniques and consider combining the TRIN with other indicators to improve the robustness of the strategy.
While the TRIN provides valuable insights into market sentiment, it is not a standalone solution and should be used in conjunction with a broader trading plan that takes into account both technical and fundamental analysis.
References:
Arms, Richard W. "Volume Adjusted Moving Averages." Technical Analysis of Stocks & Commodities, 1993.
Zweig, Martin. Winning on Wall Street. Warner Books, 1997.
Fama, Eugene F., and Kenneth R. French. "Permanent and Temporary Components of Stock Prices." Journal of Political Economy, 1988.
Brock, William, Josef Lakonishok, and Blake LeBaron. "Simple Technical Trading Rules and the Stochastic Properties of Stock Returns." Journal of Finance, 1992.
Black-Scholes option price model & delta hedge strategyBlack-Scholes Option Pricing Model Strategy
The strategy is based on the Black-Scholes option pricing model and allows the calculation of option prices, various option metrics (the Greeks), and the creation of synthetic positions through delta hedging.
ATTENTION!
Trading derivative financial instruments involves high risks. The author of the strategy is not responsible for your financial results! The strategy is not self-sufficient for generating profit! It is created exclusively for constructing a synthetic derivative financial instrument. Also, there might be errors in the script, so use it at your own risk! I would appreciate it if you point out any mistakes in the comments! I would be even more grateful if you send the corrected code!
Application Scope
This strategy can be used for delta hedging short positions in sold options. For example, suppose you sold a call option on Bitcoin on the Deribit exchange with a strike price of $60,000 and an expiration date of September 27, 2024. Using this script, you can create a delta hedge to protect against the risk of loss in the option position if the price of Bitcoin rises.
Another example: Suppose you use staking of altcoins in your strategies, for which options are not available. By using this strategy, you can hedge the risk of a price drop (Put option). In this case, you won't lose money if the underlying asset price increases, unlike with a short futures position.
Another example: You received an airdrop, but your tokens will not be fully unlocked soon. Using this script, you can fully hedge your position and preserve their dollar value by the time the tokens are fully unlocked. And you won't fear the underlying asset price increasing, as the loss in the event of a price rise is limited to the option premium you will pay if you rebalance the portfolio.
Of course, this script can also be used for simple directional trading of momentum and mean reversion strategies!
Key Features and Input Parameters
1. Option settings:
- Style of option: "European vanilla", "Binary", "Asian geometric".
- Type of option: "Call" (bet on the rise) or "Put" (bet on the fall).
- Strike price: the option contract price.
- Expiration: the expiry date and time of the option contract.
2. Market statistic settings:
- Type of price source: open, high, low, close, hl2, hlc3, ohlc4, hlcc4 (using hl2, hlc3, ohlc4, hlcc4 allows smoothing the price in more volatile series).
- Risk-free return symbol: the risk-free rate for the market where the underlying asset is traded. For the cryptocurrency market, the return on the funding rate arbitrage strategy is accepted (a special function is written for its calculation based on the Premium Price).
- Volatility calculation model: realized (standard deviation over a moving period), implied (e.g., DVOL or VIX), or custom (you can specify a specific number in the field below). For the cryptocurrency market, the calculation of implied volatility is implemented based on the product of the realized volatility ratio of the considered asset and Bitcoin to the Bitcoin implied volatility index.
- User implied volatility: fixed implied volatility (used if "Custom" is selected in the "Volatility Calculation Method").
3. Display settings:
- Choose metric: what to display on the indicator scale – the price of the underlying asset, the option price, volatility, or Greeks (all are available).
- Measure: bps (basis points), percent. This parameter allows choosing the unit of measurement for the displayed metric (for all except the Greeks).
4. Trading settings:
- Hedge model: None (do not trade, default), Simple (just open a position for the full volume when the strike price is crossed), Synthetic option (creating a synthetic option based on the Black-Scholes model).
- Position side: Long, Short.
- Position size: the number of units of the underlying asset needed to create the option.
- Strategy start time: the moment in time after which the strategy will start working to create a synthetic option.
- Delta hedge interval: the interval in minutes for rebalancing the portfolio. For example, a value of 5 corresponds to rebalancing the portfolio every 5 minutes.
Post scriptum
My strategy based on the SegaRKO model. Many thanks to the author! Unfortunately, I don't have enough reputation points to include a link to the author in the description. You can find the original model via the link in the code, as well as through the search indicators on the charts by entering the name: "Black-Scholes Option Pricing Model". I have significantly improved the model: the calculation of volatility, risk-free rate and time value of the option have been reworked. The code performance has also been significantly optimized. And the most significant change is the execution, with which you can now trade using this script.
Trend Signals with TP & SL [UAlgo] StrategyThe "Trend Signals with TP & SL Strategy" is a trading strategy designed to capture trend continuation signals while incorporating sophisticated risk management techniques. This strategy is tailored for traders who wish to capitalize on trending market conditions with precise entry and exit points, automatically calculating Take Profit (TP) and Stop Loss (SL) levels based on either Average True Range (ATR) or percentage values. The strategy aims to enhance trade management by preventing multiple simultaneous positions and dynamically adapting to changing market conditions.
