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Candlestick analysis

Fibonacci Level-2 + Level-3 StrategyFibonacci Level-2 + Level-3 Strategy - Complete Guide Winner from 1-Year Backtest: +5.09% Total PnL 📊 Strategy Overview This is a SHORT-only Fibonacci projection breakdown strategy that combines two entry levels for optimal trade frequency and profitability. Core Concept Detect swing highs and lows Calculate Fibonacci projections (0.618, fibb2, 1.272 extension) Enter SHORT when price breaks key levels Target the 1.272 Fibonacci extension Use strict trend, volume, and delta filters 🎯 Entry Rules Level-2 Entry (62% of trades) Trigger: Price breaks below fibb2 (second Fibonacci projection) Target: 1.272 extension Win Rate: 51.0% Avg Win: +2.13% Contribution: +5.39% PnL Level-3 Entry (38% of trades) Trigger: Price breaks below swing low Target: 1.272 extension Win Rate: 74.2% Avg Win: +0.44% Contribution: -0.30% PnL Stop Loss Fixed: 2% above entry price Hit rate: 36.6% of trades 🔍 Filters (Must Pass All) Trend Filter: EMA50 < EMA200 (bearish trend required) Volume Filter: Current volume > 1.0x 20-period average Delta Filter: Swing delta < 30% bullish (not too much buy pressure) 📈 1-Year Backtest Results Period: Dec 31, 2024 - Dec 31, 2025 (364 days) Data: BTC/USDT 15-minute candles from Binance Overall Performance Total Trades: 82 (6.8 per month) Win Rate: 59.8% Total PnL: +5.09% Profit Factor: 1.08 Avg Win: +1.34% Avg Loss: -1.83% Largest Win: +6.33% Largest Loss: -2.00% Avg Trade Duration: 21.3 hours (0.9 days) Monthly Breakdown Month Trades L2 L3 Win% PnL Best Trade Jan 2025 3 1 2 66.7% -1.43% +0.57% Feb 2025 7 4 3 57.1% +6.21% ✅ +4.74% Mar 2025 9 4 5 66.7% +7.47% ✅ +6.33% Apr 2025 8 6 2 25.0% -10.20% ❌ +1.53% May 2025 4 3 1 25.0% -5.54% ❌ +0.46% Jun 2025 7 4 3 42.9% -3.41% +1.34% Jul 2025 7 2 5 71.4% -1.08% +1.22% Aug 2025 8 5 3 75.0% +1.31% +1.70% Sep 2025 5 3 2 80.0% +0.63% +1.42% Oct 2025 7 6 1 85.7% +7.48% ✅ +2.77% Nov 2025 9 7 2 77.8% +10.60% ✅✅ +4.38% Dec 2025 8 6 2 37.5% -6.95% ❌ +1.30% Profitable Months: 6/12 (50%) Best Month: November (+10.60%) Worst Month: April (-10.20%) 🎲 Expected Performance Conservative (50th Percentile) Monthly trades: 6-7 Monthly PnL: +0.5% to +2% Annual return: ~20-30% Aggressive (75th Percentile - Good Months) Monthly trades: 8-9 Monthly PnL: +5% to +10% Annual return: ~80-200% Reality Check Expect 6 profitable and 6 unprofitable months Worst months can be -10% Best months can be +10% Net annual: +5-15% with proper risk management 📋 Implementation Checklist Setup Use BTC/USDT on 15-minute timeframe Set up swing detection (100-period rolling high/low) Calculate EMAs (50 and 200) Track volume MA (20-period) Monitor taker buy/sell volume for delta Entry Signals Identify swing high and swing low Calculate Fibonacci levels (0.618, fibb2, 1.272) Watch for Level-2 breakdown (price < fibb2) Watch for Level-3 breakdown (price < swing low) Validate ALL filters before entry Position Management Enter SHORT at current price Set stop loss at entry + 2% Set take profit at 1.272 extension Monitor position continuously Close at TP, SL, or manually if needed 💰 Risk Management Position Sizing Account Size: $10,000 Risk per trade: 2% = $200 Entry: $90,000 Stop Loss: 2% = $91,800 Position Size: $200 / ($1,800 / $90,000) = $10,000 With 10x leverage: Use $1,000 margin Rules Never risk more than 2% per trade Daily loss limit: -4% (stop trading for the day) Weekly loss limit: -10% (review strategy) Maximum 3 open positions at once 📊 Trade Log Template Track every trade: Date & Time Level (Level-2 or Level-3) Entry Price Stop Loss Price Target Price Swing Range % Filters Passed (trend, volume, delta) Exit Price PnL % Exit Reason Notes 🚀 Going Live Week 1-2: Paper Trading Set up alerts on TradingView Track all signals Don't take real trades Verify strategy logic Target: 6-8 paper trades Week 3-4: Live (Small Size) Start with $500-1000 positions Risk only 1% per trade (not 2%) Take 5-8 trades Compare actual vs backtest Month 2+: Scale Up If win rate >55% and monthly PnL >0%: Increase to 2% risk per trade Use full position sizes If win rate <50%: Stay at 1% risk Review and refine 📁 Files Production Script File: fibonacci_level2_level3_strategy.py Run backtest: python3 fibonacci_level2_level3_strategy.py Output: Comprehensive performance report Monthly breakdown Level-by-level analysis Trade log CSV file Trade Log Latest: fibonacci_level2_level3_20251231_114019.csv Contains all 82 trades with: Entry/exit times and prices PnL percentages Level names (Level-2 or Level-3) Swing characteristics