16th Oct ’23 - M pattern overlooking W pattern - BN PostMortem
BankNifty Analysis
BankNifty’s trade today looked quite different from Nifty50. The opening candle was a stronger red and we retested the 44068 support. Since we did not break it - my short call did not trigger. The rejection took BN higher by 312pts ~ 0.71% and we went into the green territory for a brief period.
And even after all these - the options data was absolutely lackluster. Absolutely no premiums - the best trade again was to wait it out. We all knew HDFC Bank would come with its results today - still, the volatility was not really there. Recommend you to read this tweet by Deepak Shenoy wherein he has compared the results pre and post-merger. Most retail traders may be blinded to believing there was a 50% rise in Net Profits. The reality is quite different.
On the 1hr TF we have a double top overlooking a newly formed double bottom (just below support). Although the W shape is not that beautiful - the lack of ability to break the support puts its weight behind it. Today also we had a reversal from support. I still prefer to go with a neutral stance till we get more clarity. 100% sure that HDFCBK’s results will skew the price action tomorrow - I still prefer to wait for the dust to settle.
BankNifty’s trade today looked quite different from Nifty50. The opening candle was a stronger red and we retested the 44068 support. Since we did not break it - my short call did not trigger. The rejection took BN higher by 312pts ~ 0.71% and we went into the green territory for a brief period.
And even after all these - the options data was absolutely lackluster. Absolutely no premiums - the best trade again was to wait it out. We all knew HDFC Bank would come with its results today - still, the volatility was not really there. Recommend you to read this tweet by Deepak Shenoy wherein he has compared the results pre and post-merger. Most retail traders may be blinded to believing there was a 50% rise in Net Profits. The reality is quite different.
On the 1hr TF we have a double top overlooking a newly formed double bottom (just below support). Although the W shape is not that beautiful - the lack of ability to break the support puts its weight behind it. Today also we had a reversal from support. I still prefer to go with a neutral stance till we get more clarity. 100% sure that HDFCBK’s results will skew the price action tomorrow - I still prefer to wait for the dust to settle.