This strategy is highly configurable, allowing traders to adjust sensitivity, the ATR calculation method, and the cloud moving average length. Additionally, the strategy can display buy and sell signals directly on the chart, along with visual representation of entry points, stop losses, and take profits. It also features a cloud-based trend analysis using a MACD-driven color fill that indicates the strength and direction of the trend.
🔶 Key Features
Configurable Trend Continuation Signals:
Source Selection: The strategy uses the midpoint of the high-low range as the default source, but it is adjustable.
Sensitivity: The sensitivity of the trend signals can be adjusted using a multiplier, ranging from 0.5 to 5.
ATR Calculation: The strategy allows users to choose between two ATR calculation methods for better adaptability to different market conditions.
Cloud Moving Average: Traders can adjust the cloud moving average length, which is used in conjunction with MACD to provide a visual trend indication.
Take Profit & Stop Loss Management:
ATR-Based or Percent-Based: The strategy offers flexibility in setting TP and SL levels, allowing traders to choose between ATR-based multipliers or fixed percentage values.
Dynamic Adjustment: TP and SL levels are dynamically adjusted according to the selected method, ensuring trades are managed based on real-time market conditions.
Prevention of Multiple Positions:
Single Position Control: To reduce risk and enhance strategy reliability, the strategy includes an option to prevent multiple positions from being opened simultaneously.
Visual Trade Indicators:
Buy/Sell Signals: Clearly displays buy and sell signals on the chart for easy interpretation.
Entry, SL, and TP Lines: Draws lines for entry price, stop loss, and take profit directly on the chart, helping traders to monitor trades visually.
Trend Cloud: A color-filled cloud based on MACD and the cloud moving average provides a visual cue of the trend’s direction and strength.
Performance Summary Table:
In-Chart Statistics: A table in the top right of the chart displays key performance metrics, including total trades, wins, losses, and win rate percentage, offering a quick overview of the strategy’s effectiveness.
🔶 Interpreting the Indicator
Trend Signals: The strategy identifies trend continuation signals based on price action relative to an ATR-based threshold. A buy signal is generated when the price crosses above a key level, indicating an uptrend. Conversely, a sell signal occurs when the price crosses below a level, signaling a downtrend.
Cloud Visualization: The cloud, derived from MACD and moving averages, changes color to reflect the current trend. A positive cloud in aqua suggests an uptrend, while a red cloud indicates a downtrend. The transparency of the cloud offers further nuance, with more solid colors denoting stronger trends.
Entry and Exit Management: Once a trend signal is generated, the strategy automatically sets TP and SL levels based on your chosen method (ATR or percentage). The stop loss and take profit lines will appear on the chart, showing where the strategy will exit the trade. If the price reaches either the SL or TP, the trade is closed, and the respective line is deleted from the chart.
Performance Metrics: The strategy’s performance is tracked in real-time with an in-chart table. This table provides essential information about the number of trades executed, the win/loss ratio, and the overall win rate. This information helps traders assess the strategy's effectiveness and make necessary adjustments.
This strategy is designed for those who seek to engage with trending markets, offering robust tools for entry, exit, and overall trade management. By understanding and leveraging these features, traders can potentially improve their trading outcomes and risk management.
🔷 Related Script
🔶 Disclaimer
Use with Caution: This indicator is provided for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Users should exercise caution and perform their own analysis before making trading decisions based on the indicator's signals.
Not Financial Advice: The information provided by this indicator does not constitute financial advice, and the creator (UAlgo) shall not be held responsible for any trading losses incurred as a result of using this indicator.
Backtesting Recommended: Traders are encouraged to backtest the indicator thoroughly on historical data before using it in live trading to assess its performance and suitability for their trading strategies.
Risk Management: Trading involves inherent risks, and users should implement proper risk management strategies, including but not limited to stop-loss orders and position sizing, to mitigate potential losses.
No Guarantees: The accuracy and reliability of the indicator's signals cannot be guaranteed, as they are based on historical price data and past performance may not be indicative of future results.
Vix Trading System (VTS)Introduction
The Vix Trading System (VTS) is an algorithm designed specifically for trading the VIX index CFD. The system combines price action and trend analysis to identify optimal entry and exit points for trades. The system is designed to maintain a single position at any given time, ensuring focused and controlled trading activity.
The VIX
The VIX, also known as the "Fear Index," is a popular measure of market volatility. It reflects the market's expectations for volatility over the coming 30 days and is often used as a gauge of investor sentiment. The VIX index is not directly tradable, but there are various financial vehicles, such as VIX futures, options, and CFDs, that allow traders to capitalise on its movements. This strategy is designed to trade the VIX index CFD, a derivative product available through brokers like Capital (used in this backtest). CFDs allow traders to speculate on the price movements of the VIX without owning the underlying asset, offering the potential for profit in both rising and falling markets. The VTS is tailored to leverage the unique characteristics of the VIX, providing traders with a structured approach to navigating the often volatile and unpredictable nature of this index.
Design
The Vix Trading System employs a balanced approach with six long strategies and one short strategy. The long strategies are designed to capitalise on price action patterns that indicate potential price increases, while the short strategy focuses on patterns where the VIX is likely to decline.
While I cannot give you the exact patterns I used to protect my IP, I can give you an example of a price pattern.