Exit reasons Filter validations 🎯 Key Success Factors What Makes This Work Level-2 provides the profit (+5.39% contribution) Decent win rate (51%) Good avg wins (+2.13%) Most trades come from Level-2 Level-3 adds volume (31 trades, 74% WR) High win rate but small wins Provides trading opportunities Diversifies entry points Combo smooths performance 6.8 trades/month (manageable) Mix of consistent (L2) and high-WR (L3) Better than either alone What Can Go Wrong Bad months happen (50% of months unprofitable) April: -10.20% May: -5.54% Don't overtrade to recover Small wins on Level-3 Avg +0.44% doesn't move the needle Need Level-2 for profitability Stop losses hit frequently (36.6%) 2% SL hits often Must accept losses as part of strategy 🔬 Advanced Optimizations Potential Improvements (Not Tested) Add session filters Only trade London (9AM-12PM Thailand) Only trade NY AM (4:30PM-6PM Thailand) May improve win rate Add RSI filter Only short when RSI < 40 Avoid shorting oversold conditions Dynamic stop loss Use ATR-based stops May reduce SL hit rate Partial exits Close 50% at 1% profit Let 50% run to target Locks in some profit ⚠️ Test any changes thoroughly before going live! 📞 Support Questions or issues? Review: The backtest code in fibonacci_level2_level3_strategy.py Trade logs in CSV files Monthly breakdown for pattern analysis ✅ Final Checklist Before Live Trading Understand both Level-2 and Level-3 entry logic Can calculate Fibonacci levels manually Verified all filters (trend, volume, delta) Practiced paper trading for 2 weeks Set up proper position sizing (2% risk max) Defined daily/weekly loss limits Ready to accept losses as part of trading Won't revenge trade after losses Will track every trade in journal Strategy Proven: +5.09% on 1 year real data (82 trades) Ready to Trade: Yes, with proper risk management Recommended Capital: Minimum $5,000 Time Commitment: Check charts 2-3x per day Good luck! 🚀
Pine Script®指標
由yeminnaing747474提供
Geometric Cloud Bands═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════ ☁️ GEOMETRIC CLOUD BANDS - Trading Guide ═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════ 📌 WHAT IS IT? The Geometric Cloud Bands indicator creates dynamic support/resistance zones using logarithmic price transformation. It helps identify trend direction and optimal entry points. ═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════ 🟢 LONG ENTRY SETUP ═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════ ✅ Entry Conditions: ▸ Price closes ABOVE the upper cloud band ▸ Cloud color changes to GREEN/TEAL ▸ Wait for pullback to cloud for better entry 🎯 Take Profit: ▸ Next resistance level ▸ Or use trailing stop 🛑 Stop Loss: ▸ Place below the lower cloud band ═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════ 🔴 SHORT ENTRY SETUP ═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════ ✅ Entry Conditions: ▸ Price closes BELOW the lower cloud band ▸ Cloud color changes to RED ▸ Wait for pullback to cloud for better entry 🎯 Take Profit: ▸ Next support level ▸ Or use trailing stop 🛑 Stop Loss: ▸ Place above the upper cloud band ═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════ 📊 VISUAL GUIDE ═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════ │ 🟢 LONG ZONE (Price above cloud) │ ↳ Look for BUY entries ─────┼───────────────────────────── │ ☁️ CLOUD ZONE (Neutral) │ ↳ Avoid trading here ─────┼───────────────────────────── │ 🔴 SHORT ZONE (Price below cloud) │ ↳ Look for SELL entries ═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════ 💡 PRO TIPS ═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════ ⏱️ TIMEFRAME ▸ Best on 1H, 4H, and Daily charts ▸ Higher timeframes = stronger signals 📈 TREND CONFIRMATION ▸ Thicker cloud = stronger trend ▸ Thin cloud = weak trend, be cautious 📊 VOLUME ▸ Confirm breakouts with volume spike ▸ Low volume breakout = possible fake out ⚠️ AVOID ▸ Trading when price is choppy inside cloud ▸ Ranging/sideways markets ▸ Trading against the higher timeframe trend ═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════ ⚡ QUICK REFERENCE ═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════ Price > Cloud → 🟢 BULLISH → Look for LONG Price < Cloud → 🔴 BEARISH → Look for SHORT Price ≈ Cloud → ⚪ NEUTRAL → Wait for breakout ═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════ ⭐ If you find this indicator helpful, please BOOST! 💬 Comment below with any questions 🔔 Follow for more trading tools
Pine Script®指標
由A1TradingHub提供
