There are a lot of different models for this, and It's hard to determine, but some of the models I have seen have the first wave forming at the first high after the covid sell-off (96.55), but I consider that cluster part of market chaos/confusion and consolidation and therefore part of the formation of wave 1, wave 1 saw the highs of 115, initially I believed, the pullback of wave two was ending at the end of July/Beg. Of Sept---but now I think it extended lower in what seemed a long and torturous wave…but! Just over the last 1-2 days the base has started to form and we are beginning wave 3, which will likely back shortly 115 (earnings?), then a wave 4 pullback will be swift and decisive (opposite of wave 2—as per the typical convention of these waves) after which JPM will progress upwards towards a level that will surpass their ATH…which, could even come sooner than later...Post election might see an end of short wave 4 pullback and final wave 5 going into the new year.
Regardless of the exact trajectory the waves take, I do believe Banking is showing signs of rotation---not necessarily reflective in a price extension at current, but by the signals that other sectors are taking a breather, and the banks are slowly creeping out of consolidation and in an upward leaning trend.
Regardless of the exact trajectory the waves take, I do believe Banking is showing signs of rotation---not necessarily reflective in a price extension at current, but by the signals that other sectors are taking a breather, and the banks are slowly creeping out of consolidation and in an upward leaning trend.