Long Entry: close > close and high < low and close >= sma200
These price patterns occur regularly to be traded but not too often to prevent overtrading. By using the price patterns to gauge price action, while using the moving averages to gauge the trend, the system is able to find entry and exit conditions for trading. This blend of price action and trend analysis ensures that the system is robust and adaptable, capable of responding to both short-term fluctuations and longer-term trends in the VIX.
How to Use It
The Vix Trading System is designed with notifications coded into all orders. Traders should set up alerts to notify them of long and short entries, as well as for take profit and stop loss orders for risk management and control. Since the strategy only holds one position at a time, traders can enter trades as soon as an alert is received. This system allows for efficient and timely execution, reducing the need for constant market monitoring.
Backtest
The backtest results for the Vix Trading System provide a valuable guide but should not be taken as a guarantee of future performance. To ensure realistic expectations, a starting capital of $200 was used, which produced a net profit of $18,000 over twelve years. The backtest included a commission of 1.05% of the order size and slippage of 3 ticks to model transaction costs. While these results are encouraging, traders should be aware that real-world trading conditions may differ, and ongoing risk management is essential.
Multi-Factor StrategyThis trading strategy combines multiple technical indicators to create a systematic approach for entering and exiting trades. The goal is to capture trends by aligning several key indicators to confirm the direction and strength of a potential trade. Below is a detailed description of how the strategy works:
Indicators Used
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence):
MACD Line: The difference between the 12-period and 26-period Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs).
Signal Line: A 9-period EMA of the MACD line.
Usage: The strategy looks for crossovers between the MACD line and the Signal line as entry signals. A bullish crossover (MACD line crossing above the Signal line) indicates a potential upward movement, while a bearish crossover (MACD line crossing below the Signal line) signals a potential downward movement.
RSI (Relative Strength Index):
Usage: RSI is used to gauge the momentum of the price movement. The strategy uses specific thresholds: below 70 for long positions to avoid overbought conditions and above 30 for short positions to avoid oversold conditions.
ATR (Average True Range):
Usage: ATR measures market volatility and is used to set dynamic stop-loss and take-profit levels. A stop loss is set at 2 times the ATR, and a take profit at 3 times the ATR, ensuring that risk is managed relative to market conditions.
Simple Moving Averages (SMA):
50-day SMA: A short-term trend indicator.
200-day SMA: A long-term trend indicator.
Usage: The strategy uses the relationship between the 50-day and 200-day SMAs to determine the overall market trend. Long positions are taken when the price is above the 50-day SMA and the 50-day SMA is above the 200-day SMA, indicating an uptrend. Conversely, short positions are taken when the price is below the 50-day SMA and the 50-day SMA is below the 200-day SMA, indicating a downtrend.
Entry Conditions
Long Position:
-MACD Crossover: The MACD line crosses above the Signal line.
-RSI Confirmation: RSI is below 70, ensuring the asset is not overbought.
-SMA Confirmation: The price is above the 50-day SMA, and the 50-day SMA is above the 200-day SMA, indicating a strong uptrend.
Short Position:
MACD Crossunder: The MACD line crosses below the Signal line.
RSI Confirmation: RSI is above 30, ensuring the asset is not oversold.
SMA Confirmation: The price is below the 50-day SMA, and the 50-day SMA is below the 200-day SMA, indicating a strong downtrend.
Opposite conditions for shorts
Exit Strategy
Stop Loss: Set at 2 times the ATR from the entry price. This dynamically adjusts to market volatility, allowing for wider stops in volatile markets and tighter stops in calmer markets.
Take Profit: Set at 3 times the ATR from the entry price. This ensures a favorable risk-reward ratio of 1:1.5, aiming for higher rewards on successful trades.
Visualization
SMAs: The 50-day and 200-day SMAs are plotted on the chart to visualize the trend direction.
MACD Crossovers: Bullish and bearish MACD crossovers are highlighted on the chart to identify potential entry points.
Summary
This strategy is designed to align multiple indicators to increase the probability of successful trades by confirming trends and momentum before entering a position. It systematically manages risk with ATR-based stop loss and take profit levels, ensuring that trades are exited based on market conditions rather than arbitrary points. The combination of trend indicators (SMAs) with momentum and volatility indicators (MACD, RSI, ATR) creates a robust approach to trading in various market environments.
Negroni Opening Range StrategyStrategy Summary:
This tool can be used to help identify breakouts from a range during a time-zone of your choosing. It plots a pre-market range, an opening range, it also includes moving average levels that can be used as confluence, as well as plotting previous day SESSION highs and lows.
There are several options on how you wish to close out the trades, all described in more detail below.
Back-testing Inputs:
You define your timezone.
You define how many trades to open on any given day.
You decide to go: long only, short only, or long & short (CAREFUL: "Long & Short" can open trades that effectively closes-out existing ones, for better AND worse!)
You define between which times the strategy will open trades.
You define when it closes any open trades (preventing overnight trades, or leaving trades open into US data times!!).
This hopefully helps make back-testing reflect YOUR trading hours.
NOTE: Renko or Heikin-Ashi charts
For ALL strategies, don’t use Renko or Heikin-Ashi charts unless you know EXACTLY the implications.