Institutional Zone Detector [Scalping-Algo]█ OVERVIEW The Institutional Zone Detector identifies key supply and demand zones where large market participants (institutions, banks, hedge funds) have likely placed significant orders. These zones often act as powerful support and resistance levels, making them strategic areas for trade entries and exits. This indicator is non-repainting, meaning once a signal appears on your chart, it will never disappear or change position. What you see in backtesting is exactly what you would have seen in real-time. █ CORE CONCEPT Markets move when large players execute substantial orders. These orders leave footprints in the form of specific candlestick patterns: Demand Zones (Bullish) When institutions accumulate positions, we often see a bearish candle followed by a strong bullish sequence. The last bearish candle before this move marks the demand zone - an area where buying pressure overwhelmed sellers. Supply Zones (Bearish) When institutions distribute positions, we typically see a bullish candle followed by a strong bearish sequence. The last bullish candle before this move marks the supply zone - an area where selling pressure overwhelmed buyers. Price has a tendency to revisit these zones, offering potential trade opportunities. █ HOW IT WORKS The indicator scans for: 1. A potential zone candle (bearish for demand, bullish for supply) 2. A sequence of consecutive candles in the opposite direction 3. Optional: A minimum percentage move to filter weak signals When all conditions are met, the zone is marked on your chart with: • Upper and lower boundaries (solid lines) • Equilibrium/midpoint level (cross marker) • Extended channel lines for easy visualization █ SETTINGS Consecutive Candles Required (Default: 5) Number of same-direction candles needed after the zone candle to confirm the pattern. Higher values = fewer but stronger signals. Minimum Move Threshold % (Default: 0.0) Minimum percentage price movement required to validate a zone. Increase this to filter out weak moves and focus on significant institutional activity. Display Full Candle Range (Default: Off) • Off: Shows Open-to-Low for demand zones, Open-to-High for supply zones • On: Shows complete High-to-Low range of the zone candle Show Demand/Supply Zone Channel (Default: On) Toggle extended horizontal lines that project the zone levels across your chart. Visual Theme (Default: Dark) Choose between Dark (white/blue) or Light (green/red) color schemes. Show Statistics Panel (Default: Off) Displays a floating panel with exact price levels of the most recent zones. Display Info Tooltip (Default: Off) Shows an information label with indicator documentation. █ HOW TO USE Entry Strategies 1. Zone Bounce (Mean Reversion) • Wait for price to return to a previously identified zone • Look for rejection candles (pin bars, engulfing patterns) at zone levels • Enter in the direction of the original zone (long at demand, short at supply) • Place stops beyond the zone boundary 2. Zone Break (Momentum) • When price breaks through a zone with strong momentum • The broken zone often becomes the opposite type (broken demand becomes supply) • Use for trend continuation trades 3. Equilibrium Trades • The midpoint (cross marker) often acts as a magnet for price • Can be used as a first target or as an entry point for scaled positions Risk Management • Always place stop-loss orders beyond zone boundaries • Consider the zone width when calculating position size • Wider zones = wider stops = smaller position size • Use the equilibrium level for partial profit taking Best Practices • Higher timeframes produce more reliable zones • Zones on multiple timeframes (confluence) are stronger • Fresh/untested zones are more powerful than zones that have been touched multiple times • Combine with other analysis methods (trend direction, volume, market structure) █ ALERTS Two alert conditions are available: • "Demand Zone Identified" - Triggers when a new demand zone is detected • "Supply Zone Identified" - Triggers when a new supply zone is detected To set up alerts: Click on the indicator name → Add Alert → Select condition █ IMPORTANT NOTES • This indicator is a tool for analysis, not a complete trading system • Signals are NOT automatic buy/sell recommendations • Always use proper risk management • Past performance does not guarantee future results • Works on all markets and timeframes • Non-repainting: Signals appear only after bar close confirmation █ ACKNOWLEDGMENTS Inspired by institutional order flow concepts and smart money trading methodologies. Built with a focus on reliability and practical application.
