ponzialchemist

US10Y divergence suggesting "Sucker Rally" ahead

TVC:US10Y   美國政府債券10年期收益
During market crashes yields plummet along with equities in flight for safety and also they tend to lead in the decline. But here as we see 10-year yield divergence is suggesting equities can retest ATH once more before the crash. This also aligns with previous market behavior where equities rally on rate pause leading to recession - a "Sucker Rally" essentially.
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The target was reached, but this can go further.

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