Specific to my strategy, using a renko chart can make this 85-90% profitable (I wish it was!!) Although they can be useful, renko charts don’t always capture real wicks, so the renko chart may show your trade up-only but your broker (who is not using renko!!) will have likely stopped you out on a wick somewhere along the line.
NOTE: TradingView ‘Deep backtesting’
For ALL strategies, be cynical of all backtesting (e.g. repainting issues etc) as well as ‘Deep backtesting’ results.
Specific to this strategy, the default settings here SHOULD BE OK, but unfortunately at the time of writing, we can’t see on the chart what exactly ‘deep backtesting’ is calculating. In the past I have noted a number of trades that were not closed at the end of the day, despite my ‘end of day’ trade closing being enabled, so there were big winners and losers that would not have materialized otherwise. As I say, this seems ok at these settings but just always be cynical!!
Opening Range Inputs
You define a pre-market range (example: 08:00 - 09:00).
You define an opening range (example: 09:00 - 09:30).
The strategy will give an update at the close of the opening range to let you know if the opening range has broken out the pre-market range (OR Breakout), or if it has remained inside (OR Inside). The label appears at the end of the opening range NOT at the bar that ‘broke-out’.
This is just a visual cue for you, it has no bearing on what the strategy will do.
The strategy default will trade off the pre-market range, but you can untick this if you prefer to trade off the opening range.
Opening Trades:
Strategy goes long when the bar (CLOSE) crosses-over the ‘pre-market’ high (not the ‘opening range’ high); and the time is within your trading session, and you have not maxed out your number of trades for the day!
Strategy goes short when the bar (CLOSE) crosses-under the ‘pre-market’ low (not the ‘opening range low); and the time is within your trading session, and you have not maxed out your number of trades for the day!
Remember, you can untick this if you prefer to trade off the opening range instead.
NOTES:
Using momentum indicators can help (RSI and MACD): especially to trade range plays in failed breakouts, when momentum shifts… but the strategy won’t do this for you!
Using an anchored vwap at the session open can also provide nice confluence, as well as take-profit levels at the upper/lower of 3x standard deviation.
CLOSING TRADES:
You have 6 take-profit (TP) options:
1) Full TP: uses ATR Multiplier - Full TP at the ATR parameters as defined in inputs.
2) Take Partial profits: ATR Multiplier - Takes partial profits based on parameters as defined in inputs (i.e close 40% of original trade at TP1, close another 40% of original trade at TP2, then the remainder at Full TP as set in option 1.).
3) Full TP: Trailing Stop - Applies a Trailing Stop at the number of points, as defined in inputs.
4) Full TP: MA cross - Takes profit when price crosses ‘Trend MA’ as defined in inputs.
5) Scalp: Points - closes at a set number of points, as defined in inputs.
6) Full TP: PMKT Multiplier - places a SL at opposite pre-market Hi/Low (we go long at a break-out of the pre-market high, 50% would place a SL at the pre-market range mid-point; 100% would place a SL at the pre-market low)'. This takes profit at the input set in option 1).
Multi-Step FlexiSuperTrend - Strategy [presentTrading]At the heart of this endeavor is a passion for continuous improvement in the art of trading
█ Introduction and How it is Different
The "Multi-Step FlexiSuperTrend - Strategy " is an advanced trading strategy that integrates the well-known SuperTrend indicator with a nuanced and dynamic approach to market trend analysis. Unlike conventional SuperTrend strategies that rely on static thresholds and fixed parameters, this strategy introduces multi-step take profit mechanisms that allow traders to capitalize on varying market conditions in a more controlled and systematic manner.
What sets this strategy apart is its ability to dynamically adjust to market volatility through the use of an incremental factor applied to the SuperTrend calculation. This adjustment ensures that the strategy remains responsive to both minor and major market shifts, providing a more accurate signal for entries and exits. Additionally, the integration of multi-step take profit levels offers traders the flexibility to scale out of positions, locking in profits progressively as the market moves in their favor.
BTC 6hr Long/Short Performance
█ Strategy, How it Works: Detailed Explanation
The Multi-Step FlexiSuperTrend strategy operates on the foundation of the SuperTrend indicator, but with several enhancements that make it more adaptable to varying market conditions. The key components of this strategy include the SuperTrend Polyfactor Oscillator, a dynamic normalization process, and multi-step take profit levels.
🔶 SuperTrend Polyfactor Oscillator
The SuperTrend Polyfactor Oscillator is the heart of this strategy. It is calculated by applying a series of SuperTrend calculations with varying factors, starting from a defined "Starting Factor" and incrementing by a specified "Increment Factor." The indicator length and the chosen price source (e.g., HLC3, HL2) are inputs to the oscillator.
The SuperTrend formula typically calculates an upper and lower band based on the average true range (ATR) and a multiplier (the factor). These bands determine the trend direction. In the FlexiSuperTrend strategy, the oscillator is enhanced by iteratively applying the SuperTrend calculation across different factors. The iterative process allows the strategy to capture both minor and significant trend changes.
For each iteration (indexed by `i`), the following calculations are performed:
1. ATR Calculation: The Average True Range (ATR) is calculated over the specified `indicatorLength`:
ATR_i = ATR(indicatorLength)
2. Upper and Lower Bands Calculation: The upper and lower bands are calculated using the ATR and the current factor:
Upper Band_i = hl2 + (ATR_i * Factor_i)
Lower Band_i = hl2 - (ATR_i * Factor_i)
Here, `Factor_i` starts from `startingFactor` and is incremented by `incrementFactor` in each iteration.