Pine Script®指標
由A1TradingHub提供
Rakshit SolutionsPICCASING INDICATOR — RSI + VWAP Precision Trading System PICCASING Indicator एक Multi-Timeframe Professional Trading System है, जो RSI + VWAP के Combination से High Probability Buy & Sell Opportunities detect करता है। यह Indicator Trend के साथ Entry देता है और केवल तब signal देता है जब Market Pullback के बाद फिर से Trend Continue करने के लिए तैयार हो। 🔥 Strategy Logic Indicator दो Timeframes पर Market Strength चेक करता है: SELL Condition RSI (1 Hour) < 50 RSI (15 Minute) < 50 Price VWAP के नीचे हो Price VWAP के पास आए (Pullback) Bearish Confirmation Candle बने BUY Condition RSI (1 Hour) > 50 RSI (15 Minute) > 50 Price VWAP के ऊपर हो Price VWAP के पास आए (Pullback) Bullish Confirmation Candle बने इससे Indicator केवल वही Signals देता है जहाँ Market में Clear Direction + Strong Momentum + Smart Entry Point मिलता है। 🎯 Best Timeframe ✔️ Recommended: 15 Minute Chart ✔️ Works on: Forex, Crypto, Indices, Commodities, Stocks ⚙️ Features Multi-Timeframe RSI Filtering VWAP Trend Confirmation Smart Pullback Entry Detection Confirmation Candle Logic Clean Buy / Sell Signals Built-in Alerts (Trading & Automation Ready) Full Backtest Supported Strategy 🎯 Purpose PICCASING Indicator Scalpers, Intraday Traders और Swing Traders के लिए बनाया गया है ताकि वे Noise से बचकर केवल High Accuracy Setup पर Trade कर सकें।
Pine Script®策略
由psinghame111提供
Swing High Low Detector + 4 EMA (buy Coi)Indicator Name: Swing High-Low Detector (Close-Confirmed) & 4 EMA Cross Key Features: Confirmed Swing Points: Identifies technical Swing Highs and Lows based on a user-defined strength (default: 5 bars). Unlike standard indicators, it requires a "Close Confirmation": Swing High: The 5th bar after the peak must close below the peak bar's close. Swing Low: The 5th bar after the valley must close above the valley bar's close. Dynamic Support/Resistance: Automatically draws horizontal lines from swing points. Current active levels are thick/solid, while historical levels are thin/dotted. Liquidity Sweep Option: Optional setting to automatically delete past levels once price breaks through them (sweeping liquidity). 4-EMA Trend Filter: Includes 8, 13, 21, and 55 EMAs. Crossover Signals: Generates "B" (Buy) and "S" (Sell) labels when the shorter EMAs (8, 13, 21) cross above or below the 55 EMA baseline.
Pine Script®指標
由low198提供
Price-Time Confluence Engine Price-Time Confluence Engine is a dual-layer market analysis indicator designed to synchronize price-based targets with time-based momentum projections, helping traders anticipate potential reaction points, reversals, and momentum shifts. The indicator combines adaptive ATR price targets with deviation context on the chart, alongside a forward-projected Stochastic RSI structure in a dedicated pane. 🔹 Core Components 1️⃣ Adaptive Price Targets (Chart Overlay) On every new candle, a new ATR-based price target is generated automatically. The target updates dynamically with live price movement until the candle closes. Targets are directionally aligned with the current candle’s momentum. A HIT label is displayed when price reaches the active target during the candle. Behavioral Insight If a target fails to be hit and remains red after the next candle forms, this behavior has shown a tendency to correlate with short-term swing reversals, signaling potential exhaustion or loss of momentum. 2️⃣ Mean & Deviation Framework A configurable mean (moving average) is plotted with up to four deviation bands. Deviation bands provide contextual boundaries for price targets and help visually frame volatility expansion or compression. An optional filter allows HIT labels to require alignment with the first deviation band. 3️⃣ Stochastic RSI Projection (Indicator Pane) The lower pane displays live Stochastic RSI %K and %D values. A historical Stoch RSI pattern is cloned and projected forward in time, creating a time-based momentum forecast. The projection highlights anticipated crossing points between %K and %D before they occur. A single dynamic “Projected Cross” label marks the next expected crossing location. Vertical reference lines and directional arrows help visualize projected momentum shifts. Important Note on Timeframes The projection logic is optimized for the Daily timeframe. Other timeframes may require different lookback settings for meaningful alignment. Price-based targets and deviation logic function on any timeframe. 🔧 User Controls ATR length and multiplier Mean length and deviation depth Number of deviation bands displayed Label visibility and history limits Projection visibility and forward shift Optional normalization of projected momentum Visual toggles for arrows, vertical lines, and labels 📈 How to Use Observe the active price target forming with each new candle. Watch whether price hits or fails to hit the target before the next candle. Use deviation bands to contextualize where targets sit within volatility structure. Reference the Projected Cross in the lower pane to anticipate potential momentum transitions. Look for confluence between unhit targets and projected momentum shifts as potential inflection zones. ⚠️ Disclaimer This indicator is a visual analysis and decision-support tool. It does not generate trade signals and should be used in conjunction with proper risk management and additional market context.
