Glitch420

Ethereum. Predictive Modeling Pt 1. The search for Model A.

Glitch420 已更新   
BITFINEX:ETHUSD   以太坊
Hello friends..

I have decided to give my geometric linear regression modeling another contender. Ethereum. Up until now, my modeling framework has only been applied to Bitcoin. Bitcoin controls the dominance in the market right now, but until we break this nasty multi-month crash; we are at the mercy of Bitcoin. If you are confused at what I am doing PLEASE SEE IDEAS section in profile, "Bitcoin to C" and all the 15 Parts, to see how this all began... There are 15 Parts to Bitcoin to C, as of writing this.

This is A FULLY EXPERIMENTAL MODEL. Take it for what it is worth. I will continue to make these charts regardless of comments or jabs. They are made for a specific purpose and until my purpose is fulfilled, they will keep being made. So, watch what I do.. Ask questions, I will try my best to answer them..

The idea here is to convince you, that what i am doing is not arbitrary but unique and useful. I know the immediate inclination is to doubt what I am doing. That is expected.. and understandable.. But human nature is unpredictable. And you never know when you can learn new things and be completely shocked at someones EXTREMELY insane ideas.. I like going against the norm.. being different is what makes you stand out.. So stand out from the rest.

Understand I have been making these charts for about 2 weeks now, that is it.. I do not recommend placing money on my charts, so do not ask me for advice. My background is not financial analysis or trading, this is going on my third week making these charts.. I have very little understanding of traditional TA tools and indicators, but i am learning. I am going to try my best to explain my theoretical methodology, which is based on my psychology research; 'Functional Connectivity in Neural Network Modeling. There will be lots of bubbles with text, explaining each move and why.. and how i make prediction cones, and patterns using geometricc boundary lines and linear regression modeling.


In order to search and render for Model A we must:

Step 1: Find a pattern. (3 types of patterns)
Step 2: Create your foundation lines.
Step 3: Create lower and upper limit boundary lines.
Step 4: Find geo-indicators in the background.
Step 5: Find connects and intersects.
Step 6: Step back and look for prediction trends in the geometry.
Step 7: Render a prediction cone.
Step 8: Wait...

We are at step 8, now we wait and see if Model A can be rendered, and then we can begin the modeling sequencing.

Updates to come... :) If you agree.. lemme know! If you do not agree.. def lemme know!

As always thanks for looking,
Glitch420
評論:
A closer up view of the layout.

評論:
I am expanding the rending zone for Model A.

A rendering zone is a pre-prediction cone, that is dictated by boundary lines. I have expanding the zone to include the lowest divergent boundary. If we dip we may see us enter just below the current rendering zone. I feel anything in the upward divergent channel, past the intersect of interest should constitute rendering zone A.

評論:
評論:
OH BOY. we still following the original path..

評論:
First checkpoint of the start of a new modeling sequence has been confirmed.

When I was putting this together, i had the idea, the correction wave would follow A, B and make a nice blast to C, which pierces a rending zone. This model was my first attempt ever at placing Elliot Waves in a model, and with 0 knowledge of the mechanics of an EW. I found the correct path for the medium trend, which ended at E. The end of E, was the start of my correction wave, following it down to the bottom, then across to the resistance line geometric indicator.

I have feeling we will not travel the length of correct wave C, but you never know..

評論:
Never used Elliot Waves or correction waves before so bare with me.. just following the geometry.. it is the only thing i know.

評論:
New stuff:

New geodivergent boundary line has been formed from new lowest point in data. This can either turn into a divergent vector or serve as a simple boundary for now..

I shrunk Model A rendering Zone to fit new found geodivergent line, as our old geodivergent line did not have any valid regression points, this new one does.

Geodivergence vectors = Rise in price.
Geoconvergence vectors = Fall in price.

We must leave geoconvergence vector and enter Model A, within the geodivergence boundaries.

Boundary lines, create vectors in a space through out the passage of time.

評論:
As you can nicely see, we are following the current lowest divergent boundary line towards Model A zone entry. I have an ideal entry point, and a realistic entry point.

Ideally we would want to stay yellow line in upper quadrant of Model A rendering zone.
評論:
評論:
As you can see we are still following the boundary line nicely.

評論:
still moving a long as modeled.

評論:
評論:
Model A has been formed. It shrunk a lot. New idea coming soon.

評論:
Target 950.

By early or middle May.

100% just a guess..


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