3. Trend Determination: The trend is determined by comparing the indicator source with the upper and lower bands:
Trend_i = 1 (uptrend) if IndicatorSource > Upper Band_i
Trend_i = 0 (downtrend) if IndicatorSource < Lower Band_i
Otherwise, the trend remains unchanged from the previous value.
4. Output Calculation: The output of each iteration is determined based on the trend:
Output_i = Lower Band_i if Trend_i = 1
Output_i = Upper Band_i if Trend_i = 0
This process is repeated for each iteration (from 0 to 19), creating a series of outputs that reflect different levels of trend sensitivity.
Local
🔶 Normalization Process
To make the oscillator values comparable across different market conditions, the deviations between the indicator source and the SuperTrend outputs are normalized. The normalization method can be one of the following:
1. Max-Min Normalization: The deviations are normalized based on the range of the deviations:
Normalized Value_i = (Deviation_i - Min Deviation) / (Max Deviation - Min Deviation)
2. Absolute Sum Normalization: The deviations are normalized based on the sum of absolute deviations:
Normalized Value_i = Deviation_i / Sum of Absolute Deviations
This normalization ensures that the oscillator values are within a consistent range, facilitating more reliable trend analysis.
For more details:
🔶 Multi-Step Take Profit Mechanism
One of the unique features of this strategy is the multi-step take profit mechanism. This allows traders to lock in profits at multiple levels as the market moves in their favor. The strategy uses three take profit levels, each defined as a percentage increase (for long trades) or decrease (for short trades) from the entry price.
1. First Take Profit Level: Calculated as a percentage increase/decrease from the entry price:
TP_Level1 = Entry Price * (1 + tp_level1 / 100) for long trades
TP_Level1 = Entry Price * (1 - tp_level1 / 100) for short trades
The strategy exits a portion of the position (defined by `tp_percent1`) when this level is reached.
2. Second Take Profit Level: Similar to the first level, but with a higher percentage:
TP_Level2 = Entry Price * (1 + tp_level2 / 100) for long trades
TP_Level2 = Entry Price * (1 - tp_level2 / 100) for short trades
The strategy exits another portion of the position (`tp_percent2`) at this level.
3. Third Take Profit Level: The final take profit level:
TP_Level3 = Entry Price * (1 + tp_level3 / 100) for long trades
TP_Level3 = Entry Price * (1 - tp_level3 / 100) for short trades
The remaining portion of the position (`tp_percent3`) is exited at this level.
This multi-step approach provides a balance between securing profits and allowing the remaining position to benefit from continued favorable market movement.
█ Trade Direction
The strategy allows traders to specify the trade direction through the `tradeDirection` input. The options are:
1. Both: The strategy will take both long and short positions based on the entry signals.
2. Long: The strategy will only take long positions.
3. Short: The strategy will only take short positions.
This flexibility enables traders to tailor the strategy to their market outlook or current trend analysis.
█ Usage
To use the Multi-Step FlexiSuperTrend strategy, traders need to set the input parameters according to their trading style and market conditions. The strategy is designed for versatility, allowing for various market environments, including trending and ranging markets.
Traders can also adjust the multi-step take profit levels and percentages to match their risk management and profit-taking preferences. For example, in highly volatile markets, traders might set wider take profit levels with smaller percentages at each level to capture larger price movements.
The normalization method and the incremental factor can be fine-tuned to adjust the sensitivity of the SuperTrend Polyfactor Oscillator, making the strategy more responsive to minor market shifts or more focused on significant trends.
█ Default Settings
The default settings of the strategy are carefully chosen to provide a balanced approach between risk management and profit potential. Here is a breakdown of the default settings and their effects on performance:
1. Indicator Length (10): This parameter controls the lookback period for the ATR calculation. A shorter length makes the strategy more sensitive to recent price movements, potentially generating more signals. A longer length smooths out the ATR, reducing sensitivity but filtering out noise.
2. Starting Factor (0.618): This is the initial multiplier used in the SuperTrend calculation. A lower starting factor makes the SuperTrend bands closer to the price, generating more frequent trend changes. A higher starting factor places the bands further away, filtering out minor fluctuations.
3. Increment Factor (0.382): This parameter controls how much the factor increases with each iteration of the SuperTrend calculation. A smaller increment factor results in more gradual changes in sensitivity, while a larger increment factor creates a wider range of sensitivity across the iterations.
4. Normalization Method (None): The default is no normalization, meaning the raw deviations are used. Normalization methods like Max-Min or Absolute Sum can make the deviations more consistent across different market conditions, improving the reliability of the oscillator.
5. Take Profit Levels (2%, 8%, 18%): These levels define the thresholds for exiting portions of the position. Lower levels (e.g., 2%) capture smaller profits quickly, while higher levels (e.g., 18%) allow positions to run longer for more significant gains.
6. Take Profit Percentages (30%, 20%, 15%): These percentages determine how much of the position is exited at each take profit level. A higher percentage at the first level locks in more profit early, reducing exposure to market reversals. Lower percentages at higher levels allow for a portion of the position to benefit from extended trends.