Pine Script®指標
由Dinjin提供
Opening Range BoxOPENING RANGE BOX + LEVELS (RTH) OVERVIEW This indicator draws the Opening Range for the U.S. Regular Trading Hours session starting at 9:30 AM New York time. It plots the Opening Range High, Low, and Midpoint, and can extend those levels for the rest of the session. It also displays the Opening Range size in points and ticks. WHAT IT DRAWS • Opening Range box for the first N minutes of RTH (ex: 5, 10, 15) • OR High (ORH) • OR Low (ORL) • OR Midline (midpoint of ORH/ORL) • Opening Range value label (range in points + ticks) KEY FEATURES • Time-anchored drawings (bar_time) so levels stay accurate on any intraday timeframe • Configurable Opening Range length in minutes • Configurable box fill/border colors • Independent styling for OR High / OR Low / Midline (color, width, line style) • Line extension modes: Line extension modes - To RTH Close - Right Forever - For N Minutes - None Optional label placement to the LEFT of the Opening Range so it doesn’t block new candles Option to keep previous sessions’ Opening Ranges visible for context BEST FOR • Futures: ES / NQ / MNQ (and other RTH-based products) • Intraday stocks and ETFs • OR breakout, rejection/fade, and mean reversion workflows NOTES • Intended for intraday charts • Opening Range is calculated strictly inside the selected time window (no extra bars) • Session is America/New_York, 09:30–16:00
Pine Script®指標
由andrefox333提供
DIVER V1**Regular Divergence Alert Indicator (RSI-based)** This indicator detects **Regular Bullish and Regular Bearish divergence** between price and RSI to signal potential trend reversals. It uses **pivot structure**, **minimum bar gap**, and optional **noise filters** (EMA trend context, ADX strength filter, volume weakening, and candle body filter) to reduce false signals. Designed to be **simple, clean, and non-repainting**, it provides **clear alerts** and optional visual lines/labels for practical trading use.
Pine Script®策略
由vipvgmopyk43404提供
MACDHistogram CrossoverScript Title: MACD Histogram Zero-Cross with 9/20 EMA Overlay Script Description: This indicator is a combined trend and momentum tool designed to identify market shifts directly on the price chart. It tracks MACD Histogram crossovers while providing 9 and 20 Exponential Moving Average (EMA) filters for trend confirmation. How it Works: The script monitors the MACD Histogram (12, 26, 9) for "Zero-Cross" events and labels them for maximum clarity: Green "L" (Long/Bullish): Appears below the candle when the Histogram moves from negative to positive. This indicates a shift toward bullish momentum. Red "P" (Put/Bearish): Appears above the candle when the Histogram moves from positive to negative. This indicates a shift toward bearish momentum. Trend Filter Integration: To help filter out "fake" signals in choppy markets, the script includes two essential EMAs: 9 EMA (Blue): Fast-reacting line for short-term price action. 20 EMA (Orange): Medium-term trend line. Trading Logic: Bullish Setup: Look for the green "L" when price is trading above the 9 and 20 EMAs. Bearish Setup: Look for the red "P" when price is trading below the 9 and 20 EMAs. Exit/Caution: If an "L" or "P" appears against the EMA trend, it may signal a period of consolidation or a potential reversal. Features: Clean Visuals: Signal letters are sized small to avoid obstructing price action. Real-time Overlay: Calculates MACD momentum in the background while keeping your main chart focused on price. Versatile: Works on any timeframe (Intraday, Daily, or Weekly). Disclaimer: This script is for educational purposes and should be used as part of a comprehensive trading strategy. Always practice proper risk management.
Pine Script®指標
由kamalchowdury提供