Gann + Laplace Smoothed Hybrid Volume Spread AnalysisThe Gann + Laplace Smoothed Hybrid Volume Spread Analysis ( GannLSHVSA ) Strategy/Indicator is an trading tool designed to fuse volume analysis with trend detection, offering traders a view of market dynamics.
This Strategy/Indicator stands apart by integrating the principles of the upgraded Discrete Fourier Transform (DFT), the Laplace Stieltjes Transform and volume spread analysis, enhanced with a layer of Fourier smoothing to distill market noise and highlight trend directions with unprecedented clarity.
The length of EMA and Strategy Entries are modified with the Gann swings .
This smoothing process allows traders to discern the true underlying patterns in volume and price action, stripped of the distractions of short-term fluctuations and noise.
The core functionality of the GannLSHVSA revolves around the innovative combination of volume change analysis, spread determination (calculated from the open and close price difference), and the strategic use of the EMA (default 10) to fine-tune the analysis of spread by incorporating volume changes.
Trend direction is validated through a moving average (MA) of the histogram, which acts analogously to the Volume MA found in traditional volume indicators. This MA serves as a pivotal reference point, enabling traders to confidently engage with the market when the histogram's movement concurs with the trend direction, particularly when it crosses the Trend MA line, signalling optimal entry points.
It returns 0 when MA of the histogram and EMA of the Price Spread are not align.
WHAT IS GannLSHVSA INDICATOR:
The GannLSHVSA plots a positive trend when a positive Volume smoothed Spread and EMA of Volume smoothed price is above 0, and a negative when negative Volume smoothed Spread and EMA of Volume smoothed price is below 0. When this conditions are not met it plots 0.
HOW TO USE THE STRATEGY:
Here you fine-tune the inputs until you find a combination that works well on all Timeframes you will use when creating your Automated Trade Algorithmic Strategy. I suggest 4h, 12h, 1D, 2D, 3D, 4D, 5D, 6D, W and M.
ORIGINALITY & USEFULNESS:
The GannLSHVSA Strategy is unique because it applies upgraded DFT, the Laplace Stieltjes Transform for data smoothing, effectively filtering out the minor fluctuations and leaving traders with a clear picture of the market's true movements. The DFT's ability to break down market signals into constituent frequencies offers a granular view of market dynamics, highlighting the amplitude and phase of each frequency component. This, combined with the strategic application of Ehler's Universal Oscillator principles via a histogram, furnishes traders with a nuanced understanding of market volatility and noise levels, thereby facilitating more informed trading decisions. The Gann swing strategy is developed by meomeo105, this Gann high and low algorithm forms the basis of the EMA modification.
DETAILED DESCRIPTION:
My detailed description of the indicator and use cases which I find very valuable.
What is the meaning of price spread?
In finance, a spread refers to the difference between two prices, rates, or yields. One of the most common types is the bid-ask spread, which refers to the gap between the bid (from buyers) and the ask (from sellers) prices of a security or asset.
We are going to use Open-Close spread.
What is Volume spread analysis?
Volume spread analysis (VSA) is a method of technical analysis that compares the volume per candle, range spread, and closing price to determine price direction.
What does this mean?
We need to have a positive Volume Price Spread and a positive Moving average of Volume price spread for a positive trend. OR via versa a negative Volume Price Spread and a negative Moving average of Volume price spread for a negative trend.
What if we have a positive Volume Price Spread and a negative Moving average of Volume Price Spread?
It results in a neutral, not trending price action.
Thus the Indicator/Strategy returns 0 and Closes all long and short positions.
I suggest using "Close all" input False when fine-tuning Inputs for 1 TimeFrame. When you export data to Excel/Numbers/GSheets I suggest using "Close all" input as True, except for the lowest TimeFrame. I suggest using 100% equity as your default quantity for fine-tune purposes. I have to mention that 100% equity may lead to unrealistic backtesting results. Be avare. When backtesting for trading purposes use Contracts or USDT.
Fine-tune Inputs: Gann + Laplace Smooth Volume Zone OscillatorUse this Strategy to Fine-tune inputs for the GannLSVZ0 Indicator.
Strategy allows you to fine-tune the indicator for 1 TimeFrame at a time; cross Timeframe Input fine-tuning is done manually after exporting the chart data.
I suggest using "Close all" input False when fine-tuning Inputs for 1 TimeFrame. When you export data to Excel/Numbers/GSheets I suggest using "Close all" input as True, except for the lowest TimeFrame.
MEANINGFUL DESCRIPTION:
The Volume Zone oscillator breaks up volume activity into positive and negative categories. It is positive when the current closing price is greater than the prior closing price and negative when it's lower than the prior closing price. The resulting curve plots through relative percentage levels that yield a series of buy and sell signals, depending on level and indicator direction.
The Gann Laplace Smoothed Volume Zone Oscillator GannLSVZO is a refined version of the Volume Zone Oscillator, enhanced by the implementation of the upgraded Discrete Fourier Transform, the Laplace Stieltjes Transform. Its primary function is to streamline price data and diminish market noise, thus offering a clearer and more precise reflection of price trends.
By combining the Laplace with Gann Swing Entries and with Ehler's white noise histogram, users gain a comprehensive perspective on volume-related market conditions.
HOW TO USE THE INDICATOR:
The default period is 2 but can be adjusted after backtesting. (I suggest 5 VZO length and NoiceR max length 8 as-well)
The VZO points to a positive trend when it is rising above the 0% level, and a negative trend when it is falling below the 0% level. 0% level can be adjusted in setting by adjusting VzoDifference. Oscillations rising below 0% level or falling above 0% level result in a natural trend.
HOW TO USE THE STRATEGY:
Here you fine-tune the inputs until you find a combination that works well on all Timeframes you will use when creating your Automated Trade Algorithmic Strategy. I suggest 4h, 12h, 1D, 2D, 3D, 4D, 5D, 6D, W and M.
When Indicator/Strategy returns 0 or natural trend, Strategy Closes All it's positions.
ORIGINALITY & USFULLNESS:
Personal combination of Gann swings and Laplace Stieltjes Transform of a price which results in less noise Volume Zone Oscillator.
The Laplace Stieltjes Transform is a mathematical technique that transforms discrete data from the time domain into its corresponding representation in the frequency domain. This process involves breaking down a signal into its individual frequency components, thereby exposing the amplitude and phase characteristics inherent in each frequency element.
This indicator utilizes the concept of Ehler's Universal Oscillator and displays a histogram, offering critical insights into the prevailing levels of market noise. The Ehler's Universal Oscillator is grounded in a statistical model that captures the erratic and unpredictable nature of market movements. Through the application of this principle, the histogram aids traders in pinpointing times when market volatility is either rising or subsiding.
The Gann swing strategy is developed by meomeo105, this Gann high and low algorithm forms the basis of the EMA modification.
DETAILED DESCRIPTION:
My detailed description of the indicator and use cases which I find very valuable.
What is oscillator?
Oscillators are chart indicators that can assist a trader in determining overbought or oversold conditions in ranging (non-trending) markets.
What is volume zone oscillator?
Price Zone Oscillator measures if the most recent closing price is above or below the preceding closing price.
Volume Zone Oscillator is Volume multiplied by the 1 or -1 depending on the difference of the preceding 2 close prices and smoothed with Exponential moving Average.
What does this mean?
If the VZO is above 0 and VZO is rising. We have a bullish trend. Most likely.
If the VZO is below 0 and VZO is falling. We have a bearish trend. Most likely.
Rising means that VZO on close is higher than the previous day.
Falling means that VZO on close is lower than the previous day.
What if VZO is falling above 0 line?
It means we have a high probability of a bearish trend.
Thus the indicator returns 0 and Strategy closes all it's positions when falling above 0 (or rising bellow 0) and we combine higher and lower timeframes to gauge the trend.
What is approximation and smoothing?
They are mathematical concepts for making a discrete set of numbers a
continuous curved line.
Laplace Stieltjes Transform approximation of a close price are taken from aprox library.
Key Features:
You can tailor the Indicator/Strategy to your preferences with adjustable parameters such as VZO length, noise reduction settings, and smoothing length.
Volume Zone Oscillator (VZO) shows market sentiment with the VZO, enhanced with Exponential Moving Average (EMA) smoothing for clearer trend identification.
Noise Reduction leverages Euler's White noise capabilities for effective noise reduction in the VZO, providing a cleaner and more accurate representation of market dynamics.
Choose between the traditional Fast Laplace Stieltjes Transform (FLT) and the innovative Double Discrete Fourier Transform (DTF32) soothed price series to suit your analytical needs.
Use dynamic calculation of Laplace coefficient or the static one. You may modify those inputs and Strategy entries with Gann swings.
I suggest using "Close all" input False when fine-tuning Inputs for 1 TimeFrame. When you export data to Excel/Numbers/GSheets I suggest using "Close all" input as True, except for the lowest TimeFrame. I suggest using 100% equity as your default quantity for fine-tune purposes. I have to mention that 100% equity may lead to unrealistic backtesting results. Be avare. When backtesting for trading purposes use Contracts or USDT.
Multi-Step Vegas SuperTrend - strategy [presentTrading]Long time no see! I am back : ) Please allow me to gain some warm-up.
█ Introduction and How it is Different
The "Vegas SuperTrend Strategy" is an enhanced trading strategy that leverages both the Vegas Channel and SuperTrend indicators to generate buy and sell signals.
What sets this strategy apart from others is its dynamic adjustment to market volatility and its multi-step take profit mechanism. Unlike traditional single-step profit-taking approaches, this strategy allows traders to systematically scale out of positions at predefined profit levels, thereby optimizing their risk-reward ratio and maximizing potential gains.
BTCUSD 6hr performance
█ Strategy, How it Works: Detailed Explanation
The Vegas SuperTrend Strategy combines the strengths of the Vegas Channel and SuperTrend indicators to identify market trends and generate trade signals. The following subsections delve into the details of how each component works and how they are integrated.
🔶 Vegas Channel Calculation
The Vegas Channel is based on a simple moving average (SMA) and the standard deviation (STD) of the closing prices over a specified period. The channel is defined by upper and lower bounds that are dynamically adjusted based on market volatility.
Simple Moving Average (SMA):
SMA_vegas = (1/N) * Σ(Close_i) for i = 0 to N-1
where N is the length of the Vegas Window.
Standard Deviation (STD):
STD_vegas = sqrt((1/N) * Σ(Close_i - SMA_vegas)^2) for i = 0 to N-1
Vegas Channel Upper and Lower Bounds:
VegasChannelUpper = SMA_vegas + STD_vegas
VegasChannelLower = SMA_vegas - STD_vegas
The details are here:
🔶 Trend Detection and Trade Signals
The strategy determines the current market trend based on the closing price relative to the SuperTrend bounds:
Market Trend:
MarketTrend = 1 if Close > SuperTrendPrevLower
-1 if Close < SuperTrendPrevUpper
Previous Trend otherwise
Trade signals are generated when there is a shift in the market trend:
Bullish Signal: When the market trend shifts from -1 to 1.
Bearish Signal: When the market trend shifts from 1 to -1.
🔶 Multi-Step Take Profit Mechanism
The strategy incorporates a multi-step take profit mechanism that allows for partial exits at predefined profit levels. This helps in locking in profits gradually and reducing exposure to market reversals.
Take Profit Levels:
The take profit levels are calculated as percentages of the entry price:
TakeProfitLevel_i = EntryPrice * (1 + TakeProfitPercent_i/100) for long positions
TakeProfitLevel_i = EntryPrice * (1 - TakeProfitPercent_i/100) for short positions
Multi-steps take profit local picture:
█ Trade Direction
The trade direction can be customized based on the user's preference:
Long: The strategy only takes long positions.
Short: The strategy only takes short positions.
Both: The strategy can take both long and short positions based on the market trend.
█ Usage
To use the Vegas SuperTrend Strategy, follow these steps:
Configure Input Settings:
- Set the ATR period, Vegas Window length, SuperTrend Multiplier, and Volatility Adjustment Factor.
- Choose the desired trade direction (Long, Short, Both).
- Enable or disable the take profit mechanism and set the take profit percentages and amounts for each step.
█ Default Settings
The default settings of the strategy are designed to provide a balanced approach to trading. Below is an explanation of each setting and its effect on the strategy's performance:
ATR Period (10): This setting determines the length of the ATR used in the SuperTrend calculation. A longer period smoothens the ATR, making the SuperTrend less sensitive to short-term volatility. A shorter period makes the SuperTrend more responsive to recent price movements.
Vegas Window Length (100): This setting defines the period for the Vegas Channel's moving average. A longer window provides a broader view of the market trend, while a shorter window makes the channel more responsive to recent price changes.
SuperTrend Multiplier (5): This base multiplier adjusts the sensitivity of the SuperTrend to the ATR. A higher multiplier makes the SuperTrend less sensitive, reducing the frequency of trade signals. A lower multiplier increases sensitivity, generating more signals.
Volatility Adjustment Factor (5): This factor dynamically adjusts the SuperTrend multiplier based on the width of the Vegas Channel. A higher factor increases the sensitivity of the SuperTrend to changes in market volatility, while a lower factor reduces it.
Take Profit Percentages (3.0%, 6.0%, 12.0%, 21.0%): These settings define the profit levels at which portions of the trade are exited. They help in locking in profits progressively as the trade moves in favor.
Take Profit Amounts (25%, 20%, 10%, 15%): These settings determine the percentage of the position to exit at each take profit level. They are distributed to ensure that significant portions of the trade are closed as the price reaches the set levels, reducing exposure to reversals.
Adjusting these settings can significantly impact the strategy's performance. For instance, increasing the ATR period or the SuperTrend multiplier can reduce the number of trades, potentially improving the win rate but also missing out on some profitable opportunities. Conversely, lowering these values can increase trade frequency, capturing more short-term movements but also increasing the risk of false signals.
VIX Futures Basis StrategyVIX Futures Basis Strategy
The VIX Futures Basis Strategy is a trading approach that takes advantage of the unique characteristics of the VIX index and its futures market. The VIX, often referred to as the "fear index," measures market expectations of near-term volatility. This strategy focuses on how the VIX futures contracts behave in relation to the spot VIX index and seeks to capitalize on the market's contango and backwardation phases.
Key Concepts:
VIX Index and VIX Futures:
The VIX index reflects the market's expectation of volatility over the next 30 days.
VIX futures allow traders to speculate on the future value of the VIX index.
Contango and Backwardation:
Contango occurs when the futures price is higher than the spot price, often indicating that the market expects volatility to rise in the future.
Backwardation is when the futures price is lower than the spot price, suggesting that the market expects a decrease in volatility.
Basis:
The basis is the difference between the futures price and the spot price. This strategy examines the basis for two consecutive VIX futures contracts.
Strategy Overview:
The VIX Futures Basis Strategy uses the relationship between the VIX index and its futures contracts to generate trading signals:
Long Position on Contango:
When both the front month and the second month VIX futures contracts are in contango (their prices are above the spot VIX index by a specified threshold), the strategy takes a long position.
This implies an expectation that the market will move from a state of expected higher future volatility to a more stable state, allowing profits to be made as the futures prices converge toward the spot price.
Closing Position on Backwardation:
If the basis for both futures contracts indicates backwardation (their prices are below the spot VIX index by a threshold), the strategy closes any long positions.
This condition suggests that the market anticipates decreasing volatility, and closing positions helps to avoid potential losses.
